tetano
Editor, Senior Moderator
Int J Infect Dis
. 2022 Jul 3;S1201-9712(22)00376-9.
doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2022.06.042. Online ahead of print.
A metropolitan-scale, three-dimensional agent-based model to assess the effectiveness of the COVID-19 Omicron wave interventions in a hyperdense city: a case study of Hong Kong
Keumseok Koh[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Ka Chung Tang[SUP] 2 [/SUP], Kay Axhausen[SUP] 3 [/SUP], Becky Py Loo[SUP] 2 [/SUP]
Affiliations
Abstract
We simulated the COVID-19 Omicron spread in Hong Kong, China, by building a novel three-dimensional (3D) agent-based model that incorporates its vertically expanded, hyperdense urban environment. The model examined the effectiveness of the 'zero-COVID' interventions (i.e., Compulsory Universal Testing (CUT) and citywide lockdown) that were for debate during the Omicron wave in Hong Kong. We found that such stringent interventions would be effective only with even faster and stricter implementation. Therefore, flexible long-term strategies should also be considered to contain and prevent future infectious diseases.
Keywords: Agent-based model; Coronavirus disease (COVID-19); Hong Kong; Omicron variant; Three-dimensional (3D); Zero-COVID.
. 2022 Jul 3;S1201-9712(22)00376-9.
doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2022.06.042. Online ahead of print.
A metropolitan-scale, three-dimensional agent-based model to assess the effectiveness of the COVID-19 Omicron wave interventions in a hyperdense city: a case study of Hong Kong
Keumseok Koh[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Ka Chung Tang[SUP] 2 [/SUP], Kay Axhausen[SUP] 3 [/SUP], Becky Py Loo[SUP] 2 [/SUP]
Affiliations
- PMID: 35793754
- DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2022.06.042
Abstract
We simulated the COVID-19 Omicron spread in Hong Kong, China, by building a novel three-dimensional (3D) agent-based model that incorporates its vertically expanded, hyperdense urban environment. The model examined the effectiveness of the 'zero-COVID' interventions (i.e., Compulsory Universal Testing (CUT) and citywide lockdown) that were for debate during the Omicron wave in Hong Kong. We found that such stringent interventions would be effective only with even faster and stricter implementation. Therefore, flexible long-term strategies should also be considered to contain and prevent future infectious diseases.
Keywords: Agent-based model; Coronavirus disease (COVID-19); Hong Kong; Omicron variant; Three-dimensional (3D); Zero-COVID.