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Medeni Med J . Evaluation of N/LP Ratio as a Predictor of Disease Progression and Mortality in COVID-19 Patients Admitted to the Intensive Care Unit

tetano

Editor, Senior Moderator
Medeni Med J


. 2021;36(3):241-248.
doi: 10.5222/MMJ.2021.95676. Epub 2021 Sep 30.
Evaluation of N/LP Ratio as a Predictor of Disease Progression and Mortality in COVID-19 Patients Admitted to the Intensive Care Unit


Basak Cakir Guney[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Mert Hayiroglu[SUP] 2 [/SUP], Didar Senocak[SUP] 3 [/SUP], Vedat Cicek[SUP] 4 [/SUP], Tufan Cinar[SUP] 4 [/SUP], Mustafa Kaplan[SUP] 1 [/SUP]



Affiliations

Abstract

in English, Turkish
Objective: This research aimed to evaluate whether the neutrophil to lymphocyte and platelet (N/LP) ratio may be used to predict the risk of admission to the intensive care unit (ICU), the need for mechanical ventilation and in-hospital mortality in Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases.
Methods: The study was conducted retrospectively on the data of 134 COVID-19 patients who were admitted to the ICU. The N/LP ratio was calculated as follows: neutrophil count x 100 / (lymphocyte count x platelet count). Each member of the research cohort was categorised into 1 of 2 groups based on their survival status (survivor and non-survivor groups).
Results: In total, 82 (61%) patients died during the ICU stay. Patients who required mechanical ventilation and died in the ICU stay had significantly higher N/LP ratio than those who did not require it and survived [10 (IQR=4.94-19.38) vs 2.51 (IQR=1.67-5.49), p<0.001] and [11.27 (IQR=4.53-30.02) vs 1.65 (IQR=1-3.24), p<0.001], respectively. The N/LP ratio was linked with the requirement of mechanical ventilation and in-hospital death according to multivariable analysis. In receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, we found that N/LP in predicting admission to the ICU was >4.18 with 61% sensitivity and 62% specificity, it was >5.07 with 74% sensitivity and 73% specificity for the need for mechanical ventilation, and >3.69 with 81% sensitivity and 81% specificity to predict in-hospital death.
Conclusion: To our knowledge, this is the first study showing that the N/LP ratio, which is a novel and widely applicable inflammatory index, may be used to predict the risk of ICU admission, mechanical ventilation and in-hospital death in patients with COVID-19 disease.

Keywords: COVID-19; N/LP ratio; in-hospital mortality; predictive value.
 
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