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Monaldi Arch Chest Dis . Predictors of mortality in hospitalized patients with influenza: a five-year experience from a tertiary care centre in Pak

tetano

Editor, Senior Moderator
Monaldi Arch Chest Dis


. 2020 Dec 28;90(4).
doi: 10.4081/monaldi.2020.1456.
Predictors of mortality in hospitalized patients with influenza: a five-year experience from a tertiary care centre in Pakistan


Iffat Khanum[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Amber Sabeen Ahmed[SUP] 2 [/SUP], Safia Awan[SUP] 2 [/SUP], Sabiha Bano[SUP] 2 [/SUP], Bushra Jamil[SUP] 2 [/SUP]



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Free article

Abstract

Influenza outbreaks are associated with significant morbidity. Our aim was to determine the factors associated with increased mortality in hospitalized patients admitted with diagnosis of influenza, at a tertiary care center in Pakistan. This study included all adult patients with an influenza infection, confirmed by realtime reverse-transcriptase polymerase-chain-reaction (RT-PCR) at Aga Khan University Hospital Pakistan. In our study, 112 patients with laboratory-confirmed influenza virus infection were admittedat our hospital from the 1st of January 2013 to the 31st of December 2018. Eighty-nine patients (79.46%) were managed in ward or special care units and 23 patients (20.5%) received treatment in intensive care unit (ICU). The overall mortality in our study was 15/112 (13.4%) with the mortality rate of ICU patients being 47.8% while the mortality rate of patients treated in special care units and wards was only 4.5%. The mean age of patients with influenza infection was 58.1 years (?16.6). Influenza virus type A was found in 87 patients (77.6%), while influenza type B was present in only 25 (22.4%) patients. Out of the 15 non-survivors, 14 had influenza A. Only 17 patients (15.2%) were found to have positive culture of respiratory specimen, out of which 3 were non-survivors and 14 were survivors. Our analysis identified septic shock (odds ratio 45.24; 95%, confidence interval 6.20-330; p<0.001), renal failure (odds ratio 10.88; 95%, confidence interval 1.61-73.52; p=0.01) and ICU stay (odds ratio 17.22; 95%, confidence interval 2.68-110.5; p=0.003) as independent risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality.
 
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