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Isaac weakens to a depression over northern Louisiana - All coastal warnings discontinued

Pathfinder

Pathfinder

Editor, Senior Moderator
Tropical Storm ISAAC Public Advisory

000
WTNT34 KNHC 212050
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
500 PM AST TUE AUG 21 2012

...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS THAT THE
DEPRESSION HAS BECOME A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.4N 53.9W
ABOUT 500 MI...810 KM E OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* GUADELOUPE AND THE SURROUNDING ISLANDS...AND ST. MARTIN
* ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANTIGUA...MONTSERRAT...ANGUILLA...AND BARBUDA
* SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTEN

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA AND CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ISAAC.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.9 WEST. ISAAC IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE
CENTRAL LESSER ANTILLES WEDNESDAY EVENING...AND EMERGE OVER THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA BY THURSDAY MORNING.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST MEASURED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARNING
AREA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. TOTAL
RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1
TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE
WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE
INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/212050.shtml
 
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac forms in the Atlantic - Warnings issued

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac forms in the Atlantic - Warnings issued

rb-l.jpg


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/rb-l.jpg
 
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac forms in the Atlantic - Warnings issued

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac forms in the Atlantic - Warnings issued

Louisiana

Bob Breck Blog

Wednesday, August 22, 2012

Too Soon To Get Nervous...


I know this morning's Euro. model has Isaac in the central Gulf for next Thursday. Remember my motto, I want to be the "Bullseye" at 5-7 days out for you know that's not, historically, where the storm will be as the forecast error that far out is 200+ miles. Hurricane Gustav was the exception in 2008 but his track 5 days out started in the NW Caribbean. Isaac is still east of the islands so we have plenty of time to watch him. The GFS model takes him to Florida while many other models curve him east of Florida. Our "pay attention" days will be Saturday & Sunday as we'll have a much better handle knowing whether Isaac will come into the Gulf or be someone else's problem for next week. This week is the time to review your evacuation plans. Know where you will go and how you will get there. If you choose to stay, have plenty of supplies to get you thru 5-7 days without help.

[...]
http://bobbreck.blogspot.com/


You can run the ECMWF forecast model here:
http://www.wunderground.com/wunderm...&dir=0&ads=0&tfk=0&fodors=0&ski=0&ls=0&rad2=0
 
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac forms in the Atlantic - Warnings issued

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac forms in the Atlantic - Warnings issued

000
WTNT34 KNHC 222038
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
500 PM AST WED AUG 22 2012

...CENTER OF ISAAC MOVING THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...NEW WARNINGS
AND WATCHES ISSUED...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 61.2W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SSE OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM ESE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR THE SOUTH COAST FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO THE
HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SOUTHERN BORDER

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF HAITI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO THE
HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SOUTHERN BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* GUADELOUPE AND THE SURROUNDING ISLANDS...AND ST. MARTIN
* ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...AND ANGUILLA
* SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTEN
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS
* HAITI

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC NORTHERN BORDER EASTWARD TO NORTH OF ISLA SAONA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN CUBA AND JAMAICA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAAC.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.2 WEST. ISAAC IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...PASS NEAR OR SOUTH
OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO ON THURSDAY...AND APPROACH
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND ISAAC COULD BECOME A HURRICANE THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BASED ON HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE LEEEWARD ISLANDS...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PUERTO RICO
AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS ON THURSDAY. HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
ON THURSDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BY LATE THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. TOTAL
RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. TOTAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
20 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS
MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
DANGEROUS WAVES.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS...LEEWARD ISLANDS...VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
RICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM
YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/222038.shtml?
 
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac forms in the Atlantic - Warnings issued

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac forms in the Atlantic - Warnings issued

Haiti sits in strengthening Isaac's path

By the CNN Wire Staff

updated 10:41 AM EDT, Thu August 23, 2012

(CNN) -- As Tropical Storm Isaac swirls in the Caribbean -- becoming more powerful mile by mile -- it threatens to unleash disaster once again on vulnerable Haiti by Friday night.

The possibility of stinging rain and tree-bending wind descending on the hundreds of thousands of Haitians living in camps has aid groups in the country on high alert.

By the time Isaac strikes Haiti, it is forecast to be at hurricane strength, bringing destructive rain and wind to an area still recovering from a devastating 2010 earthquake.

As much of 12 inches of rain is forecast for some parts of the country, posing danger to the more than 400,000 Haitians in the camps.

"These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides," the National Hurricane Center in Miami said.
...
http://www.cnn.com/2012/08/23/us/tropical-storm-isaac/index.html
 
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac forms in the Atlantic - Warnings issued

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac forms in the Atlantic - Warnings issued

000
WTNT34 KNHC 231453
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
1100 AM AST THU AUG 23 2012

...ISAAC CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD TO THE SOUTH OF THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 65.4W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
ABOUT 360 MI...575 KM ESE OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO THE
HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SOUTHERN BORDER
* HAITI

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* NORTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC NORTHERN BORDER EASTWARD TO NORTH OF ISLA SAONA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN CUBA...JAMAICA...AND ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAAC.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.4 WEST. ISAAC IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...AND A WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC SHOULD PASS SOUTH OF
PUERTO RICO TODAY...AND BE NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC AND HAITI ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
ISAAC COULD BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
AND HAITI.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 42060 RECENTLY REPORTED 1-MINUTE MEAN
WINDS OF 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...AND A WIND GUST OF 47 MPH...76 KM/HR.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE SUBSIDING OVER THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS TODAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC BY FRIDAY...AND OVER PORTIONS OF HAITI FRIDAY OR FRIDAY
NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS BY LATE
FRIDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...
WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO
RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG
THE COAST OF HISPANIOLA. A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
DANGEROUS WAVES.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS...LEEWARD ISLANDS...VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
RICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM
YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/231453.shtml?
 
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac forms in the Atlantic - Warnings issued

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac forms in the Atlantic - Warnings issued

000
WTNT34 KNHC 240250
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
1100 PM AST THU AUG 23 2012

...ISAAC EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR OVER HISPANIOLA TOMORROW ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 68.7W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM SSE OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH.

THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...HOLGUIN...
SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...AND VILLA
CLARA.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...
AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
ANDROS ISLAND AND THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE
EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...HOLGUIN...
SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG
CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...AND VILLA
CLARA
* ANDROS ISLAND AND THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE
EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN JAMAICA...THE REMAINDER OF CUBA...THE REMAINDER OF THE
BAHAMAS...SOUTH FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ISAAC.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...
INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.7 WEST. ISAAC IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H...AND A
WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC WILL BE NEAR OR OVER HISPANIOLA ON
FRIDAY...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHEASTERN CUBA ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST WHILE THE CENTER REMAINS OVER
WATER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI ON FRIDAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF HAITI. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS BY LATE FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
OVER EASTERN CUBA BY LATE FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL CUBA...THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
AND ANDROS ISLAND BY SATURDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
6 INCHES OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND
THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2
TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG
THE COAST OF HISPANIOLA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES. A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS
OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE COAST WITHIN THE REMAINING TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AREA.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS...VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...HISPANIOLA...THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/240250.shtml?
 
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac - Warnings issued

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac - Warnings issued

Louisiana -

Bob Breck Blog

Thursday, August 23, 2012

Issac Track Shifts Westward...

As I mentioned earlier, Sunday will be our "pay attention" day as we'll know for sure if Isaac will be a Gulf problem vs an Atlantic Coast problem. NHC shifted Isaac's track slightly farther to the west and, it that trend continues, it increases our odds that SE LA/MS will feel some effects from the storm next Wed/Thurs. The keys to watch...1) increase in wind speeds (stronger storm turns sooner) 2) Latitude - farther north the better for us. If it stays at a lower latitude, the turn will come later putting us more at risk. !3) Forward speed - slower speed allows for turn to north. Faster forward speed will bring him into Gulf. Let's see what happens next 12-24 hours regarding strength. At the moment, there is plenty of shear over the Gulf that would turn the storm BEFORE it gets to us (remember Ivan?) Again, I'm not nervous yet. Stay tuned...

http://bobbreck.blogspot.com/
 
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac - Warnings issued

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac - Warnings issued

Haiti
24 Aug 2012

Almost 400,000 people still living in tents after Haiti quake face storm threat, Save the Children warns

Report
?
Save the Children

Almost 400,000 people still living in tents more than two years after Haiti?s devastating earthquake are bracing themselves for the landfall of a huge tropical storm on Friday, Save the Children has warned.

Friday, August 24, 2012 - 10:29 Tropical Storm Isaac is forecast to hit Haiti late on Friday, by which time its winds could have strengthened to hurricane force.

The storm is expected to bring heavy rain, flash floods and mudslides, posing a serious threat to thousands of families made homeless by the enormous earthquake.
...
?As Isaac bears down on Haiti, thousands of families are relying on flimsy canvas to protect them from a potential hurricane,? said Lisa Laumann, Save the Children?s Country Director in Haiti. ?Hurricanes can cause enormous destruction and even those in permanent buildings are not safe.
It?s important that we are as ready as possible to reduce risks and to respond to disasters.?

?Families living in Haiti?s tent cities are in an extremely precarious situation. They have no-where to go to seek shelter from the storm. If the forecasts are correct, Haiti could be on the cusp of another humanitarian crisis.?

...
http://reliefweb.int/report/haiti/a...ents-after-haiti-quake-face-storm-threat-save
 
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac - Warnings issued

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac - Warnings issued

Update on Tropical Storm Isaac and Tips for Preparing for a Storm

Tropical Storm Isaac is churning in the Caribbean Sea, and the storm is currently tracking south of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. We will have a better idea if and where it might hit the United States mainland in the next 12 to 24 hours.
If you live in an area that is in the current path of the storm or in coastal regions that could be affected, the Federal Emergency Management Agency advises you to listen to your local news to monitor weather updates and warnings and follow the instructions of local officials.
FEMA offers the following tips to prepare for tropical storms:

  • Tropical weather systems can bring heavy rains, flash flooding, and high winds, so if you haven?t already, visit Ready.gov for tips on creating your family emergency plan and getting an emergency kit.
  • Rains from tropical storms can cause flooding. A mere six inches of fast-moving flood water can knock over an adult. It takes only two feet of rushing water to carry away most vehicles. This includes pickups and SUVs.
  • High winds from tropical storms can cause power outages. The Consumer Product Safety Commission and U.S. Fire Administration urge consumers to use portable generators outdoors. Never use portable generators indoors or in garages. The exhaust from generators contains high levels of carbon monoxide that can quickly incapacitate and kill.
  • Everyone should also familiarize themselves with the terms that are used to identify a severe weather hazard. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within 36 hours. If local officials give the order to shelter in place, take action immediately; and if the order from local officials is to evacuate, leave immediately. Monitor local radio and television news outlets or listen to NOAA Weather Radio for the latest developments.
Visit Ready.gov for more information on how to prepare for a tropical storm and check the National Hurricane Center to find the projected path of the storm.

from:
http://blog.usa.gov/post/30103980685/update-on-tropical-storm-isaac-and-tips-for-preparing


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</object>
 
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac - Warnings issued

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac - Warnings issued

Isaac bears down on Caribbean, still a hurricane threat

By Doyle Rice, USA TODAY
Updated 50m ago
...
The latest forecast from the National Hurricane Center predicts the storm will pass near or over Haiti tonight and move over eastern and central Cuba on Saturday and Sunday.

Isaac could still reach hurricane strength before hitting Haiti tonight, the center reports. A tropical storm becomes a hurricane when its winds reach 74 mph.

Whether or not it becomes a hurricane, it will dump heavy rain, possibly up to 20 inches, across Haiti. The storm is bringing heavy rain to Puerto Rico today. Rain is also likely in Jamaica.

After moving across Cuba over the weekend, forecasters say the storm should emerge into the Gulf of Mexico on Monday and potentially strengthen into a hurricane. "When it moves back over water, it has a chance to restrengthen," forecaster Eric Blake of the hurricane center says.
...
Gulf Coast communities from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle are now at greatest risk of becoming Isaac's eventual target around Wednesday of next week, AccuWeather meteorologist Dan Kottlowski says.

Isaac could quickly strengthen into a Category 2 hurricane before its final landfall, he reports. There is even growing concern that Isaac will continue intensifying into a major hurricane (Category 3 strength or higher),Kottlowski says. The longer Isaac spends over warm waters, the more valid this concern becomes.
...

Full text:
http://www.usatoday.com/weather/storms/hurricanes/story/2012-08-24/tropical-storm-isaac/57283292/1
 
Re: Tropical storm Isaac bears down on Caribbean, still a hurricane threat

Re: Tropical storm Isaac bears down on Caribbean, still a hurricane threat

000
WTNT34 KNHC 241746
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2012

...ISAAC TURNS NORTHWESTWARD...CENTER APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN COAST
OF HISPANIOLA...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.8N 71.4W
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM SSE OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM SW OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...VILLA
CLARA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...HOLGUIN...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG
CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS AND CIENFUEGOS
* ANDROS ISLAND
* JAMAICA

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS THE REMAINDER OF CUBA...THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...
SOUTH FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
ISAAC. WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS LATER TODAY AND ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.4 WEST. ISAAC IS NOW
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H..AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF HISPANIOLA THIS AFTERNOON...PASS NEAR OR OVER HAITI
TONIGHT...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE
COAST OF HISPANIOLA TONIGHT...AND ISAAC COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE
STRENGTH AT LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON A SHIP REPORT IS 997
MB...29.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN CUBA AND JAMAICA. TOTAL
RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6
INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. TOTAL
RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HURRICANE
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY
SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
OVER EASTERN CUBA BY TONIGHT AND OVER CENTRAL CUBA BY SATURDAY OR
SATURDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD REACH NORTHWESTERN
CUBA AND ANDROS ISLAND BY SATURDAY NIGHT.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1
TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...HISPANIOLA...THE SOUTHEASTERN AND
CENTRAL BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS...AND EASTERN AND CENTRAL
CUBA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM
YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/241746.shtml?
 
Re: Tropical storm Isaac bears down on Caribbean, still a hurricane threat

Re: Tropical storm Isaac bears down on Caribbean, still a hurricane threat

Tropical Storm Isaac barrels toward Haiti

By the CNN Wire Staff
updated 4:02 PM EDT, Fri August 24, 2012
...
Though it may not hit Haiti at hurricane strength, that does little to assuage aid groups who fear another disaster in the vulnerable country.

Isaac is expected to whip the Caribbean nation with gale-force winds and stinging rain later Friday. The country was under a hurricane watch.

"Our experience in Haiti clearly indicates that it is not the storm or the winds, it's the rain that causes the problems," said Sinan Al-Najjar, the Red Cross' deputy country representative in Haiti. "When rain comes, landslides and flash floods do happen in Haiti. We are trying to focus on which are the flood areas, which are the risk areas."

Hundreds of thousands of people left homeless by the devastating 2010 earthquake continue to live in camps.

With floodwater comes the risk of another outbreak of cholera, an infection of the large intestine that causes severe diarrhea.

"After floods, it's going to be almost certain that we see increases in cholera cases," Al-Najjar said. "We already witnessed that with the few weeks of rain we had in April. We had spikes due to daily rain. If a flood comes, we know certainly cholera is going to be an issue."
...
Full text:
http://www.cnn.com/2012/08/24/us/tropical-storm-isaac/index.html
 
Re: Tropical storm Isaac bears down on Caribbean, still a hurricane threat

Re: Tropical storm Isaac bears down on Caribbean, still a hurricane threat

000
WTNT34 KNHC 242342
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
800 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2012

...ISAAC TEMPORARILY SLOWS DOWN...BUT STILL EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL IN HAITI TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 72.0W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSE OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
ABOUT 270 MI...440 KM SE OF GUANTANAMO CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...VILLA
CLARA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...HOLGUIN...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO
* ANDROS ISLAND
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG
CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS AND CIENFUEGOS
* JAMAICA
* THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...BERRY ISLANDS...
BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
* THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS
* THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF JUPITER INLET
* THE FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH
* FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF CUBA AND THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAAC.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST. ISAAC IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...BUT IS EXPECTED
TO RESUME A FASTER FORWARD SPEED TOWARD THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC SHOULD
MAKE LANDFALL IN HAITI TONIGHT...MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHEASTERN
CUBA ON SATURDAY...MOVE NEAR OR OVER CENTRAL CUBA SATURDAY NIGHT...
AND APPROACH THE FLORIDA KEYS ON SUNDAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY BEFORE
LANDFALL...FOLLOWED BY SOME WEAKENING AS THE CENTER CROSSES
HAITI AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA...AS WELL
AS JAMAICA. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER PUERTO RICO. TOTAL
RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS. RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE SPREADING OVER PORTIONS OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS TONIGHT...ARE EXPECTED
OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT...AND ARE
EXPECTED OVER ANDROS ISLAND BY SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN CUBA BY TONIGHT AND OVER CENTRAL CUBA BY
SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD REACH
NORTHWESTERN CUBA AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS BY SATURDAY NIGHT OR
SUNDAY...AND SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS ON SUNDAY.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1
TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT PUERTO
RICO...HISPANIOLA...THE SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS...THE
TURKS AND CAICOS...AND EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/242342.shtml?
 
Re: Tropical storm Isaac bears down on Caribbean, still a hurricane threat

Re: Tropical storm Isaac bears down on Caribbean, still a hurricane threat

UN and humanitarian actors mobilized to support the Government of Haiti in its immediate response to Storm Isaac
<SMALL>24 ao?t 2012 |</SMALL>

Port-au-Prince, 24 August 2012 ? In preparation for Tropical Storm Isaac, humanitarian actors and MINUSTAH stand behind the Government of Haiti to plan and prepare for potential emergency response and assistance requirements. ?The international community has mobilized itself under the leadership of the Government of Haiti to alert the population and evacuate the most vulnerable Haitians to safer locations?, said Kevin Kennedy, Humanitarian Coordinator ad interim and UN acting Special Representative of the Secretary-General in Haiti.

Since 23 August, the emergency response coordination mechanisms of the humanitarian community and of MINUSTAH have been activated in support of the National Emergency Coordination Center (COUN) and the 10 departmental emergency coordination centers (COUD) led by the Haitian Directorate of Civil Protection (DPC).

A vast sensitization campaign targeting the population at risk, as well as more than 80 percent of IDP camps? residents has been carried on by the Government of Haiti with support from various partners, including UNDP, IOM and the Red Cross. Particular emphasis was placed on evacuations, the location of emergency centers, the locations of prepositioned emergency supplies and the emergency phone numbers to call, using media, as well as loud-speakers, trucks, and SMS. The UN and the Red Cross supported the Government of Haiti messages to alert the population at a joint press held at the DPC this afternoon.

The international community is also prepared to support the Government in the immediate response and the emergency evaluation of needs after the storm has passed. Emergency supplies available in-country for immediate response include emergency food supplies for more than 300,000 people, shelter materials for more than 70,000 families, water treatment supplies for 400,000, kits for vulnerable groups, and emergency health kits and cholera response kits for up to 75,000 people. In the South of Haiti, UNICEF and its partners are ready to provide assistance to 55,000 people with regard to water, sanitation and hygiene, nutrition, health and protection. Regional and global stocks are also available to be mobilized if the crisis requires. Specialized teams in health, logistics, food distribution, etc. are on standby to respond.

MINUSTAH has established 24/7 Emergency Operations throughout the country, which include Ready Duty Engineering Units (RDEU ? self-sufficient for fourteen days without requiring additional logistical support) ready to clear roads for the deployment of emergency response teams and evacuations.

MINUSTAH?s 5,700 infantry troops are ready to deploy once the storm has passed to assess damage and requirements for further military relief efforts, as well as to deter any possible criminal activity.

We reaffirm the commitment of the international community to support the people and the Government of Haiti.

http://minustah.org/?p=37074
 
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