tetano
Editor, Senior Moderator
J Med Virol
. 2020 May 15.
doi: 10.1002/jmv.26015. Online ahead of print.
Epidemiology of Influenza in Hospitalized Children With Respiratory Tract Infection in Suzhou Area From 2016 to 2019
Xingyu Rao[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP], Zhengrong Chen[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Heting Dong[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Canhong Zhu[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Yongdong Yan[SUP] 1 [/SUP]
Affiliations
Abstract
Influenza is a contagious respiratory disease and risks public health in China, and it has caused wide public concern in recent years. Immunocompromised patients, such as children and elderly people, suffer more severe influenza complication and some extreme cases are even life-threaten [SUP]1[/SUP] . To identify the influenza characteristics and its correlation with various climatic and environmental pollution factors, we collected the reported influenza epidemic of hospitalized children in Children's Hospital of Soochow University from 2016 to 2019. Our results show that the main influenza virus subtypes are A/H1N1, A/H3N2, B/BV and B/BY. We also identified the characteristics of the prevalent influenza virus subtypes in different months, seasons, years and patients' age. Of all the influenza infected patients, the most susceptible groups are Children>3-5 years old, and more cases reported in winter than other seasons. We also found that influenza is also highly correlated with climatic and environmental pollution factors, and the ARIMA model is employed for the short-term influenza prediction in Suzhou city, which can provide scientific basis for the prevention and control of influenza and public health decision-making. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
Keywords: ARIMA model; Children; Epidemiology; Influenza virus; Respiratory tract infection.
. 2020 May 15.
doi: 10.1002/jmv.26015. Online ahead of print.
Epidemiology of Influenza in Hospitalized Children With Respiratory Tract Infection in Suzhou Area From 2016 to 2019
Xingyu Rao[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP], Zhengrong Chen[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Heting Dong[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Canhong Zhu[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Yongdong Yan[SUP] 1 [/SUP]
Affiliations
- PMID: 32410248
- DOI: 10.1002/jmv.26015
Abstract
Influenza is a contagious respiratory disease and risks public health in China, and it has caused wide public concern in recent years. Immunocompromised patients, such as children and elderly people, suffer more severe influenza complication and some extreme cases are even life-threaten [SUP]1[/SUP] . To identify the influenza characteristics and its correlation with various climatic and environmental pollution factors, we collected the reported influenza epidemic of hospitalized children in Children's Hospital of Soochow University from 2016 to 2019. Our results show that the main influenza virus subtypes are A/H1N1, A/H3N2, B/BV and B/BY. We also identified the characteristics of the prevalent influenza virus subtypes in different months, seasons, years and patients' age. Of all the influenza infected patients, the most susceptible groups are Children>3-5 years old, and more cases reported in winter than other seasons. We also found that influenza is also highly correlated with climatic and environmental pollution factors, and the ARIMA model is employed for the short-term influenza prediction in Suzhou city, which can provide scientific basis for the prevention and control of influenza and public health decision-making. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
Keywords: ARIMA model; Children; Epidemiology; Influenza virus; Respiratory tract infection.