Regarding the new coronavirus infection, a team of experts from the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare has estimated the case where no preventive measures were taken in the country, and announced that in the worst case, more than 400,000 people will die. Experts call out that reducing contact with people is effective in preventing the spread of infection. I want people to refrain from going out as much as possible.
The Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare has set up a specialist countermeasure team to prevent the spread of infection in Japan, and members of the team, Professor Hiroshi Nishiura of Hokkaido University graduate school and others, announced estimates of the spread of infection on the 15th.
Based on this, it is estimated that the number of seriously ill patients who need ventilators will reach a peak in about 60 days after the infection begins to spread if no measures are taken to prevent infection such as going out. I am.
The total number of serious cases in that case is approximately 200,000 between the ages of 15 and 64, and 650,000 over the age of 65, with a total of approximately 850,000.
In that case, there is a lack of ventilator, it is not possible to receive necessary treatment, and there is a study that half of seriously ill patients have died in China as well. Then I estimate.
Professor Nishiura said that it was an estimate when no measures were taken and said, "To prevent the spread of infection, it is effective to reduce contact with people. Avoid going out as much as possible and avoid contact with people as much as possible. I want you to. "
Secretary-General of the Cabinet Secretariat "Promoting efforts and making every effort to prevent expansion"
At the press conference in the morning, Chief Cabinet Secretary Suga did not know the estimates of the expert team of the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare and wanted to refrain from answering, `` What the government is currently doing is given by experts. Since we are deciding based on numerical values, etc., we are firmly promoting efforts to prevent the spread of infection, and we are making every effort to prevent the spread of infection. "
