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Ontario daily COVID-19 deaths expected to double in February, overwhelm health system: modelling

Shiloh

Editor, Senior Moderator
Source: https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/ontario-...y-overwhelm-health-system-modelling-1.5263058

Ontario daily COVID-19 deaths expected to double in February, overwhelm health system: modelling
Katherine DeClerq
Multi-Platform Writer, CTV News Toronto
Published Tuesday, January 12, 2021 7:16AM EST Last Updated Tuesday, January 12, 2021 11:33AM EST

TORONTO -- Ontario health officials have said that without a “significant reductions in contacts,” the provincial health system will be overwhelmed amid a rising number of COVID-19 infections and mortality will exceed the first wave totals, even with their vaccination efforts.

In modelling data released late Tuesday morning, officials said they expect the daily COVID-19 mortality rate in the province to double from 50 deaths per day to about 100 deaths per day between mid-January and the end of February.

The predictions represent an increase from the previous data released in December, which suggested that under the “maximum likelihood estimate” Ontario would see a little under 50 deaths daily by next month...
 
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