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Med J Aust . Mortality among people admitted to Australian intensive care units for reasons other than COVID-19 during the COVID-19 pandemic: a ret

tetano

Editor, Senior Moderator
Med J Aust


. 2023 Apr 20.
doi: 10.5694/mja2.51933. Online ahead of print.
Mortality among people admitted to Australian intensive care units for reasons other than COVID-19 during the COVID-19 pandemic: a retrospective cohort study


Sing Chee Tan[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP], Tess Evans[SUP] 3 [/SUP], Matthew L Durie[SUP] 4 [/SUP], Paul J Secombe[SUP] 5 6 [/SUP], David Pilcher[SUP] 7 8 [/SUP]



Affiliations

Abstract

Objective: To investigate in-hospital mortality among people admitted to Australian intensive care units (ICUs) with conditions other than coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Design: National, multicentre, retrospective cohort study; analysis of data in the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society Centre for Outcome and Resource Evaluation (ANZICS CORE) Adult Patient Database.
Setting, participants: Adults (16 years or older) without COVID-19 admitted to Australian ICUs, 1 January 2016 - 30 June 2022.
Main outcome measures: All-cause in-hospital mortality, unadjusted and relative to the January 2016 value, adjusted for illness severity (Australian and New Zealand Risk of Death [ANZROD] and hospital type), with ICU as a random effect. Points of change in mortality trends (breakpoints) were identified by segmental regression analysis.
Results: Data for 950 489 eligible admissions to 186 ICUs were available. In-hospital mortality declined steadily from January 2016 to March 2021 by 0.3% per month (P < 0.001; March 2021 v January 2016: adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.70; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.62-0.80), but rose by 1.4% per month during March 2021 - June 2022 (P < 0.001; June 2022 v January 2016: aOR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.90-1.17). The rise in mortality continued after the number of COVID-19-related ICU admissions had declined; mortality increased in jurisdictions with lower as well as in those with higher numbers of COVID-19-related ICU admissions.
Conclusion: The rise in in-hospital mortality among people admitted to Australian ICUs with conditions other than COVID-19 from March 2021 reversed the improvement of the preceding five years. Changes to health service delivery during the pandemic and their consequences should be investigated further.

Keywords: COVID-19; Epidemiology; Intensive care; Quality of health care.
 
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