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Lloyd's Report - Pandemic - Potential Insurance Impacts

sharon sanders

Editor-in-Chief & President
hat tip Kobie and Fla Medic -

Pandemic report stresses need to be prepared

17 October 2008


The Emerging Risks Team has issued a new report on pandemics.



The Emerging Risks Team at Lloyd?s has issued a new report on the threat posed by a global pandemic.


Its report ?Pandemic - Potential Insurance Impacts? focuses on the threat to the global business community and, in particular, the insurance markets of a global pandemic.


The report concludes that a pandemic is inevitable, explaining that with historic recurrence rates of 30-50 years it is prudent to assume that a pandemic will occur sometime in the future.


Trevor Maynard, Manager, Emerging Risks, at Lloyd?s and the report?s author says: ?The significant message is that society should not optimise to one particular scenario as a worst case. Much has been said of the 1918 Spanish Flu epidemic, which is said to have killed up to 100 million people worldwide. While Avian Flu is seen as the most likely next pandemic, we have to ensure we are prepared for other types of pandemics that may require different responses and pose different challenges ?some of which may well have higher rates of mortality than flu.?

The report explores the threat of pandemic in terms of insured losses, with Maynard saying the economic impact could be significant depending on the scenario.


?The threat of pandemic to the global economy cannot be underestimated,? he explains. ?If you look at the example of a recent limited pandemic, such as SARS, the regional economic impact was severe and a repeat of the 1918 Spanish Flu outbreak, even without the current economic conditions, would be expected to reduce global GDP by between 1% and 10%.?


The report warns businesses that failure to take adequate steps to prepare for any pandemic could leave them and their insurers at target for Directors? & Officers? claims.

?In some respects business leaders have to ensure that they are not the odd one out, particularly given the large volume of information that is available to help with planning,? adds Maynard. ?You do not want to be the one business that has not taken adequate steps to prepare contingency plans in the case of a pandemic and see your business perform worse than your peers.?



http://www.lloyds.com/News_Centre/F...ort_stresses_need_to_be_prepared_17102008.htm
 
Re: Lloyd's Report - Pandemic - Potential Insurance Impacts

Pardon me Florida1,
but that Lloyd's statements seems the same soup, now it pass the blame and the costs from the gov. to the business, and subsequently to the folks:
___
#1:
"The report warns businesses that failure to take adequate steps to prepare for any pandemic could leave them and their insurers at target for Directors’ & Officers’ claims.
“In some respects business leaders have to ensure that they are not the odd one out, particularly given the large volume of information that is available to help with planning,” adds Maynard. “You do not want to be the one business that has not taken adequate steps to prepare contingency plans in the case of a pandemic and see your business perform worse than your peers.”
___

If we analyse the above, seems that instead to be asured an society/business coordinated antipandemic efforts ~ it is important to do the paperwork in a way the (pandemic harmed) citizens can't fill a claim to the insurer company/business.

Remembering a spox vaccine situations years ago, than was also a trying to relativize by insurers shielding law statements the vacc. side effects before its wider use.

Is it now the same trying of resolve the "to be" costs of future claims because of pandemic (flu or else) vaccine inoculations with heavy side effects?

At the moment that Lloyd Report don't raise the actual danger level:
"... with historic recurrence rates of 30-50 years it is prudent to assume that a pandemic will occur sometime in the future ..."
 
Re: Lloyd's Report - Pandemic - Potential Insurance Impacts

Source: http://www.workforce.com/section/00/article/25/85/77.php

Insurer: Flu Outbreak Could Cause Global Recession

The Lloyd?s of London report, ?Pandemic?Potential Insurance Impacts,? concludes that a pandemic is inevitable. The report focuses on the impact of a global pandemic on the business community and, in particular, the insurance markets.

October 22, 2008
Insurer: Flu Outbreak Could Cause Global Recession

A repeat of the Spanish flu outbreak of 1918 is expected to cause a global recession on a scope ranging from 1 to 10 percent of global gross domestic product, according to a report released October 17 by Lloyd?s of London?s emerging risk team.

The Lloyd?s report, ?Pandemic?Potential Insurance Impacts,? concludes that a pandemic is inevitable, with historic recurrence rates of 30 to 50 years. The report focuses on the impact of a global pandemic on the business community and, in particular, the insurance markets.

The impact on some classes of insurance business, namely life and health, would be adverse, Lloyd?s finds. Many forms of liability covers, including general liability, directors and officers, medical malpractice, as well as products offering business interruption and event cancellation could be triggered, the report states.

?The significant message is that society should not optimize to one particular scenario as a worst case,? said Trevor Maynard, manager, emerging risks at Lloyd?s and the report?s author.

?Much has been said of the 1918 Spanish flu epidemic, which is said to have killed up to 100 million people worldwide. While Avian flu is seen as the most likely next pandemic, we have to ensure we are prepared for other types of pandemics that may require different responses and pose different challenges?some of which may well have higher rates of mortality than flu,? he said in a statement.

The full report can be read at: http://www.lloyds.com/Lloyds_Market..._Management/Emerging_risks/Emerging_risks.htm

Filed by Richard Miller of Business Insurance Europe, a sister publication of Workforce Management. To comment, e-mail editors@workforce.com.
 
Re: Lloyd's Report - Pandemic - Potential Insurance Impacts

#3:
"... we have to ensure we are prepared for other types of pandemics that may require different responses and pose different challenges?some of which may well have higher rates of mortality than flu,? he said in a statement."

I agree.

But in any pandemics the need to prepare the same basic things: shielding all the population with vaccines, have stocks of antibiotics of new generation, chronic illness meds and food, with an well prepared and trained health system, logistic plans of isolations/quarantines/SIP at home with delivered water/energy, remains the same as for flu, or even more needed.

The various scenarious were certainly simulated long ago by the various joint orgs for the civilian sector also.
 
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