tetano
Editor, Senior Moderator
J Public Health (Oxf). 2020 Mar 27. pii: fdaa046. doi: 10.1093/pubmed/fdaa046. [Epub ahead of print]
Negligible risk of the COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in China (outside Hubei): a statistical probability study.
Zhao K[SUP]1[/SUP], Long C[SUP]2[/SUP], Wang Y[SUP]1[/SUP], Zeng T[SUP]3[/SUP], Fu X[SUP]1[/SUP].
Author information
Abstract
The COVID-19 outbreak in China appears to reach the late stage since late March 2020, and a stepwise restoration of economic operations is implemented. Risk assessment for such economic restoration is of significance. Here, we estimated the probability of COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in typical provinces/cities and found that such probability is very limited (<5% for all the regions except Beijing). Our work may inform provincial governments to make risk level-based, differentiated control measures.
? The Author(s) 2020. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Faculty of Public Health. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.
KEYWORDS:
COVID-19; COVID-19 resurgence; SARS-CoV-2; coronavirus; risk assessment; work resuming
PMID:32219398DOI:10.1093/pubmed/fdaa046
Negligible risk of the COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in China (outside Hubei): a statistical probability study.
Zhao K[SUP]1[/SUP], Long C[SUP]2[/SUP], Wang Y[SUP]1[/SUP], Zeng T[SUP]3[/SUP], Fu X[SUP]1[/SUP].
Author information
Abstract
The COVID-19 outbreak in China appears to reach the late stage since late March 2020, and a stepwise restoration of economic operations is implemented. Risk assessment for such economic restoration is of significance. Here, we estimated the probability of COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in typical provinces/cities and found that such probability is very limited (<5% for all the regions except Beijing). Our work may inform provincial governments to make risk level-based, differentiated control measures.
? The Author(s) 2020. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Faculty of Public Health. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.
KEYWORDS:
COVID-19; COVID-19 resurgence; SARS-CoV-2; coronavirus; risk assessment; work resuming
PMID:32219398DOI:10.1093/pubmed/fdaa046