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J Infect Dis . Estimating the Burden of Influenza Hospitalizations Across Multiple Seasons Using Capture-Recapture

tetano

Editor, Senior Moderator
J Infect Dis


. 2023 Sep 28;jiad417.
doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiad417. Online ahead of print. Estimating the Burden of Influenza Hospitalizations Across Multiple Seasons Using Capture-Recapture

Amanda C Howa[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Yuwei Zhu[SUP] 2 [/SUP], Dayna Wyatt[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Tiffanie Markus[SUP] 1 [/SUP], James D Chappell[SUP] 3 [/SUP], Natasha Halasa[SUP] 3 [/SUP], Christopher H Trabue[SUP] 4 [/SUP], Samantha Olson[SUP] 5 [/SUP], Jill Ferdinands[SUP] 5 [/SUP], Shikha Garg[SUP] 5 [/SUP], William Schaffner[SUP] 1 6 [/SUP], Carlos G Grijalva[SUP] 1 7 [/SUP], H Keipp Talbot[SUP] 1 6 [/SUP]



Affiliations
Abstract

Introduction: Influenza remains an important cause of hospitalizations in the United States. Estimating the number of influenza hospitalizations is vital for public health decision making. Combining existing surveillance systems through capture-recapture methods allows for more comprehensive burden estimations.
Methods: Data from independent surveillance systems were combined using capture-recapture methods to estimate influenza hospitalization rates for children and adults in Middle Tennessee during consecutive influenza seasons from 2016-17 through 2019-20. EIP identified cases through surveillance of laboratory results for hospitalized children and adults. HAIVEN and NVSN recruited hospitalized patients with respiratory symptoms or fever. Population-based influenza rates and the proportion of cases detected by each surveillance system were calculated.
Results: Estimated overall influenza hospitalization rates ranged from 23 influenza-related hospitalizations per 10,000 persons in 2016-17 to 40 per 10,000 persons in 2017-18. Adults age ≥65 years had the highest hospitalization rates across seasons and experienced a rate of 170 hospitalizations per 10,000 persons during the 2017-18 season. EIP consistently identified a higher proportion of influenza cases for adults and children compared with HAIVEN and NVSN, respectively.
Conclusion: Current surveillance systems underestimate the influenza burden. Capture-recapture provides an alternative approach to use data from independent surveillance systems and complement population-based burden estimates.

Keywords: Capture-recapture; Hospitalizations; Influenza.

 
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