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Only point in that posting was the mention of inappropriate choice of vaccine strains driving evolutionary pressure that results in (perhaps) new-to-human strains, causing epidemics.
..........The thrust of this thread is this: we have plenty of evidence that inappropriate choice of vaccine strains and their widespread use for one or more seasons can potentially harm more than help.
..............
Where vaccination is vigorously employed to contain outbreaks, and the viral genome is plastically adept at immune evasion, the 'wrong' choice of vaccine strain to combat human and animal disease may carry heavy consequences in subsequent years........
It should be noted that by the time the Solomon Island H1N1 vaccine was used (this season for the northern hemisphere), the Solomon Island clade 2A had been replaced by Brisbane clade 2B and Hong Kong clade 2C.It's interesting to remember that the original H1N1 was fairly stable until we started vaccinations - then there was the 1947 mini-pandemic. See earlier discussion at http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=56695&highlight=1947+H1N1+pandemic
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Seasonal flu is established in human populations, while pandemic H5N1 is not. Attacking an established strain with a mismatched vaccine simply pushes the evolution (like treating Brisbane/Hong Kong with Solomon Island or use of H5N2 to vaccinate poultry).If such antiviral resistance strain mess came out because of seasonal vaccines, what would happen if (like suggested in one thread) the pre-pandemic bf vaccines will be injected (to prime, or else) in endemic areas before any pandemic?
Wouldn't than the outcome result be much worse - inducing an more resistant human bf new strain enabled that way to go pandemic, instead using existing pre-pand. vacc. only when the pandemic realy starts?
Seasonal flu is established in human populations, while pandemic H5N1 is not. Attacking an established strain with a mismatched vaccine simply pushes the evolution (like treating Brisbane/Hong Kong with Solomon Island or use of H5N2 to vaccinate poultry).
A pre-pandemic vaccine, especially when used as a bootser (and followed up a year later with another boost), PREVENTS the estrablishment of the pandemic strain in the human population.
The CDC has published well over 100 sequences from this season and there are ZERO clade 2A, which is also true for the sequences published by the Air Force as well as teh various phylogenetic trees which have ZERO clade 2A isolates from the 2007/2008.I sent email to CDC, asking to confirm this season's H1N1-numbers
Relenza resistance is showing up on Brisbane H1H1 in Asia, and has now appeared in the US.I was only able to find reports of Relenza resistance to one influenza virus: type B, which I believe hadn't shown antiviral resistance before this year. I hadn't heard about Relenza resistance.
I've wondered if substandard dosing is the culprit behind sudden rise of geographically distinct, but not distant (as in Paris and Southern France) resistance of H1N1 to tamiflu.
(the following is purely speculative babble)...
Maybe there is something in the food or regional favorite drink that either inhibits the esterase cleavage of precursor form of Tamiflu or enhances its drug metabolism, clearing it from the system before it has a chance to work properly. Provence and Parisian/Bordeaux cuisine are quite different.
Tamiflu is, after all, derived from natural product (unlike Relenza, which is purely synthetic and I believe active in its administered form, although it has poor uptake when administered orally).
The spice it is most like is burned as incense in Japan, and consumed elsewhere in Arabic and European cooking/appertifs.
.........but not the establishment of a milder mini-pandemic strain? Can pre-pan vax with boosters prevent the establishment of H5N1 in the human population?A pre-pandemic vaccine, especially when used as a bootser (and followed up a year later with another boost), PREVENTS the estrablishment of the pandemic strain in the human population.
I think the only references so far are the characterization sheets, like the one posted.Dr Niman,
As this discussion has gone beyond the capabilities of my usual search methods, could you please direct me to information concerning the H1N1 mutation Q137K and it's interaction with zanamivir?
Cheers,
John
The meetings are on deadline. No one is going to wait for someone to post when they have the time. These meetings last a few hours (no internet required).referring to the meeting (post #113) where they determine
the vaccine for the next season :
wouldn't it be better to discuss such things in an internet forum ?
no problems with people being absent, you post when you have time,
several people can talk at the same time, votes can be changed, links to documents can be given,
others may contribute (after moderation)
Don't think participants agree.yes, that's the disadvantage of the meetings vs. internet-forum
Actually, the above should read Q136K. There is also Q136R as a mixture in a recent NJ isolate suggesting it will also be zanamivir (Relenza) resistant.Dr Niman,
As this discussion has gone beyond the capabilities of my usual search methods, could you please direct me to information concerning the H1N1 mutation Q137K and it's interaction with zanamivir?
Cheers,
John