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Mexico says H1N1 flu epidemic in 'declining phase'

hawkeye

Well-known member
Mexico says H1N1 flu epidemic in 'declining phase'

Updated Sun. May. 3 2009 11:37 AM ET

CTV.ca News Staff

The H1N1 flu outbreak in Mexico has peaked and is in decline, Health Minister Jose Angel Cordova said Sunday
.

According to Cordova, the peak of the epidemic occurred between April 23 and 28.

While countries around the world continue to report new cases, Mexico is experiencing a decline in serious flu cases, with fewer patients being admitted to hospital, Cordova said.

"The evolution of the epidemic is in its declining phase," Cordova told a news conference on Sunday.

"There is evidence that we are going downward,"
he added.

Cordova confirmed that the death toll from the H1N1 virus in Mexico is still at 19 and the number of confirmed cases increased slightly from 473 to 506, a figure which includes the dead.

The only other death from the virus was a Mexican toddler who died while visiting Texas.

The news from Mexico came hours after a number of new cases were reported across Europe.

Spain now has 40 confirmed cases of H1N1 flu, health officials said Sunday, including five new cases of the virus in the northeastern Catalan region.

Another 99 Spaniards were being tested.

In Germany, health authorities said Sunday that there are now eight confirmed cases in the country. A married couple from Brandenburg state were newly diagnosed this weekend, after arriving home on the same flight as a Hamburg main who came down with the virus following a visit to Mexico.

Meanwhile, Italian officials reported the country's second case of H1N1 flu on Sunday. The patient is a 25-year-old man who recently returned from Mexico.

The Italian Health Ministry said the man is recovering well, but is being kept in isolation in his home.

The new cases bring the total global caseload to close to 800, with the majority occurring in Mexico, the United States and Canada. However, 17 countries worldwide have confirmed cases of the disease, including throughout Europe, the Middle East and the Asia-Pacific region.

The ever-changing figures are leaving scientists with more questions about the virus than answers.

"Influenza is unpredictable," Dr. Tim Uyeki, an epidemiologist at the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention who has worked on SARS and H5N1 bird flu outbreaks, told The Associated Press. "There are so many unanswered questions. This is a brand new virus. There's so much we don't know about the human infections with this virus."

A team of Mexican and international experts are still trying to determine where the virus started and why some cases appear to be more severe than others.

According to Mexican epidemiologist Pablo Kuri, three of the dead were children, ages nine, 12 and 13. Four other dead were over 60.


The other nine are between the ages of 21 and 39, an age group for which a compromised immune system is not usually a problem.

And most of the dead came from different neighbourhoods in Mexico City
and there appear to be no links in their medical histories.

Indeed, more questions about the virus arose Saturday when Canadian officials announced the first case of H1N1 human virus being transmitted from a person to pigs on a farm in Alberta.

An infected farm worker who had just returned from Mexico appears to have given the virus to the pigs, none of which have died.

The worker has since recovered.

Fears of the virus spreading to pigs led the Egyptian government to order the slaughter of all of the country's 300,000 pigs, despite the fact the virus has not been reported there.

Clashes broke out Sunday between police and pig owners, who were trying to prevent government workers from taking away their animals.

Police fired shots and tear gas into the air to disperse the crowd, injuring 12 people.

And in Iraq, where there have been no H1N1 cases reported, officials at the Baghdad zoo killed three wild boars.

At a Sunday news conference, officials with the World Health Organization said they are not recommending that farmers cull pigs, as the virus is not a food-borne disease.
 
Re: Mexico says H1N1 flu epidemic in 'declining phase'

Is it reassuring that there isn't a known link between the dead? Doesn't that imply something more random (or otherwise caused) than a particularly horrible virus? (ie some underlying or contributing factors)
 
Re: Mexico says H1N1 flu epidemic in 'declining phase'

This is great news!

This is not possible (the authority's are in MEXICO CITY) - and more important - anyone who has been to Mexico knows that there exists (outside of a few major metropolitan areas and tourist destinations) - absolutely no infrastructure and accountability FOR THE REST OF THE NATION - and even in major cities and major tourist destinations - there exists very little accountability and data keeping -

Do not rely on this as accurate information - it is more than likely - the opposite of what is actually happening on the ground.

Reliance on this type of PR is to one's own detriment.
 
Last edited:
Re: Mexico says H1N1 flu epidemic in 'declining phase'

As far as I know, 3 days ago Mexico said that the growth was stabalizing and WHO said that Mexico should not count on that as a reality.

I am not going to get into a discussion of the economic hardship that this is placing on Mexico but to date, Mexico has not confirmed a single case of 2009 H1N1 in Cancun, yet they have been exporting cases from Cancun for at least 10 days (First confirmed infected UK indiviudal were vacationers in Cancun).

Personally, I am looking for guidance from WHO to say that the outbreak in Mexico is declining.
 
Re: Mexico says H1N1 flu epidemic in 'declining phase'

American Family of 5 Residing in PV. Retired nurse, I agree!

People are still dying. From the Aguascaliente thread-

Source: http://www.milenio.com/node/208771

Reported death of a young human influenza in Aguascalientes

The ISEA is mentioned that a patient since he was eight days in the intensive care because of the complications that caused the virus, and this only confirmed his death Saturday at the Hospital Miguel Hidalgo of this city.

Sat, 02/05/2009 - 19:41

Aguascalientes .- The Institute of Health of the State of Aguascalientes (ISEA) reported that a young man aged 22 died on Saturday due to the influenza virus A/H1N1.

The unit said it was a patient for eight days was in the intensive care because of the complications that caused the virus, and this only confirmed his death Saturday at the Hospital Miguel Hidalgo of this city.

In a communique, the ISEA stated that the four deaths from influenza in the last week, only it was confirmed to be a human influenza.

Also, the health authority in the state confirmed that there were six patients with this type of virus who are receiving medical care, while 47 people were reported still in hospital, who are under treatment.

Explained that in recent days, 34 people with similar symptoms and were discharged under supervision, but will continue testing in Aguascalientes to detect more cases infected with this virus.

ISEA asked the people to follow the same recommendations in previous days and to avoid meetings with a large number of people by this time.

He reiterated that hospitals and clinics continue to receive patients every day, although demand has decreased significantly.
 
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