FrenchieGirl
Senior Moderator
PAHO says: Without social distancing, Mexico would have had 8605 dead
Google translation
Without action, died 8 thousand 605: OPS
The Pan American Health Organization said the restrictions on social distancing, personal protection and timely medical care to deal with influenza A implemented by the Ministry of Health
09:37 If Mexico had not taken action on social distancing, personal protection and timely medical care to deal with influenza A virus may have killed at least eight thousand 605 people, as a potential model developed by the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) reported on Friday.
In the scenario of this model without control measures, would also have occurred about 30 thousand to more hospitalizations that occur regularly and about 4.5 million outpatient visits, said an analyst at PAHO, Oscar Mujica, who presented the study.
The specialist said that the model is''done''enlightening,''but rather conservative.''
To make the model as a basis that each patient infected on average between 1.4 and 1.6 persons, the generation time between the onset of symptoms of the patient and the onset of symptoms of infection is 3.2 days.
Also assumed that 10% infectar?a with the A-H1N1 virus,''a rather conservative estimate and assume that the epidemic wave lasting between 8 and 10 weeks, consistent with what has been observed in other situations,''said Mujica.
Google translation
Without action, died 8 thousand 605: OPS
The Pan American Health Organization said the restrictions on social distancing, personal protection and timely medical care to deal with influenza A implemented by the Ministry of Health
09:37 If Mexico had not taken action on social distancing, personal protection and timely medical care to deal with influenza A virus may have killed at least eight thousand 605 people, as a potential model developed by the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) reported on Friday.
In the scenario of this model without control measures, would also have occurred about 30 thousand to more hospitalizations that occur regularly and about 4.5 million outpatient visits, said an analyst at PAHO, Oscar Mujica, who presented the study.
The specialist said that the model is''done''enlightening,''but rather conservative.''
To make the model as a basis that each patient infected on average between 1.4 and 1.6 persons, the generation time between the onset of symptoms of the patient and the onset of symptoms of infection is 3.2 days.
Also assumed that 10% infectar?a with the A-H1N1 virus,''a rather conservative estimate and assume that the epidemic wave lasting between 8 and 10 weeks, consistent with what has been observed in other situations,''said Mujica.