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Maths adds new weapon in fight against pandemics

Shiloh

Editor, Senior Moderator
Source: http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2012-10/uow-man100512.php

Public release date: 8-Oct-2012

Contact: Anna Blackaby
a.blackaby@warwick.ac.uk
44-024-765-75910
University of Warwick
Maths adds new weapon in fight against pandemics

Mathematicians have developed a powerful tool to quantify the spread and infectiousness of viruses like the pandemic H1N1 flu strain, which can be used together with modern laboratory techniques to help the healthcare system plan its response to disease outbreaks.

By putting statistical data under the microscope, University of Warwick researchers have created a model to predict the impact of future pandemics in real-time as they strike...

...The study, Estimation of outbreak severity and transmissibility: Influenza A (H1N1)pdm90 in households, was published in the journal BMC Medicine.

It was led by Thomas House and Matt Keeling from the University of Warwick and co-authored by scientists from the Health Protection Agency and the University of Adelaide in Australia.

Dr Thomas House can be contacted on +44 (0) 24 7615 0862 or + 44 (0)7973 952588 or T.A.House@warwick.ac.uk
 
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