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Measuring Airport Connectivity Versus Distance Can Better Predict Virus Spread

tetano

Editor, Senior Moderator
By Bahar Gholipour, Staff Writer
Published: 12/12/2013 02:34 PM EST on LiveScience

London is actually closer, in a sense, to New York than to other British towns, if the traveler is a virus, new research shows.

Using measures of connectivity between airports, rather than actual distances, makes it possible to better predict where an emerging infectious disease will strike next, the researchers of a new study said.

In the study, the researchers defined an "effective distance" between any pair of airports in the world based on the air traffic between them, rather than the miles. The resulting model of disease spread predicted when a newly emerged disease could reach any given place, for both simulated future outbreaks and real epidemics of the past ? for example, the 2003 SARS epidemic and the 2009 swine flu pandemic.

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http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/...read_n_4440050.html?ncid=txtlnkusaolp00000592
 
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