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J Infect Dis . Kinetics of the SARS-CoV-2 antibody response and serological estimation of time since infection

tetano

Editor, Senior Moderator
J Infect Dis


. 2021 Jul 19;jiab375.
doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiab375. Online ahead of print.
Kinetics of the SARS-CoV-2 antibody response and serological estimation of time since infection


Stéphane Pelleau[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP], Tom Woudenberg[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP], Jason Rosado[SUP] 1 2 3 [/SUP], Françoise Donnadieu[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP], Laura Garcia[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP], Thomas Obadia[SUP] 1 2 4 [/SUP], Soazic Gardais[SUP] 2 [/SUP], Yasmine Elgharbawy[SUP] 2 [/SUP], Aurelie Velay[SUP] 5 6 [/SUP], Maria Gonzalez[SUP] 7 [/SUP], Jacques Yves Nizou[SUP] 8 [/SUP], Nizar Khelil[SUP] 8 [/SUP], Konstantinos Zannis[SUP] 8 [/SUP], Charlotte Cockram[SUP] 9 [/SUP], Sarah Hélène Merkling[SUP] 10 [/SUP], Annalisa Meola[SUP] 11 [/SUP], Solen Kerneis[SUP] 12 13 14 [/SUP], Benjamin Terrier[SUP] 15 16 [/SUP], Jerome de Seze[SUP] 17 [/SUP], Delphine Planas[SUP] 18 [/SUP], Olivier Schwartz[SUP] 18 [/SUP], François Dejardin[SUP] 19 [/SUP], Stéphane Petres[SUP] 19 [/SUP], Cassandre von Platen[SUP] 20 [/SUP], Sandrine Fernandes Pellerin[SUP] 20 [/SUP], Laurence Arowas[SUP] 21 [/SUP], Louise Perrin de Facci[SUP] 21 [/SUP], Darragh Duffy[SUP] 22 [/SUP], Clíona Ní Cheallaigh[SUP] 23 24 [/SUP], Jean Dunne[SUP] 25 26 [/SUP], Niall Conlon[SUP] 25 26 [/SUP], Liam Townsend[SUP] 23 24 [/SUP], Veasna Duong[SUP] 27 [/SUP], Heidi Auerswald[SUP] 27 [/SUP], Laurie Pinaud[SUP] 28 [/SUP], Laura Tondeur[SUP] 28 [/SUP], Marija Backovic[SUP] 11 [/SUP], Bruno Hoen[SUP] 29 [/SUP], Arnaud Fontanet[SUP] 28 30 [/SUP], Ivo Mueller[SUP] 2 31 32 [/SUP], Samira Fafi-Kremer[SUP] 5 6 [/SUP], Timothée Bruel[SUP] 18 33 [/SUP], Michael White[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP]



Affiliations

Abstract

Background: Infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) induces a complex antibody response that varies by orders of magnitude between individuals and over time.
Methods: We developed a multiplex serological test for measuring antibodies to five SARS-CoV-2 antigens and the Spike proteins of seasonal coronaviruses. We measured antibody responses in cohorts of hospitalized patients and healthcare workers followed for up to eleven months after symptoms. A mathematical model of antibody kinetics was used to quantify the duration of antibody responses. Antibody response data were used to train algorithms for estimating time since infection.
Results: One year after symptoms, we estimate that 36% (95% range: 11%, 94%) of anti-Spike IgG remains, 31% (9%, 89%) anti-RBD IgG remains, and 7% (1%, 31%) anti-Nucleocapsid IgG remains. The multiplex assay classified previous infections into time intervals of 0-3 months, 3-6 months, and 6-12 months. This method was validated using data from a sero-prevalence survey in France, demonstrating that historical SARS-CoV-2 transmission can be reconstructed using samples from a single survey.
Conclusions: In addition to diagnosing previous SARS-CoV-2 infection, multiplex serological assays can estimate the time since infection which can be used to reconstruct past epidemics.

Keywords: SARS-SoV-2; antibody kinetics; sero-prevalence; surveillance; time since infection.
 
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