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MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. Update: Influenza Activity ? United States, October 2?November 26, 2011

Giuseppe

Emeritus
[Source: US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, MMWR Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, full PDF document: (LINK). Extract, edited.]


MMWR / December 9, 2011 / Vol. 60 / No. 48

Update: Influenza Activity ? United States, October 2?November 26, 2011




During October 2?November 26, 2011, influenza activity remained low in the United States. Thus far, influenza A viruses have predominated, and the majority are antigenically related to the 2011?12 influenza vaccine strains for the Northern Hemisphere. This report summarizes U.S. influenza activity(*) since October 2 and updates the previous summary (1).



Viral Surveillance

During October 2?November 26,(?) the World Health Organization (WHO) and National Respiratory and Enteric Virus Surveillance System collaborating laboratories in the United States tested 24,027 respiratory specimens for influenza viruses; 266 (1.1%) were positive (Figure 1). Of these, 191 (71.8%) were influenza A viruses, and 75 (28.2%) were influenza B viruses. Of the 191 influenza A viruses, 87 (45.5%) were subtyped; 79 (90.8%) were influenza A (H3) viruses, and eight (9.1%) were 2009 influenza A (H1) viruses. Influenza viruses have been reported from 30 states in all 10 U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) regions. Of the 266 influenza-positive specimens reported to CDC so far this season, most (131 of 266 [49.2%]) have been reported from the southeastern United States (Region 4 [Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee]).



Antigenic Characterization

WHO collaborating laboratories in the United States are requested to submit a subset of their influenza-positive specimens to CDC for further antigenic characterization. CDC has antigenically characterized 21 influenza viruses collected and submitted by U.S. laboratories since October 1, 2011, including one 2009 influenza A (H1N1), 16 influenza A (H3N2) and four influenza B viruses. The one 2009 influenza A (H1N1) virus was characterized as A/California/7/2009-like, the influenza A (H1N1) component of the 2011?12 influenza vaccine for the Northern Hemisphere.

All 16 influenza A (H3N2) viruses were antigenically related to the A/Perth/16/2009, the influenza A (H3N2) component included in the 2011?12 influenza vaccine for the Northern Hemisphere. Three of the four influenza B viruses tested belong to the B/Victoria lineage and were characterized as B/Brisbane/60/2008-like, the influenza B component of the 2011?12 influenza vaccine for the Northern Hemisphere; one of the four B viruses tested belongs to the B/Yamagata lineage of viruses.



Antiviral Resistance of Influenza Virus Isolates

CDC conducts surveillance for resistance of circulating influenza viruses to influenza antiviral medications. Since October 1, 2011, a total of 31 influenza viruses (five 2009 influenza A (H1N1), 24 influenza A (H3N2), and two influenza B viruses) have been tested for antiviral resistance. None of the tested viruses were found to be resistant to either oseltamivir or zanamivir.



Novel Influenza A Viruses

Since the last influenza activity update (1), six cases of human infection with a novel influenza A virus(?) were reported: two from Maine and one from Indiana in October (2), as well as three from Iowa in November. All six patients were infected with novel influenza A (H3N2) viruses with genes from swine, human, and avian lineages. The two cases in Maine occurred in children, and the case in Indiana occurred in an adult male; all patients had exposure to swine in the period immediately preceding their illness. All three cases in Iowa occurred in children with no known recent exposure to swine. The investigation in Iowa revealed evidence of limited human-to human transmission (2). All patients recovered fully.



State-Specific Activity Levels

For the week ending November 26, the geographic spread of influenza(?) was reported as local by one state (Massachusetts). Sporadic influenza activity was reported by the District of Columbia (DC), Guam, and 28 states. The U.S. Virgin Islands and 21 states reported no influenza activity. Puerto Rico did not report. No states have reported geographically regional or widespread influenza activity to date for the 2011?12 influenza season.



Outpatient Influenza-Like Illness

Since October 2, the weekly percentage of outpatient visits for influenza-like illness (ILI)(**) reported each week by the approximately 1,500 U.S. Outpatient Influenza-Like Illness Surveillance Network (ILINet) reporters in 50 states, New York City, Chicago, and DC, has remained below the national baseline(??) of 2.4% (Figure 2). None of the regions have been above their region-specific baselines. Data collected in ILINet also are used to produce a measure of ILI activity by state. During the week ending November 26, all 50 states and New York City experienced minimal ILI activity. Data were insufficient to calculate an ILI activity level from DC.(??)



Pneumonia- and Influenza-Related Mortality

For the week ending November 26, pneumonia and influenza (P&I) was reported as an underlying or contributing cause of death for 6.4% of all deaths reported to the 122 Cities Mortality Reporting System. This percentage is below the epidemic threshold(??) of 7.1% for that week. Since October 2, 2011, the weekly percentage of deaths attributed to pneumonia and influenza ranged from 5.9% to 6.4%, remaining below the epidemic threshold.



Influenza-Related Pediatric Mortality

No influenza-related pediatric deaths have been reported through the Influenza Associated Pediatric Mortality Surveillance System for the 2011?12 influenza season.



Reported by

World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Surveillance, Epidemiology, and Control of Influenza. Lynnette Brammer, MPH, Scott Epperson, MPH, Krista Kniss, MPH, Desiree Mustaquim, MPH, Amber Bishop, MPH, Rosaline Dhara, MPH, Michael Jhung, MD, Lenee Blanton, MPH, Teresa Wallis, MS, Lyn Finelli, DrPH, Larisa Gubareva, PhD, Joseph Bresee, MD, Alexander Klimov, PhD, Nancy Cox, PhD, Influenza Div, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases; Grace Chen, MD, EIS Officer, CDC. Corresponding contributor: Grace Chen, glchen@cdc.gov, 404-718-4585.



Editorial Note

Since October 2, surveillance data have indicated that influenza is circulating at low levels in the United States; low activity typically is noted in this early portion of the influenza season. Antigenic characterization of the viral isolates that have been submitted demonstrated that the majority of these isolates are antigenically similar to the influenza virus strains in the Northern Hemisphere 2011?12 vaccine.
Influenza vaccination is the best method for preventing influenza and its associated complications. Influenza vaccination currently is recommended for all persons aged ≥6 months (3). Vaccine manufacturers had distributed approximately 129.2 million doses of influenza vaccine in the United States as of November 25 (4). Influenza vaccination should continue to be offered by health-care providers throughout the influenza season for all persons without contraindications to vaccination to provide protection for as many persons as possible. Multiple influenza vaccines are approved for use and are being distributed during the 2011?12 season, including trivalent inactivated vaccine (TIV) for persons aged ≥6 months; live, attenuated influenza vaccine (LAIV) for nonpregnant, otherwise healthy persons aged 2?49 years; a high-dose inactivated vaccine for persons aged ≥65 years; and a new, intradermally administered vaccine, which was licensed by the Food and Drug Administration on May 10, 2011, for adults aged 18?64 years (3). Children aged 6 months?8 years who did not receive 2 doses of the 2010?11 seasonal influenza vaccine should receive 2 doses (administered at least 4 weeks apart) of the 2011?12 seasonal influenza vaccine (3). Although annual vaccination is the best method for preventing and reducing the impact of influenza, influenza antiviral medications are an important adjunct, particularly under circumstances and in groups where vaccine might be less efficacious (5). The benefits of influenza antiviral treatment are likely to be greatest if treatment is started as soon as possible after illness onset, and evidence for benefit is strongest in studies in which treatment was started within 48 hours of illness onset (5). Antiviral treatment is recommended as early as possible for patients with confirmed or suspected influenza who have severe, complicated, or progressive illness; who require hospitalization; or who are at greater risk for influenza-related complications (5).(***) However, substantial observational data and one study in pregnant women (6) have indicated that antiviral treatment still can be beneficial in patients with severe, complicated, or progressive illness and in hospitalized patients even when administered more than 48 hours after illness onset (5,7). In such cases, decisions on starting antiviral treatment should not wait for laboratory confirmation of influenza. Antiviral treatment also may be considered for outpatients with confirmed or suspected influenza who do not have known risk factors for severe illness if treatment can be initiated within 48 hours of illness onset. Recommended antiviral medications include oseltamivir and zanamivir.

Transmission of swine-origin influenza A viruses to humans is rare and usually occurs among persons in direct contact with swine or among persons who have visited places where swine are present (e.g., agricultural fairs, farms, and petting zoos). Clinicians should consider swine-origin influenza A virus infection as well as seasonal influenza virus infections in the differential diagnosis of patients with febrile respiratory illness who have been near swine (8). Clinicians who suspect influenza virus infection in patients with recent exposure to swine should obtain a nasopharyngeal swab from the patient, place the swab in a viral transport medium, and contact their state or local health department to facilitate transport and timely diagnosis at a state public health laboratory. Public health laboratories are requested to submit any suspected swine-origin influenza A samples to CDC for further testing. Early identification and prompt investigation of novel influenza A cases is critical to evaluating the extent of outbreaks and possible human-to-human transmission.

Influenza surveillance reports for the United States are posted online weekly and are available at http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly. Additional information regarding influenza viruses, influenza surveillance, influenza vaccine, influenza antiviral medications, and novel influenza A infections in humans is available at http://www.cdc.gov/flu.



Acknowledgments

State and territorial health departments and public health laboratories. U.S. World Health Organization collaborating laboratories. National Respiratory and Enteric Virus Surveillance System collaborating laboratories. U.S. Outpatient Influenza-Like Illness Surveillance Network. Influenza-Associated Pediatric Mortality Surveillance System. 122 Cities Mortality Reporting System.



References
  1. CDC. Update: influenza activity?United States, May 22?September 3, 2011. MMWR 2011;60:1239?42.
  2. CDC. Limited human-to-human transmission of novel influenza A (H3N2) virus?Iowa, November 2011. MMWR 60:1615?7.
  3. CDC. Prevention and control of influenza with vaccines: recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP), 2011. MMWR 2011;60:1128?32.
  4. CDC. Seasonal influenza vaccine?total doses distributed. Atlanta, GA: US Department of Health and Human Services, CDC; 2011. Available at http://www.cdc.gov/flu/professionals/vaccination/vaccinesupply.htm. Accessed December 2, 2011.
  5. CDC. Antiviral agents for the treatment and chemoprophylaxis of influenza?recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP). MMWR 2011;60(No.RR-1).
  6. Siston AM, Rasmussen SA, Honein MA, et al. Pandemic 2009 influenza A (H1N1) virus illness among pregnant women in the United States. JAMA 2010;303:1517?25.
  7. Yu H, Feng Z, Uyeki T, et al. Risk factors for severe illness with 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus infection in China. Clin Infect Dis 2011; 52:457?65.
  8. CDC. Swine-origin influenza A (H3N2) virus infection in two children?Indiana and Pennsylvania, July?August 2011. MMWR 2011; 60:1213?5.
(*) The CDC influenza surveillance system collects five categories of information from eight data sources: 1) viral surveillance (World Health Organization collaborating U.S. laboratories, the National Respiratory and Enteric Virus Surveillance System, and novel influenza A virus case reporting); 2) outpatient illness surveillance (U.S. Outpatient Influenza-Like Illness Surveillance Network); 3) mortality (122 Cities Mortality Reporting System and influenza-associated pediatric mortality reports); 4)hospitalizations (FluSurvNet, which includes the Emerging Infections Program and surveillance in four additional states); and 5) summary of geographic spread of influenza (state and territorial epidemiologist reports).

(?) Data as of December 3, 2011.

(?) Discussions concerning virus nomenclature related to these novel H3N2 viruses, also referred to as swine-origin triple reassortant influenza A (H3N2) viruses, identified in this report are ongoing.

(?) Levels of geographic spread are 1) no activity; 2) sporadic: isolated laboratory-confirmed influenza cases or a laboratory-confirmed outbreak in one institution, with no increase in activity; 3) local: increased ILI, or at least two institutional outbreaks (ILI or laboratory-confirmed influenza) in one region with recent laboratory evidence of influenza in that region; virus activity no greater than sporadic in other regions; 4) regional: increased ILI activity or institutional outbreaks (ILI or laboratory-confirmed influenza) in at least two but less than half of the regions in the state with recent laboratory evidence of influenza in those regions; and 5) widespread: increased ILI activity or institutional outbreaks (ILI or laboratory-confirmed influenza) in at least half the regions in the state, with recent laboratory evidence of influenza in the state.

(**) Defined as a temperature of ≥100.0?F (≥37.8?C), oral or equivalent, and cough and/or sore throat, in the absence of a known cause other than influenza.

(??) The national and regional baselines are the mean percentage of visits for ILI during noninfluenza weeks for the previous three seasons plus two standard deviations. A noninfluenza week is a week during which <10% of specimens tested positive for influenza. National and regional percentages of patient visits for ILI are weighted on the basis of state population. Use of the national baseline for regional data is not appropriate.

(??) Activity levels are based on the percentage of outpatient visits in a state for ILI and are compared with the average percentage of ILI visits that occur during weeks with little or no influenza virus circulation . Activity levels range from minimal, which would correspond to ILI activity from outpatient clinics being at or below the average, to high, which would correspond to ILI activity from outpatient clinics being much higher than the average. Because the clinical definition of ILI is very general, not all ILI is caused by influenza; however, when combined with laboratory data, the information on ILI activity provides a clear picture of influenza activity in the United States.

(??) The seasonal baseline proportion of pneumonia and influenza deaths is projected using a robust regression procedure in which a periodic regression model is applied to the observed percentage of deaths from pneumonia and influenza that were reported by the 122 Cities Mortality Reporting System during the preceding 5 years. The epidemic threshold is 1.645 standard deviations above the seasonal baseline.

(***) Persons at greater risk include children aged <5 years (especially those aged <2 years); adults aged ≥65 years; persons with chronic pulmonary (including asthma), cardiovascular (except hypertension alone), renal, hepatic, hematologic (including sickle cell disease), metabolic (including diabetes mellitus), or neurologic and neurodevelopmental conditions (including disorders of the brain, spinal cord, peripheral nerve, and muscle, such as cerebral palsy, epilepsy [seizure disorders], stroke, intellectual disability [mental retardation], moderate to severe developmental delay, muscular dystrophy, or spinal cord injury); persons with immunosuppression, including that caused by medications or by human immunodeficiency virus infection; women who are pregnant or postpartum (within 2 weeks after delivery); persons aged ≤18 years who are receiving long-term aspirin therapy; American Indians/Alaska Natives; persons who are morbidly obese (i.e., body mass index ≥40); and residents of nursing homes and other chronic-care facilities.



What is already known on this topic?

CDC collects, compiles, and analyzes data on influenza activity year-round in the United States. Although influenza activity this season has been low, the influenza season continues through the winter and spring months.


What is added by this report?

The United States has continued to experience low levels of influenza activity from October 2 to November 26, 2011, and influenza A (H3N2), 2009 influenza A (H1N1), and influenza B viruses have been identified sporadically. The majority of viral isolates that have been submitted to CDC for testing are antigenically similar to the influenza vaccine strains in the Northern Hemisphere 2011?12 vaccine.


What are the implications for public health practice?

Influenza currently is circulating at low levels at this early point in the season. The influenza viruses currently circulating are a good match with the influenza vaccine. Vaccination remains the best method for preventing influenza and its associated complications and, influenza vaccination is recommended in all persons aged ≥6 months. Antiviral medications are an important adjunct in reducing the impact of influenza, and the benefits are likely to be greatest if antiviral treatment is started as soon as possible after illness onset.



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Re: MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. Update: Influenza Activity ? United States, October 2?November 26, 2011

This is the third week in a row that the MMWR has listed two influenza-associated pediatric deaths that the footnotes indicate occurred prior to October 2, 2011. This just seems very odd to me and makes me wonder whether California is just late in gettting their data to the CDC or whether these six children died from an influenza strain that could not be easily identified.
 
Re: MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. Update: Influenza Activity ? United States, October 2?November 26, 2011

I posted last week with a reply from CDPH. There are no six chldren. It is a carry over from last year and IMO they just keep it on. There have been NO pediatric deaths for 2011-2012 season. Very quiet in California at this time. BTW California is very behind on their data, as well, due to budget cuts.
 
Re: MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. Update: Influenza Activity ? United States, October 2?November 26, 2011

In the 2010-2011 CA Influenza Surveillance Summary: " In addition, all fatal cases of influenza under the age of 18 years are reportable. This report summarizes and provides interpretation of the data collected during the 2010?2011 influenza season (description of the pediatric fatalities is excluded to preserve confidentiality).


So, no way to know the fatalities until the MMWR release.
CA revised the mandatory reporting of fatalities to include anyone under the age of 65:

This August 2011, Section 2500 of the California Code of Regulations (Title 17) was amended to include mandatory reporting by medical providers of any laboratory-confirmed influenza-associated deaths in cases age 0-64 years. Reports should be sent to the local health jurisdiction of the case?s residence; the local health jurisdiction will then send the reports to CDPH.
http://www.cdph.ca.gov/HealthInfo/discond/Pages/Influenza(Flu).aspx#_blank
 
Re: MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. Update: Influenza Activity ? United States, October 2?November 26, 2011

So it seems that California is doing catch up? I will repost the post I received from CDPH for 2010-2011 Influenza Season. When I had called they stated they had got more resources, so they are most likely posting now from last year.
Thank you very much for your inquiry. It appears the report of 2 deaths you are referring to is from the CDC influenza website, but please note that these deaths were reporting as occurring during the 2010-11 influenza season (last season). Since the start of the 2011-12 influenza season in California we have not had any reports of deaths due to influenza in children. Our various surveillance activities have identified only a few cases of influenza throughout the state, and our level of outpatient visits and hospitalization for flu-like illness remain low. Our state laboratories are testing for any new influenza viruses, such as the recent S-Otr H3N2 virus identified in Iowa and other states, and have not found that this virus is circulating in California given the information available to us. Of course, as you are aware, influenza is unpredictable and activity could increase at any time! We will do our best to keep our website updated and to keep the public informed. Thank you and please don?t forget to get vaccinated!
 
Re: MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. Update: Influenza Activity ? United States, October 2?November 26, 2011

This is the third week in a row that the MMWR has listed two influenza-associated pediatric deaths that the footnotes indicate occurred prior to October 2, 2011. This just seems very odd to me and makes me wonder whether California is just late in gettting their data to the CDC or whether these six children died from an influenza strain that could not be easily identified.

I sent your question to CDPH as I am curious now, too. I think they are late in posting as there have been no deaths listed for this season. I will post as soon as they respond.
 
Re: MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. Update: Influenza Activity ? United States, October 2?November 26, 2011

Thanks everyone. :)
 
Re: MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. Update: Influenza Activity ? United States, October 2?November 26, 2011

According to the MMWR tables, California reported two deaths each in Weeks 48 (http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm6048md.htm?s_cid=mm6048md_e&source=govdelivery), 47(http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm6047md.htm?s_cid=mm6047md_e&source=govdelivery), and 46 (http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm6046md.htm?s_cid=mm6046md_e&source=govdelivery). The total pediatric deaths reported in Table I went from 114 (Week 46), to 116 (Week 47), to 118 (Week 48). The footnotes clearly indicate that these deaths occurred prior to October 2, 2011 (prior to the current season). But, if this a duplication, then the CDC needs to correct the total number of pediatric deaths.

Also, Iowa's Week 47 update reported two pediatric deaths that occurred in the 2010-11 season.

Perhaps this isn't that uncommon, but it seems odd to me that there are so many in the same 3 week period.

I sent your question to CDPH as I am curious now, too. I think they are late in posting as there have been no deaths listed for this season. I will post as soon as they respond.
 
Re: MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. Update: Influenza Activity ? United States, October 2?November 26, 2011

Here are the charts showing the number of pediatric deaths from the Week 46 and Week 47 FluView reports. The California deaths are probably not duplications because both reports show two deaths (in light blue) that were reported in the current week, but that occurred in prior weeks. In Week 47, one death appears to have occurred nearly a year ago. Why would it take so long to report it? Also, there is a discrepancy in the totals. The total number of deaths for Week 47 on the chart below is 120, but Table I from that week indicates a total of 116.

Week 46
Week 46 Pediatric Deaths.gif

Week 47
Week 47 Pediatric Deaths.gif
 
Re: MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. Update: Influenza Activity ? United States, October 2?November 26, 2011

Jim, not sure where you are located. In California, Public Health is not a huge priority. If you ask specifics they will answer. So I forwarded the first message and now I will forward your next question. You have valid concerns, but i do know there have been no Pedi deaths this influenza season, there is no Influenza around so I think that they are catching up and posting, but I will get an answer for you.
 
Re: MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. Update: Influenza Activity ? United States, October 2?November 26, 2011

Thanks Jeffrey.
 
Re: MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. Update: Influenza Activity ? United States, October 2?November 26, 2011

Thanks and welcome to FluTrackers. Let us know what you find out.

Jim, not sure where you are located. In California, Public Health is not a huge priority. If you ask specifics they will answer. So I forwarded the first message and now I will forward your next question. You have valid concerns, but i do know there have been no Pedi deaths this influenza season, there is no Influenza around so I think that they are catching up and posting, but I will get an answer for you.
 
Re: MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. Update: Influenza Activity ? United States, October 2?November 26, 2011

CDC (17NOV2011): "...reporting of nationally notifiable diseases to CDC by the states is voluntary. Reporting is currently mandated (i.e., by state legislation or regulation) only at the state level."
http://www.cdc.gov/osels/ph_surveillance/nndss/nndsshis.htm

California Code of Regulations (JULY2011):
Influenza, novel strains (human): "Report immediately by telephone."
Influenza death (age 0-64): "...should be reported by electronic transmission (including FAX), telephone, or mail within seven calendar days of identification."
http://www.cdph.ca.gov/HealthInfo/Pages/ReportableDiseases.aspx
 
Re: MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. Update: Influenza Activity ? United States, October 2?November 26, 2011

Thanks and welcome to FluTrackers. Let us know what you find out.

I got an answer today from CDPH regarding the Pedi deaths.

Hope this help clarifies this situation.

You are correct in that last week California had to amend the count from the 2010-11 season, so that there are now a total of 6 additional pediatric fatalities reported in the 2010-11 influenza season. In many cases the state of California receives final reports of the pediatric influenza fatalities very late, sometimes several months, after the death has occurred. This is likely due to the extensive investigation that occurs following these tragic deaths, including complete autopsies (which are very time consuming), to ensure that the cause of death is consistent with influenza infection. We cannot account for why Iowa may also have reported late cases.

To date, we have not received any report of influenza-related pediatric fatalities for the2011-12 season.

We remain committed to ensuring that the data we report though our influenza surveillance is as accurate as possible. We also strive to provide what information we can to the public as soon as possible so that we can encourage Californians to get vaccinated. Thank you again for your concern.
 
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