Re: JAMA. Critically Ill Patients With 2009 Influenza A(H1N1) in Mexico
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Critically Ill Patients With 2009 Influenza A(H1N1) in Mexico[/FONT] [FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif]
<nobr>Guillermo Domínguez-Cherit, MD</nobr>; <nobr>Stephen E. Lapinsky, MB, BCh, MSc</nobr>; <nobr>Alejandro E. Macias, MD</nobr>; <nobr>Ruxandra Pinto, PhD(Stat)</nobr>; <nobr>Lourdes Espinosa-Perez, MD</nobr>; <nobr>Alethse de la Torre, MD</nobr>; <nobr>Manuel Poblano-Morales, MD</nobr>; <nobr>Jose A. Baltazar-Torres, MD</nobr>; <nobr>Edgar Bautista, MD</nobr>; <nobr>Abril Martinez, MD</nobr>; <nobr>Marco A. Martinez, MD</nobr>; <nobr>Eduardo Rivero, MD</nobr>; <nobr>Rafael Valdez, MD</nobr>; <nobr>Guillermo Ruiz-Palacios, MD</nobr>; <nobr>Martín Hernández, MD</nobr>; <nobr>Thomas E. Stewart, MD</nobr>; <nobr>Robert A. Fowler, MD, MS(Epi)</nobr> [/FONT]
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JAMA. 2009;302(17)doi:10.1001/jama.2009.1536). [/FONT]
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ABSTRACT [/FONT] <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td width="100%" bgcolor="#6a90aa">
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Context In March 2009, novel 2009 influenza A(H1N1) was<sup> </sup>first reported in the southwestern United States and Mexico.<sup> </sup>The population and health care system in Mexico City experienced<sup> </sup>the first and greatest early burden of critical illness.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Objective To describe baseline characteristics, treatment,<sup> </sup>and outcomes of consecutive critically ill patients in Mexico<sup> </sup>hospitals that treated the majority of such patients with confirmed,<sup> </sup>probable, or suspected 2009 influenza A(H1N1).<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Design, Setting, and Patients Observational study of 58<sup> </sup>critically ill patients with 2009 influenza A(H1N1) at 6 hospitals<sup> </sup>between March 24 and June 1, 2009. Demographic data, symptoms,<sup> </sup>comorbid conditions, illness progression, treatments, and clinical<sup> </sup>outcomes were collected using a piloted case report form.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Main Outcome Measures The primary outcome measure was<sup> </sup>mortality. Secondary outcomes included rate of 2009 influenza<sup> </sup>(A)H1N1–related critical illness and mechanical ventilation<sup> </sup>as well as intensive care unit (ICU) and hospital length of<sup> </sup>stay.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Results Critical illness occurred in 58 of 899 patients<sup> </sup>(6.5%) admitted to the hospital with confirmed, probable, or<sup> </sup>suspected 2009 influenza (A)H1N1. Patients were young (median,<sup> </sup>44.0 [range, 10-83] years); all presented with fever and all<sup> </sup>but 1 with respiratory symptoms. Few patients had comorbid respiratory<sup> </sup>disorders, but 21 (36%) were obese. Time from hospital to ICU<sup> </sup>admission was short (median, 1 day [interquartile range {IQR},<sup> </sup>0-3 days]), and all patients but 2 received mechanical ventilation<sup> </sup>for severe acute respiratory distress syndrome and refractory<sup> </sup>hypoxemia (median day 1 ratio of Pa[SIZE=-2]O<sub>2</sub> to fraction of inspired<sup> </sup>oxygen, 83 [IQR, 59-145] mm Hg). By 60 days, 24 patients had<sup> </sup>died (41.4%; 95% confidence interval, 28.9%-55.0%). Patients<sup> </sup>who died had greater initial severity of illness, worse hypoxemia,<sup> </sup>higher creatine kinase levels, higher creatinine levels, and<sup> </sup>ongoing organ dysfunction. After adjusting for a reduced opportunity<sup> </sup>of patients dying early to receive neuraminidase inhibitors,<sup> </sup>neuraminidase inhibitor treatment (vs no treatment) was associated<sup> </sup>with improved survival (odds ratio, 7.4; 95% confidence interval,<sup> </sup>1.8-31.0).<sup> </sup>[/SIZE][/FONT]
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Conclusion Critical illness from 2009 influenza A(H1N1)<sup> </sup>in Mexico occurred in young individuals, was associated with<sup> </sup>severe acute respiratory distress syndrome and shock, and had<sup> </sup>a high case-fatality rate.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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[FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif] INTRODUCTION [/FONT] <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td width="100%" bgcolor="#6a90aa"></td><td></td></tr></tbody></table> [/FONT] <table marginwidth="0" marginheight="0" leftmargin="0" topmargin="0" align="right" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td nowrap="nowrap" valign="top"> <table topmargin="0" leftmargin="0" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" width="140" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td rowspan="2" width="1" align="left" bgcolor="#ffffff">
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Introduction[/FONT]</td></tr> <tr><td width="5" valign="TOP"><nobr>
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Methods[/FONT]</td></tr> <tr><td width="5" valign="TOP"><nobr>
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On April 21, 2009, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention<sup> </sup>reported the detection of 2 cases of human infection with 2009<sup> </sup>influenza A(H1N1) in California.<sup>1</sup> The greatest initial burden<sup> </sup>of critical illness and death occurred in Mexico<sup>2</sup> between March<sup> </sup>18, 2009, and June 1, 2009, with 5029 cases and 97 documented<sup> </sup>deaths.<sup>2-6</sup> By August 30, 2009, there were more than 116 046<sup> </sup>cases with 2234 deaths in the Americas and 277 607 documented<sup> </sup>cases and at least 3205 deaths worldwide.<sup>2, 7</sup><sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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We report on 58 patients in Mexico who developed critical illness<sup> </sup>from confirmed, probable, or suspected 2009 influenza A(H1N1).<sup> </sup>This early information may be of considerable value for (1)<sup> </sup>the early identification of individuals at risk of becoming<sup> </sup>critically ill and who may benefit from targeted interventions<sup> </sup>including vaccination and antiviral therapy; (2) pandemic health<sup> </sup>care resource planning; and (3) providing baseline 2009 influenza<sup> </sup>A(H1N1)–associated morbidity and mortality data, comparing<sup> </sup>experiences in different jurisdictions, and identifying changes<sup> </sup>in disease virulence over time.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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[FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif] METHODS [/FONT] <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td width="100%" bgcolor="#6a90aa"></td><td></td></tr></tbody></table> [/FONT] <table marginwidth="0" marginheight="0" leftmargin="0" topmargin="0" align="right" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td nowrap="nowrap" valign="top"> <table topmargin="0" leftmargin="0" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" width="140" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td rowspan="2" width="1" align="left" bgcolor="#ffffff">
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Jump to Section[/FONT]</td></tr> <tr><td width="5" valign="TOP"><nobr>
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Introduction[/FONT]</td></tr> <tr><td width="5" valign="TOP"><nobr>
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Methods[/FONT]</td></tr> <tr><td width="5" valign="TOP"><nobr>
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Results[/FONT]</td></tr> <tr><td width="5" valign="TOP"><nobr>
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Comment[/FONT]</td></tr> <tr><td width="5" valign="TOP"><nobr>
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[FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif]Study Design[/FONT][/FONT]
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We retrospectively studied all critically ill patients with<sup> </sup>confirmed, probable, or suspected 2009 influenza A(H1N1) in<sup> </sup>Mexico admitted between March 24, 2009, and June 1, 2009, to<sup> </sup>6 hospitals that were reference centers for the care of patients<sup> </sup>with influenza (Figure 1). Identification of all such patients<sup> </sup>was achieved by examining admission logs for all patient care<sup> </sup>areas, in collaboration with critical care and infectious diseases<sup> </sup>physicians in each participating hospital and with regional<sup> </sup>health authorities in Mexico.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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<table width="100%" bgcolor="#6a90aa" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="center"> <table width="100%" align="center" bgcolor="#6a90aa" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="left" bgcolor="#dce4ee" valign="top"> <table topmargin="0" leftmargin="0" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" width="250" border="0" cellpadding="10" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="center" bgcolor="#dce4ee" valign="center">[FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif] 
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</nobr> [/FONT] </td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <td width="1" bgcolor="#6a90aa"> </td> <td width="1000" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top"> <table topmargin="0" leftmargin="0" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" border="0" cellpadding="10" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="left" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top">[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif] Figure 1. Admissions to Emergency Department, Hospital, and Intensive Care Unit (ICU) in a Single Study Hospital During the 2009 Influenza A(H1N1) Outbreak Period, Mexico, 2009[/FONT] [FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif]Hospitalized patients represent a subset of those assessed in the emergency department; patients admitted to ICU represent a subset of those hospitalized.[/FONT]
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We classified patients according to case definitions (confirmed,<sup> </sup>probable, or suspected) developed by the World Health Organization,<sup> </sup>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and the National<sup> </sup>Microbiology Laboratory (see eAppendix).<sup>8-10</sup> We defined critically<sup> </sup>ill patients as those admitted to an adult or pediatric intensive<sup> </sup>care unit (ICU); requiring mechanical ventilation; having a<sup> </sup>fraction of inspired oxygen (F[SIZE=-2]IO<sub>2</sub>) greater than or equal to<sup> </sup>60%; or receiving intravenous infusion of inotropic or vasopressor<sup> </sup>medication during the hospitalization.<sup> </sup>[/SIZE][/FONT]
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To evaluate the proportion of patients who became critically<sup> </sup>ill, we compared our study population with the total number<sup> </sup>of inpatients diagnosed with confirmed, probable, or suspected<sup> </sup>2009 influenza A(H1N1) and treated at any of the participating<sup> </sup>hospitals by June 1, 2009. All patients admitted to these 6<sup> </sup>hospitals with respiratory symptoms or fever were routinely<sup> </sup>screened for 2009 influenza A(H1N1) during the outbreak period.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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[FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif]Case Report Generation, Dissemination, and Ethics Approval[/FONT][/FONT]
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Investigators in Canada collaborated with colleagues in Mexico<sup> </sup>and developed a data collection form with input from critical<sup> </sup>care personnel, infectious diseases clinicians, and clinical<sup> </sup>researchers, including the Canadian Critical Care Trials Group.<sup>11</sup><sup> </sup>Research ethics board review and approval was granted by Sunnybrook<sup> </sup>Health Sciences Centre on April 30, 2009, and subsequently by<sup> </sup>the ethics boards of participating jurisdictions in Mexico.<sup> </sup>The data collection form was posted on academic institutional<sup> </sup>and critical care society Web sites on or after May 3, 2009.<sup>12-14</sup><sup> </sup>Data collection in Mexico commenced on May 1, 2009, was entered<sup> </sup>by study site personnel, transmitted to the coordinating center<sup> </sup>in Toronto, then checked for errors through manual and electronic<sup> </sup>inspection using prespecified range limits.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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[FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif]Data Collection[/FONT][/FONT]
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Data collection included 2009 influenza A(H1N1) and critical<sup> </sup>illness eligibility criteria, demographic data, and details<sup> </sup>of influenza contact, symptoms, comorbid conditions, clinical<sup> </sup>characteristics, time course of the acute illness, microbiology<sup> </sup>samples, and treatments (eAppendix). Severity of illness was<sup> </sup>assessed using the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation<sup> </sup>II (APACHE II) score for adults or Pediatric Risk of Mortality<sup> </sup>III score for children.<sup>15-16</sup> Reporting of ventilatory parameters,<sup> </sup>arterial blood gas values, and chest radiograph findings, as<sup> </sup>well as Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores, was<sup> </sup>performed on days 1, 3, 7, 14, and 28, using the values closest<sup> </sup>to 8:00 [SIZE=-2]AM where appropriate.<sup>
17</sup> Outcome variables included duration<sup> </sup>of mechanical ventilation, ICU and hospital length of stay,<sup> </sup>and ICU and hospital mortality at 14, 28, and 60 days from onset<sup> </sup>of critical illness.<sup> </sup>[/SIZE][/FONT]
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From the largest referral centers, we were able to collect more<sup> </sup>detailed information on the total number of patients presenting<sup> </sup>to the emergency department with influenzalike illness as well<sup> </sup>as those admitted to the hospital and to the ICU, and to calculate<sup> </sup>the proportion of patients critically ill with influenza-related<sup> </sup>pneumonia as a function of total number of ICU beds. In the<sup> </sup>largest centers, we also collected detailed information on health<sup> </sup>care worker exposure and illness to assess risk posed to health<sup> </sup>care professionals through care of patients with 2009 influenza<sup> </sup>A(H1N1).<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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[FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif]Analysis[/FONT][/FONT]
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Descriptive data are presented as frequencies (percentages)<sup> </sup>for discrete variables and as means (SDs) or medians (interquartile<sup> </sup>ranges [IQRs]) for continuous variables. Because few patients<sup> </sup>remained alive and in the ICU at 28 days, nonoutcome variables<sup> </sup>are presented on days 1, 3, 7, and 14 but not day 28. To determine<sup> </sup>if there were differences in baseline characteristics between<sup> </sup>patients who survived vs those who died, we used a 2-sample<sup> </sup>t test or the Wilcoxon rank sum test for continuous variables<sup> </sup>and a <sup>2</sup> test or Fisher exact test for the discrete variables.<sup> </sup>Analyses to detect differences in treatment variables between<sup> </sup>survivors and nonsurvivors are at risk of confounding due to<sup> </sup>immortal time bias—ie, patients who die quickly have less<sup> </sup>"opportunity" to be exposed to certain therapies. Therefore,<sup> </sup>we restricted comparisons of neuraminidase use to patients who<sup> </sup>did not die within the first 3 days after admission to the hospital<sup> </sup>and adjusted for differences in severity of illness using the<sup> </sup>APACHE II score in a multiple logistic regression model.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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The Kaplan-Meier method was used to determine the probability<sup> </sup>of survival over the duration of follow-up and to generate survival<sup> </sup>curves, censoring at 60 days all individuals discharged from<sup> </sup>the hospital alive. We compared the discriminative ability of<sup> </sup>the day-1 SOFA and APACHE II scores on mortality by testing<sup> </sup>the difference in C statistics (area under the receiver operating<sup> </sup>characteristic curve).<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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All statistical tests were 2-tailed, and factors were considered<sup> </sup>statistically significant at < .05. SAS version<sup> </sup>9.2 (SAS Institute Inc, Cary, North Carolina) was used for all<sup> </sup>analyses.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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[FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif] RESULTS [/FONT] <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td width="100%" bgcolor="#6a90aa"></td><td></td></tr></tbody></table> [/FONT] <table marginwidth="0" marginheight="0" leftmargin="0" topmargin="0" align="right" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td nowrap="nowrap" valign="top"> <table topmargin="0" leftmargin="0" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" width="140" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td rowspan="2" width="1" align="left" bgcolor="#ffffff">
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[FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif]Characteristics of Study Patients and Hospitals[/FONT][/FONT]
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During the study period 899 patients with confirmed, probable,<sup> </sup>or suspected 2009 influenza A(H1N1) were assessed and admitted<sup> </sup>to study hospitals having a mean of 289 (SD, 167) beds and 16<sup> </sup>(SD, 8) critical care beds. Critical illness occurred in 58<sup> </sup>patients (6.5%) admitted to the hospital (29 confirmed, 14 probable,<sup> </sup>15 suspected). There were no significant differences in demographics,<sup> </sup>severity of illness, comorbid conditions, or mortality among<sup> </sup>those with confirmed, probable, or suspected 2009 influenza<sup> </sup>A(H1N1), and they are described as a single group.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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As a result of increased patient volumes, many experienced delay<sup> </sup>in admission to the ICU, and 4 remained in the emergency department<sup> </sup>until death. During the period of data collection, there were<sup> </sup>5029 cases of 2009 influenza A(H1N1) and 97 deaths in all of<sup> </sup>Mexico.<sup>18</sup> This cohort from 6 hospitals represents approximately<sup> </sup>one-quarter of all deaths in Mexico during the study period.<sup> </sup>We have described the temporal burden of influenza and H1N1<sup> </sup>on the largest study center, outlining the number of cases of<sup> </sup>influenzalike illness presenting to the emergency department<sup> </sup>and admitted to the hospital and cases of influenza-related<sup> </sup>illness admitted to the ICU (Figure 1). The usual capacity to<sup> </sup>care for critically ill patients was exceeded, necessitating<sup> </sup>care in other patient care areas and the addition of ICU beds<sup> </sup>and ventilators on 2 occasions.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Study patients were a median age of 44 (range, 10-83) years<sup> </sup>(Figure 2), 53% were female, and 2 were health care workers<sup> </sup>(Table 1). Only 2 children (10 and 14 years) were admitted to<sup> </sup>study centers with critical illness and had mean admission Pediatric<sup> </sup>Risk of Mortality III scores of 6.5 (SD, 2.1). Among all patients,<sup> </sup>symptoms included fever in 58 (100%); respiratory complaints<sup> </sup>(cough, dyspnea, or wheeze) in 57 (98%); generalized weakness<sup> </sup>in 41 (71%); myalgias in 35 (60%); headache in 33 (57%); and<sup> </sup>gastrointestinal symptoms of nausea, vomiting, or diarrhea in<sup> </sup>18 (30%).<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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</nobr> [/FONT] </td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <td width="1" bgcolor="#6a90aa"> </td> <td width="1000" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top"> <table topmargin="0" leftmargin="0" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" border="0" cellpadding="10" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="left" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top">[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif] Figure 2. Age Distribution of 58 Critically Ill Patients With Confirmed, Probable, or Suspected 2009 Influenza A(H1N1) Infection[/FONT] [FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif]Intervals on the x-axis are equal to the lower limit and less than the upper limit.[/FONT]
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<table width="100%" bgcolor="#6a90aa" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="center"> <table width="100%" align="center" bgcolor="#6a90aa" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="left" bgcolor="#dce4ee" valign="top"> <table topmargin="0" leftmargin="0" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" width="140" border="0" cellpadding="10" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="center" bgcolor="#dce4ee" valign="center">[FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif] View this table:
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</nobr> [/FONT] </td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <td width="1" bgcolor="#6a90aa"> </td> <td width="1000" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top"> <table topmargin="0" leftmargin="0" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" border="0" cellpadding="10" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="left" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top">[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif] Table 1. Characteristics of Critically Ill Patients With Confirmed, Probable, or Suspected 2009 Influenza A(H1N1) Infection, March 24, 2009, to June 1, 2009[/FONT]
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The median number of comorbid conditions was 2 (IQR, 1-4) (Table 1).<sup> </sup>Only 2 patients had a history of chronic obstructive pulmonary<sup> </sup>disease. Obesity was the most common comorbid condition (mean<sup> </sup>body mass index [BMI], 32 [SD, 12], calculated as weight in<sup> </sup>kilograms divided by height in meters squared). Twenty-one patients<sup> </sup>(36%) had a BMI greater than 30; 8 (14%) were morbidly obese<sup> </sup>(BMI >40).<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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[FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif]Course of Illness and Treatments Received[/FONT][/FONT]
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Medical Therapies. Patients developed first symptoms a median<sup> </sup>of 6 (IQR, 4-8) days prior to hospitalization. Time from hospitalization<sup> </sup>to ICU admission was 1 (IQR, 0-3) day. Among 55 patients confirmed<sup> </sup>to have received medical therapies (unknown for 3), 52 (95%)<sup> </sup>were treated with antibiotics, while 45 (78%) received neuraminidase<sup> </sup>inhibitors (oseltamivir [44], zanamivir [6]), 8 received amantidine<sup> </sup>(14%), 1 rimantidine (2%), and 40 (69%) corticosteroids. Two<sup> </sup>patients received recombinant activated protein C. Two had received<sup> </sup>an influenza vaccination in 2008 or 2009.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Ventilation Support. Fifty-four patients, including 1 of 2 children,<sup> </sup>required mechanical ventilation (48 invasive, 22 noninvasive,<sup> </sup>16 both) during the course of hospitalization (Table 2 and eTable).<sup>19</sup><sup> </sup>On the first day of critical illness, the mean F[SIZE=-2]IO<sub>2</sub> was 72%<sup> </sup>(SD, 26%), set positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) was 13<sup> </sup>(SD, 5) cm H<sub>2</sub>O, and plateau pressure was 27 (SD, 7) cm H<sub>2</sub>O.<sup> </sup>Median ratio of Pa[SIZE=-2]O[/SIZE]<sub>2</sub> to F[SIZE=-2]IO[/SIZE]<sub>2</sub> was 83 (IQR, 59-145) mm Hg, with<sup> </sup>oxygen saturation of 88% (SD, 13%). Four patients received prone<sup> </sup>ventilation on their first day in the ICU, owing to severe hypoxia.<sup> </sup>Tidal volume per ideal body weight was 8.3 (SD, 3) mL/kg. Day<sup> </sup>1 chest radiographs demonstrated bilateral disease in 95.6%<sup> </sup>of patients. Barotrauma occurred in 6 patients (10.3%) over<sup> </sup>the study. Patients received high F[SIZE=-2]IO[/SIZE]<sub>2</sub>, high PEEP, and were<sup> </sup>commonly ventilated in the prone position. Only 1 patient received<sup> </sup>high-frequency oscillatory ventilation, and none was known to<sup> </sup>receive nitric oxide or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation.<sup> </sup>[/SIZE][/FONT]
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<table width="100%" bgcolor="#6a90aa" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="center"> <table width="100%" align="center" bgcolor="#6a90aa" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="left" bgcolor="#dce4ee" valign="top"> <table topmargin="0" leftmargin="0" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" width="140" border="0" cellpadding="10" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="center" bgcolor="#dce4ee" valign="center">[FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif] View this table:
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</nobr> [/FONT] </td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <td width="1" bgcolor="#6a90aa"> </td> <td width="1000" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top"> <table topmargin="0" leftmargin="0" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" border="0" cellpadding="10" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="left" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top">[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif] Table 2. Organ Dysfunction Over Time Among 58 Critically Ill Patients With Confirmed, Probable, or Suspected 2009 Influenza A(H1N1) Infection<sup>a</sup>[/FONT]
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Nonrespiratory Organ Dysfunction. A large number of patients<sup> </sup>(34 [58.6%]) initially required inotropic or vasoactive medications<sup> </sup>at day 1 (Table 2). Creatine kinase level was elevated (285<sup> </sup>[IQR, 136-1159] IU/L). Initial other organ dysfunction was mild.<sup> </sup>Over the course of follow-up, hypotension requiring vasoactive<sup> </sup>medication support remained common at days 3, 7, and 14. Staphylococcus<sup> </sup>aureus was the most commonly identified cause of secondary bacterial<sup> </sup>pneumonia (4 patients).<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Outcomes. After 60 days from the onset of critical illness,<sup> </sup>24 of 58 patients (41.4%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 28.9%-55.0%)<sup> </sup>had died (Table 3, Figure 3). In Mexico, most (19) patients<sup> </sup>died within the first 2 weeks after becoming critically ill.<sup> </sup>An additional 4 patients died by day 28, with only 1 additional<sup> </sup>death occurring within 60 days.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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<table width="100%" bgcolor="#6a90aa" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="center"> <table width="100%" align="center" bgcolor="#6a90aa" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="left" bgcolor="#dce4ee" valign="top"> <table topmargin="0" leftmargin="0" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" width="140" border="0" cellpadding="10" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="center" bgcolor="#dce4ee" valign="center">[FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif] View this table:
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</nobr> [/FONT] </td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <td width="1" bgcolor="#6a90aa"> </td> <td width="1000" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top"> <table topmargin="0" leftmargin="0" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" border="0" cellpadding="10" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="left" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top">[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif] Table 3. Clinical Course and Outcomes of Patients With Confirmed, Probable, or Suspected 2009 Influenza A(H1N1) Infection[/FONT]
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<table width="100%" bgcolor="#6a90aa" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="center"> <table width="100%" align="center" bgcolor="#6a90aa" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="left" bgcolor="#dce4ee" valign="top"> <table topmargin="0" leftmargin="0" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" width="250" border="0" cellpadding="10" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="center" bgcolor="#dce4ee" valign="center">[FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif] 
View larger version (23K):
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</nobr> [/FONT] </td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <td width="1" bgcolor="#6a90aa"> </td> <td width="1000" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top"> <table topmargin="0" leftmargin="0" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" border="0" cellpadding="10" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="left" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top">[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif] Figure 3. Survival of Patients Critically Ill With Confirmed, Probable, or Suspected 2009 Influenza A(H1N1) Infection[/FONT] [FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif]Dashed lines indicate 95% confidence intervals.[/FONT]
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Four patients died in the emergency department, 3 within 8 hours<sup> </sup>and 1 within 24 hours of arrival. All deaths within 28 days<sup> </sup>were primarily related to respiratory failure, with only 1 late<sup> </sup>death primarily related to multisystem organ dysfunction. The<sup> </sup>2 included children both survived and were discharged from the<sup> </sup>hospital. Intensive care unit length of stay among survivors<sup> </sup>was 13.5 (IQR, 6-24) days, while nonsurvivors died 7.0 (IQR,<sup> </sup>2-13) days after ICU admission (Table 3). Duration of mechanical<sup> </sup>ventilation among survivors was 15 (IQR, 8-26) days and among<sup> </sup>nonsurvivors was 7.5 (IQR, 3-13.5) days. Many patients received<sup> </sup>ventilation outside of the ICU.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Comparison of Survivors and Nonsurvivors. Patients who died<sup> </sup>were more likely to have a higher APACHE II and SOFA score,<sup> </sup>lower mean arterial pressure at admission, evidence of renal<sup> </sup>and hepatic organ injury, lower ratio of Pa[SIZE=-2]O<sub>2</sub> to F[SIZE=-2]IO[/SIZE]<sub>2</sub>, and higher<sup> </sup>set PEEP at admission to the ICU (
Table 4). There were no significant<sup> </sup>differences in tidal volume or ventilation strategies between<sup> </sup>survivors and nonsurvivors. Patients with higher creatine kinase<sup> </sup>levels had a greater likelihood of dying at 28 days. Both APACHE<sup> </sup>II and day-1 SOFA score were significantly associated with 28-day<sup> </sup>mortality (
P < .001 for both), and there was no<sup> </sup>difference in predictive value (C = 0.83 and C = 0.87,<sup> </sup>respectively;
P = .52). After excluding patients dying<sup> </sup>early (within 72 hours of illness onset), who may have had less<sup> </sup>opportunity to be exposed to neuraminidase inhibitors, survivors<sup> </sup>were more likely to have received treatment with neuraminidase<sup> </sup>inhibitors (odds ratio, 7.4; 95% CI, 1.8-31.0;
P = .006).<sup> </sup>[/SIZE][/FONT]
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</nobr> [/FONT] </td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <td width="1" bgcolor="#6a90aa"> </td> <td width="1000" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top"> <table topmargin="0" leftmargin="0" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" border="0" cellpadding="10" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="left" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top">[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif] Table 4. Comparison of Survivors and Nonsurvivors[/FONT]
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Risk to Health Care Workers. Among the 3 largest centers caring<sup> </sup>for 65.6% of the patients in this series, 40 of 6755 health<sup> </sup>care workers (0.6%) developed 2009 influenza A(H1N1), including<sup> </sup>10 of 2421 workers (0.5%) from clinical areas. Only 1 health<sup> </sup>care worker became critically ill, and this patient was believed<sup> </sup>to have acquired H1N1 outside of the workplace.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Our analysis of critically ill patients with 2009 influenza<sup> </sup>A(H1N1) reveals that this disease affected a young patient group.<sup> </sup>Fever and respiratory symptoms were harbingers of disease in<sup> </sup>almost all cases. There was a relatively long period of illness<sup> </sup>prior to presentation to the hospital, followed by a short period<sup> </sup>of acute and severe respiratory deterioration. These patients<sup> </sup>had severe hypoxia and acute respiratory distress syndrome and<sup> </sup>required high F[SIZE=-2]IO<sub>2</sub>, PEEP, and ventilatory pressures. Within<sup> </sup>60 days, 41% of critically ill patients had died.<sup> </sup>[/SIZE][/FONT]
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The mortality rate of 41% for 2009 influenza A(H1N1)–associated<sup> </sup>critical illness is not dissimilar to that for acute respiratory<sup> </sup>distress syndrome resulting from other influenza but is higher<sup> </sup>than that for severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), and<sup> </sup>deaths in Mexico appear to have been more directly related to<sup> </sup>respiratory rather than multiorgan failure.<sup>20-22</sup> The low median<sup> </sup>age and relatively good prior health of this critically ill<sup> </sup>group are different from those for seasonal influenza and SARS,<sup>22</sup><sup> </sup>in which older patients appear more susceptible to severe disease.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Although serologic studies suggest that 2009 influenza A(H1N1)<sup> </sup>is a novel influenza strain with little protection afforded<sup> </sup>by seasonal influenza vaccination, adults older than 60 years<sup> </sup>appear to have some preexisting immunity to this novel virus.<sup>23</sup><sup> </sup>While a degree of cross-immunity might be afforded through a<sup> </sup>long history of annual vaccination, the specific effect of uncommon<sup> </sup>prior seasonal influenza vaccination, if any, is unclear. The<sup> </sup>age distribution of the general population in Mexico differs<sup> </sup>from that in many developed nations, with a much larger proportion<sup> </sup>of the population in lower age categories, and therefore it<sup> </sup>may not be surprising that young individuals comprise a greater<sup> </sup>proportion of those infected.<sup>24</sup><sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Approximately 18% of critically ill patients with SARS were<sup> </sup>health care workers.<sup>22</sup> With SARS, viral shedding appeared to<sup> </sup>peak at about 7 days, coinciding with the time of ICU admission<sup> </sup>for many patients. Viral shedding in seasonal influenza is maximal<sup> </sup>near onset of the disease, then decreases rapidly.<sup>25</sup> These patients<sup> </sup>presented to the hospital and were admitted to the ICU a median<sup> </sup>of 6 days after disease onset, which may in part explain the<sup> </sup>apparent lack of nosocomial transmission among critically ill<sup> </sup>patients. Avian influenza A(H5N1) outbreaks would appear to<sup> </sup>have a significantly higher mortality than 2009 influenza A(H1N1)<sup> </sup>in patients requiring advanced organ support (approximately<sup> </sup>90%, with median time from hospital admission to death of 6<sup> </sup>days).<sup>26-28</sup> These baseline data will allow evaluation of whether<sup> </sup>the morbidity and mortality of this infection are worsening<sup> </sup>over time, which has been the case in many other pandemics.<sup>29</sup><sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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We found that certain baseline characteristics of critically<sup> </sup>ill patients with 2009 influenza A(H1N1) may be associated with<sup> </sup>increased mortality, including cardiovascular, respiratory,<sup> </sup>and renal organ dysfunction. Novel findings include possible<sup> </sup>worse outcomes among patients presenting with an elevated creatine<sup> </sup>kinase level. Elevated creatine kinase levels and rhabdomyolysis<sup> </sup>have been previously reported to complicate seasonal influenza,<sup> </sup>although more commonly in children.<sup>30-31</sup> Obesity was the most<sup> </sup>common comorbid condition in these patients and was more prevalent<sup> </sup>(36%) in this series than the general population prevalence<sup> </sup>(30%) in Mexico.<sup>32</sup> However, mortality was not significantly<sup> </sup>higher among obese patients compared with nonobese patients.<sup> </sup>Among other patient cohorts with undifferentiated acute respiratory<sup> </sup>distress syndrome, increased BMI has not emerged as a predictor<sup> </sup>of mortality.<sup>33</sup><sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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A better understanding of these factors, which were common,<sup> </sup>or those that suggest a higher mortality may provide health<sup> </sup>care professionals an earlier opportunity to identify and treat<sup> </sup>high-risk groups. Importantly, we found in this cohort that<sup> </sup>either SOFA or APACHE II scores may help to identify patients<sup> </sup>at high risk of death. Some authors have previously suggested<sup> </sup>the use of SOFA scores for triage during pandemic periods, owing<sup> </sup>to their relative ease of calculation.<sup>34</sup><sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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The strengths of this study include a large and detailed description<sup> </sup>of patients critically ill as a result of 2009 influenza A(H1N1).<sup> </sup>We have highlighted what appear to be differences in severity<sup> </sup>of illness, associations, and outcomes from other recent infectious<sup> </sup>respiratory outbreaks. The methods of rapid case report modification,<sup> </sup>research ethics approval, international dissemination, and analysis<sup> </sup>provide a potential example for future outbreak characterization<sup>11</sup><sup> </sup>and potential for international comparisons among countries<sup> </sup>with different health care systems and capacity for care.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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This study has several potential limitations. First, it represents<sup> </sup>a relatively early examination of the epidemiology of a severe<sup> </sup>infectious disease. Early reports risk overestimating the case-fatality<sup> </sup>rate through selective recognition and screening of the most<sup> </sup>severely ill patients. This may partially explain a high mortality<sup> </sup>in Mexico early in the outbreak; however, our cohort included<sup> </sup>all patients hospitalized with critical illness, not only those<sup> </sup>selected for admission to an ICU, thus minimizing the effect<sup> </sup>of selective triaging of critically ill patients (by age, comorbidity,<sup> </sup>etc) and minimizing the potential for overrepresentation of<sup> </sup>patients with certain characteristics or severity of illness.<sup> </sup>Also, the 6 hospitals participating in this cohort study had<sup> </sup>specific criteria for 2009 influenza A(H1N1) screening among<sup> </sup>all hospitalized patients, minimizing the risk of exposure ascertainment<sup> </sup>bias through overestimation of disease among only the sickest<sup> </sup>patients. For this early report, we deliberately included suspected,<sup> </sup>in addition to confirmed and probable, cases of 2009 influenza<sup> </sup>A(H1N1) because in the earliest stages of the outbreak, confirmatory<sup> </sup>testing was sometimes unavailable for patients who died rapidly<sup> </sup>and in settings with resources that did not initially permit<sup> </sup>testing. We performed all analyses in duplicate and found no<sup> </sup>significant differences in outcomes when including only confirmed<sup> </sup>and probable cases.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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It is possible that the 2009 influenza A(H1N1) experience described<sup> </sup>here is somewhat unique to Mexico and may be related to a variety<sup> </sup>of factors, including climate, air quality, and altitude (2240<sup> </sup>m above sea level) in Mexico City; or, noting the long duration<sup> </sup>between illness onset and presentation to the hospital with<sup> </sup>severe disease, potential differences in the timing of access<sup> </sup>or presentation of the population to acute care compared with<sup> </sup>other settings. These critically ill patients presented to the<sup> </sup>hospital already very ill. Four patients died before admission<sup> </sup>to the ICU, 3 of these within 8 hours of presentation to the<sup> </sup>hospital. Despite these potential differences with other recently<sup> </sup>characterized outbreaks, the experience in Mexico may well represent<sup> </sup>a global "median" of illness presentation and outcome for 2009<sup> </sup>influenza A(H1N1) more appropriate than reports only from the<sup> </sup>most well-resourced health care settings.<sup>22</sup><sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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As of August 30, 2009, the World Health Organization reported<sup> </sup>254 206 cases of 2009 influenza A(H1N1) and 2837 deaths,<sup> </sup>for a case-fatality rate of approximately 1%—yet this<sup> </sup>may well be an overestimate, because testing is no longer being<sup> </sup>reported in many jurisdictions.<sup>2</sup> The case-fatality rate in previous<sup> </sup>influenza pandemics has varied widely, and all such reports<sup> </sup>may be inaccurate owing to difficulty in assessing the denominator<sup> </sup>(ie, the total number of cases).<sup>35</sup> The Spanish flu of 1918 is<sup> </sup>reported as causing 50 million deaths in 500 million individuals<sup> </sup>infected (10% case-fatality rate), while the Hong Kong flu of<sup> </sup>1968-1969 caused 33 000 deaths among 50 million infected<sup> </sup>(<0.1% case-fatality rate).<sup>36</sup> The case-fatality rate of avian<sup> </sup>influenza A(H5N1) was initially reported to be as high as 60%<sup> </sup>but is more likely in the range of 14% to 33%.<sup>28</sup><sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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From the Mexico experience, it is clear that in certain environments,<sup> </sup>critical illness from 2009 influenza A(H1N1) may be associated<sup> </sup>with severe acute lung injury, refractory hypoxia, and a high<sup> </sup>mortality rate in young individuals. Influenza pandemics of<sup> </sup>the past century have been associated with a remarkably consistent<sup> </sup>epidemiologic curve, with peaks in the spring, fall, and later<sup> </sup>winter.<sup>7</sup> Early recognition of disease by the consistent symptoms<sup> </sup>of fever and a respiratory illness during times of outbreak,<sup> </sup>with prompt medical attention including neuraminidase inhibitors<sup> </sup>and aggressive support of oxygenation failure and subsequent<sup> </sup>organ dysfunction, may provide opportunities to mitigate the<sup> </sup>progression of illness and mortality observed in Mexico.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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[FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif] AUTHOR INFORMATION [/FONT] <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td width="100%" bgcolor="#6a90aa"></td><td></td></tr></tbody></table> [/FONT] <table marginwidth="0" marginheight="0" leftmargin="0" topmargin="0" align="right" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td nowrap="nowrap" valign="top"> <table topmargin="0" leftmargin="0" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" width="140" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td rowspan="2" width="1" align="left" bgcolor="#ffffff">
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Corresponding Author: Robert Fowler, MD, MS(Epi), Sunnybrook<sup> </sup>Health Sciences Center, 2075 Bayview Ave D478, Toronto, ON M5N<sup> </sup>3M5, Canada (rob.fowler@sunnybrook.ca<script type="text/javascript"><!-- var u = "rob.fowler", d = "sunnybrook.ca"; document.getElementById("em0").innerHTML = '<a href="mailto:' + u + '@' + d + '">' + u + '@' + d + '<\/a>'//--></script>).<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Published Online: October 12, 2009 (doi:10.1001/jama.2009.1536).<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Author Contributions: Drs Dominguez-Cherit and Fowler had full<sup> </sup>access to all of the data in the study and take responsibility<sup> </sup>for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Study concept and design: Domínguez-Cherit, Lapinsky,<sup> </sup>Stewart, Fowler.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Acquisition of data: Domínguez-Cherit, Macias, Espinosa-Perez,<sup> </sup>de la Torre, Poblano-Morales, Baltazar-Torres, Bautista, A.<sup> </sup>Martinez, M. Martinez, Rivero, Valdez, Ruiz-Palacios, Hernández,<sup> </sup>Fowler.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Analysis and interpretation of data: Domínguez-Cherit,<sup> </sup>Lapinsky, Espinosa-Perez, Pinto, Stewart, Fowler.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Drafting of the manuscript: Domínguez-Cherit, Lapinsky,<sup> </sup>Macias, Pinto, Espinosa-Perez, de la Torre, Poblano-Morales,<sup> </sup>Baltazar-Torres, Bautista, A. Martinez, M. Martinez, Rivero,<sup> </sup>Valdez, Ruiz-Palacios, Hernández, Stewart, Fowler.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual<sup> </sup>content: Domínguez-Cherit, Macias, Espinosa-Perez, de<sup> </sup>la Torre, Ruiz-Palacios, Stewart, Fowler.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Statistical analysis: Pinto, Fowler.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Administrative, technical, or material support: Domínguez-Cherit,<sup> </sup>Lapinsky, Espinosa-Perez, Baltazar-Torres, Stewart, Fowler.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Study supervision: Domínguez-Cherit, Stewart, Fowler.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Financial Disclosures: None reported.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Participating Centers: Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas<sup> </sup>y Nutrición "Salvador Zubirán," México<sup> </sup>City, México; Hospital General "Dr. Manuel Gea Gonzalez,"<sup> </sup>México City; School of Medicine Instituto Tecnologico<sup> </sup>de Monterrey, Monterrey City, México; Hospital Juarez<sup> </sup>de Mexico, México City; Hospital San Jose-Tec de Monterrey,<sup> </sup>Monterrey City, México; Instituto Nacional de Enfermedades<sup> </sup>Respiratorias, México City; Instituto Nacional de Diagnóstico<sup> </sup>y Referencia Epidemiológicos, México City.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Previous Presentations: Presented in part at the International<sup> </sup>Conference of the American Thoracic Society; May 20, 2009; San<sup> </sup>Diego, California.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Additional Contributions: We thank the following persons for<sup> </sup>providing input on the study design and conduct: Mexico: Instituto<sup> </sup>Nacional de Ciencias Medicas y Nutrición "Salvador Zubiran":<sup> </sup>Delia Borunda-Nava, MD, Carlos Rodriguez-Osorio, MD, Silvio<sup> </sup>Antonio Ñamendys, MD, MSc, Antonio Fonseca, MD, Guadalupe<sup> </sup>Morales, RN, Martha Huertas, RN; Patricia Leal, MD, Arturo Galindo<sup> </sup>Fraga, MD, Rafael Franco, MD, Sarbelio Moreno-Espinosa, MD,<sup> </sup>MSc; Hospital General "Dr Manuel Gea Gonzalez" Influenza Committee:<sup> </sup>Simon Kawa Karasik, MD, Araceli Contreras Molina, RN, Rafael<sup> </sup>Figueroa Moreno, MD, Jose Jesús Acevedo Mariles, MD,<sup> </sup>Carlos Alberto San Juan Martínez, MD, Guillermo Bierzwinsky<sup> </sup>Sneider, MD, Laura Ramírez Preciado, MD, Alejandro Avalos<sup> </sup>Bracho, MD, Lucina Gutierrez Sánchez, RN, Antonio Martínez<sup> </sup>Conde, MD, Antonio Lavalle Villalobos, MD, Lorena Hernández<sup> </sup>Delgado, MD, Gerardo Lara Figueroa, MD, Hector Prado Calleros,<sup> </sup>MD, Jeremy Farrar, MD, Alejandro Flores (emergency room technician);<sup> </sup>Hospital de Especialidades CMN la Raza IMSS: Alejandro Sanchez<sup> </sup>Hurtado, MD, Claudia Lopez Nava, MD; Hospital Juarez de México:<sup> </sup>Jose M. Conde-Mercado, MD, Monica Cureño-Diaz, MD, Ariel<sup> </sup>Estrada-Aguilera, MD, Claudia Vazquez-Zamora, MD, Mayte Martinez-Velazquez,<sup> </sup>MD, David Hernandez-Lopez, MD; Hospital San Jose Tec de Monterrey:<sup> </sup>Javier Valero Gomez, MD, Carlos Diaz Olachea, MD, Estrella Gonzalez,<sup> </sup>MD; School of Medicine Tecnologico de Monterrey: Rocio Cabrera<sup> </sup>(bioengineer); and all the Intensive Care Unit and Medical Intensive<sup> </sup>Care Unit nurse staff for all the effort and devotion of their<sup> </sup>work at the Inistituto Nacional de Enferemedades Respiratorias.<sup> </sup>Canada and United States: John Marshall, MD, Arthur Slutsky,<sup> </sup>MD, Phil Hebert, MD, PhD, Blair Henry, MSc, Francois Lamontagne,<sup> </sup>MD, Gordon Rubenfeld, MD, MSc, Andy Simor, MD, Muhammad Mamdani,<sup> </sup>PharmD, MA, MPH, Judith Hall, MSc, Bryan Boodhoo, and the Li<sup> </sup>Ka Shing Knowledge Institute of St. Michael's Hospital; Neill<sup> </sup>Adhikari, MDCM, MSc, Damon Scales, MD, PhD, Richard Mraz, PEng,<sup> </sup>Barry McLellan, MD, Karen Choong, MD, Kusem Menon, MD, MSc,<sup> </sup>Dominique Piquette, MD, MSc, Michael Christian, MD, Jeff Singh,<sup> </sup>MD, MSc, Orla Smith, MSc, Ellen McDonald, RN, Claudio Martin,<sup> </sup>MD, MSc, Francois Lellouche, MD, Nicole Zytaruk, RN, Lauralyn<sup> </sup>McIntyre, MD, MSc, Tom Stelfox, MD, PHD, John Granton, MD, Anand<sup> </sup>Kumar, MD, Ryan Zarychanski, MD, MSc, David Wensley, MD, Dermot<sup> </sup>Doherty, MD, Sandra Dial, MD, Sean Keenan, MD, MSc, Sheldon<sup> </sup>Magder, MD, David Hornstein, MD, David Leasa, MD, Rick Hall,<sup> </sup>MD, Mark Crowther, MD, MSc, Donald Griesdale, MD, Jamie Hutchison,<sup> </sup>MD, Jan Friedrich, MD, DPhil, Nial Ferguson, MD, MSc, Jacques<sup> </sup>Lacroix, MD, Peter Dodek, MD, MHSc, Philippe Jouvet, MD, PhD,<sup> </sup>Steve Webb, MD, Simon Finfer, MD, Jamie Cooper, MD, Allison<sup> </sup>McGeer, MD, Tex Kissoon, MD, Brian Cuthbertson, MB, ChB, Cathy<sup> </sup>Tansey, PhD, Ari Joffe, MD, Craig Coopersmith, MD, the American<sup> </sup>Thoracic Society, the Society of Critical Care Medicine, the<sup> </sup>University of Toronto Interdepartmental Division of Critical<sup> </sup>Care Medicine, and the Canadian Critical Care Trials Group.<sup> </sup>[/FONT]
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Author Affiliations: Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care (Dr Domínguez-Cherit), Hospital Epidemiology Department (Drs de la Torre and Macias), Infectious Disease Department (Dr Ruiz-Palacios), and Department of Critical Care Medicine (Dr Rivero), Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición "Salvador Zubirán," México City, México; Interdepartmental Division of Critical Care Medicine and Department of Medicine, University of Toronto and Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (Dr Lapinsky); School of Medicine, Instituto Tecnologico de Estudios Superiores de Monterrey, Monterrey, México (Dr Espinosa-Perez); Interdepartmental Division of Critical Care Medicine and Department of Medicine, University of Toronto and Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto (Dr Pinto); Hospital Juarez de México, México City (Dr Poblano-Morales); Hospital de Especialidades Centro Medico La Raza, IMSS, México City (Dr Baltazar-Torres); Instituto Nacional de Enfermedades Respiratorias, México City (Dr Bautista); Department of Internal Medicine (Drs A. Martinez and M. A. Martinez) and Infectious Disease Hospital (Dr Valdez), Hospital General "Dr. Manuel Gea Gonzalez," México City; Hospital San Jose-Tec de Monterrey, Monterrey City (Dr Hernández); Interdepartmental Division of Critical Care Medicine and Department of Medicine and Anaesthesia, University of Toronto, Mount Sinai Hospital, University Health Network, Toronto (Dr Stewart); and Interdepartmental Division of Critical Care Medicine and Department of Medicine, University of Toronto and Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto (Dr Fowler). [/FONT]
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[FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif] <!-- null -->1. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Swine influenza A (H1N1) infection in two children—Southern California, March-April 2009. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2009;58(15):400-402.<!-- HIGHWIRE ID="0:2009:2009.1536:1" --> [FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif]PUBMED[/FONT] <!-- /HIGHWIRE --><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td></td></tr></tbody></table><!-- null -->2. Global Alert and Response (GAR)—Pandemic (H1N1) 2009. World Health Organization Web site. http://www.who.int/csr/disease/swineflu/en. Accessed September 9, 2009.<!-- HIGHWIRE ID="0:2009:2009.1536:2" --><!-- /HIGHWIRE --><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td></td></tr></tbody></table><!-- null -->3. Global Alert and Response (GAR)—Influenza-like illness in the United States and Mexico. World Health Organization Web site. http://www.who.int/csr/don/2009_04_24/en/index.html. Accessed May 8, 2009.<!-- HIGHWIRE ID="0:2009:2009.1536:3" --><!-- /HIGHWIRE --><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td></td></tr></tbody></table><!-- null -->4. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Novel influenza A (H1N1) virus infections—worldwide, May 6, 2009. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2009;58(17):453-458.<!-- HIGHWIRE ID="0:2009:2009.1536:4" --> [FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif]PUBMED[/FONT] <!-- /HIGHWIRE --><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td></td></tr></tbody></table><!-- null -->5. Gráficas defunciones: descripción preliminar. Mexico Secretaria de Salud Web site. http://portal.salud.gob.mx/contenidos/noticias/influenza/estadisticas.html. Accessed May 8, 2009.<!-- HIGHWIRE ID="0:2009:2009.1536:5" --><!-- /HIGHWIRE --><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td></td></tr></tbody></table><!-- null -->6. Situación actual de la epidemia. Mexico Secretaria de Salud Web site. http://portal.salud.gob.mx/sites/salud/descargas/pdf/influenza/presentacion20090505.pdf. Accessed May 8, 2009.<!-- HIGHWIRE ID="0:2009:2009.1536:6" --><!-- /HIGHWIRE --><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td></td></tr></tbody></table><!-- null -->7. Dawood FS, Jain S, Finelli L; et al, Novel Swine-Origin Influenza A(H1N1) Virus Investigation Team. Emergence of a novel swine-origin influenza A (H1N1) virus in humans. N Engl J Med. 2009;360(25):2605-2615.<!-- HIGHWIRE ID="0:2009:2009.1536:7" --> [FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif]<nobr>FREE FULL TEXT</nobr>[/FONT] <!-- /HIGHWIRE --><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td></td></tr></tbody></table><!-- null -->8. Global Alert and Response (GAR)—Pandemic (H1N1) guidance documents. World Health Organization Web site. http://www.who.int/csr/resources/publications/swineflu/en/. Accessed May 31, 2009.<!-- HIGHWIRE ID="0:2009:2009.1536:8" --><!-- /HIGHWIRE --><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td></td></tr></tbody></table><!-- null -->9. Interim guidance on case definitions to be used for investigations of novel influenza A (H1N1) cases. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Web site. http://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/casedef.htm. Accessed May 31, 2009.<!-- HIGHWIRE ID="0:2009:2009.1536:9" --><!-- /HIGHWIRE --><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td></td></tr></tbody></table><!-- null -->10. Case definitions for national surveillance H1N1 flu virus. Public Health Agency of Canada Web site. http://www.phac-aspc.gc.ca/alert-alerte/swine-porcine/hp-ps-info_definition-eng.php. Accessed May 31, 2009.<!-- HIGHWIRE ID="0:2009:2009.1536:10" --><!-- /HIGHWIRE --><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td></td></tr></tbody></table><!-- null -->11. Influenza related research initiative. Canadian Critical Care Trials Group Web site. http://www.ccctg.ca/news_events.php. Accessed May 31, 2009.<!-- HIGHWIRE ID="0:2009:2009.1536:11" --><!-- /HIGHWIRE --><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td></td></tr></tbody></table><!-- null -->12. Society of Critical Care Medicine H1N1 Influenza ICU Study. Canadian Critical Care Trials Group Web site. http://www.ccctg.ca/index.php. Accessed May 31, 2009.<!-- HIGHWIRE ID="0:2009:2009.1536:12" --><!-- /HIGHWIRE --><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td></td></tr></tbody></table><!-- null -->13. Late breaking session on influenza A (H1N1). Presented at: American Thoracic Society 2009 International Conference; May 15-20, 2009; San Diego, CA. American Thoracic Society Web site. http://psavcms-sales.com/ats2009/h1n1.html. Accessed May 31, 2009.<!-- HIGHWIRE ID="0:2009:2009.1536:13" --><!-- /HIGHWIRE --><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td></td></tr></tbody></table><!-- null -->14. University of Toronto Interdepartmental Division of Critical Care Web site. http://www.criticalcare.utoronto.ca/site3.aspx. Accessed May 31, 2009.<!-- HIGHWIRE ID="0:2009:2009.1536:14" --><!-- /HIGHWIRE --><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td></td></tr></tbody></table><!-- null -->15. Knaus WA, Draper EA, Wagner DP, Zimmerman JE. APACHE II: a severity of disease classification system. Crit Care Med. 1985;13(10):818-829.<!-- HIGHWIRE ID="0:2009:2009.1536:15" --> [FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif]PUBMED[/FONT] <!-- /HIGHWIRE --><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td></td></tr></tbody></table><!-- null -->16. Pollack MM, Patel KM, Ruttimann UE. PRISM III: an updated Pediatric Risk of Mortality score. Crit Care Med. 1996;24(5):743-752.<!-- HIGHWIRE ID="0:2009:2009.1536:16" --> [FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif]PUBMED[/FONT] <!-- /HIGHWIRE --><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td></td></tr></tbody></table><!-- null -->17. Vincent JL, Moreno R, Takala J; et al. The SOFA (Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment) score to describe organ dysfunction/failure. Intensive Care Med. 1996;22(7):707-710.<!-- HIGHWIRE ID="0:2009:2009.1536:17" --> [FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif]PUBMED[/FONT] <!-- /HIGHWIRE --><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td></td></tr></tbody></table><!-- null -->18. Influenza A (H1N1)—update 32. World Health Organization Web site. June 1, 2009. http://www.who.int/csr/don/2009_06_01a/en/index.html. 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