tetano
Editor, Senior Moderator
J Med Virol
. 2021 Apr 29.
doi: 10.1002/jmv.27052. Online ahead of print.
Informing the Global COVID-19 Response by Estimating Excess Deaths in Italy During the COVID-19 and 1918 Influenza Pandemics
Christina Gillezeau[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Naomi Alpert[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Marcantonio Caltabiano[SUP] 2 [/SUP], Raja Flores[SUP] 3 [/SUP], Emanuela Taioli[SUP] 1 [/SUP]
Affiliations
Abstract
We compared all-cause mortality in Italy July- December 1918 and January- June 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemics peaks occurred, using publicly available data from the Italian National Institute of Statistics. From July to December 1918, Italy reported 385.95 deaths x 100,000 persons. From January to June of 2020, there were 97.93 deaths x 100,000 persons. The overall monthly mortality rate ratio in 1918 was 2.56 (95% CI: 2.55-2.57), in 2020 was 1.12 (95% CI: 1.12-1.13). Results indicate that Italy's measures have worked and should be used as model by other countries in anticipation of further waves. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Epidemiology; Public Policy; Social Science.
. 2021 Apr 29.
doi: 10.1002/jmv.27052. Online ahead of print.
Informing the Global COVID-19 Response by Estimating Excess Deaths in Italy During the COVID-19 and 1918 Influenza Pandemics
Christina Gillezeau[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Naomi Alpert[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Marcantonio Caltabiano[SUP] 2 [/SUP], Raja Flores[SUP] 3 [/SUP], Emanuela Taioli[SUP] 1 [/SUP]
Affiliations
- PMID: 33913538
- DOI: 10.1002/jmv.27052
Abstract
We compared all-cause mortality in Italy July- December 1918 and January- June 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemics peaks occurred, using publicly available data from the Italian National Institute of Statistics. From July to December 1918, Italy reported 385.95 deaths x 100,000 persons. From January to June of 2020, there were 97.93 deaths x 100,000 persons. The overall monthly mortality rate ratio in 1918 was 2.56 (95% CI: 2.55-2.57), in 2020 was 1.12 (95% CI: 1.12-1.13). Results indicate that Italy's measures have worked and should be used as model by other countries in anticipation of further waves. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Epidemiology; Public Policy; Social Science.