Indonesia to launch bird flu pandemic plan

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JAKARTA - INDONESIA, which has the highest death toll from bird flu of any country, will launch a plan later this week to deal with a possible influenza pandemic, officials said on Monday.
Mr Heru Setijanto, head of surveillance and monitoring at the national commission for bird flu control, said the plan would be followed up a week later by a three-day pandemic simulation involving several villages on the resort island of Bali.

In the case of a pandemic, an estimated 5 million Indonesians could be infected with the virus, he said, adding that of those infected, between 5 and 10 per cent would die.

'In such a situation, hundreds of thousands would die,' Mr Setijanto said, 'and hospitals would be not able to accommodate all patients'.

Indonesia has had 132 confirmed cases of bird flu, 107 of them fatal. He declined to give details about what measures would be taken in the event of a pandemic.

'The current situation is already very worrying,' he said, speaking on the sidelines of a bird flu conference.

The official also said researchers were looking into the role of migratory birds in transmitting bird flu.

'There are indications that there have been cases of transmission from migratory birds but the strains are low pathogenic,' he said.

Contact with sick fowl is the most common way of contracting the H5N1 virus, which is endemic in bird populations in most of Indonesia.

Experts say the danger is that the virus may evolve into a form that people can easily catch and pass to one another, in which case the transmission rate would soar, causing a pandemic in which millions of people could die worldwide.

The national bird flu commission said the virus had infected poultry in 31 out of 33 provinces in Indonesia. It said five provinces had not reported new cases in the past six months. -- REUTERS
http://www.straitstimes.com/Latest+News/Asia/STIStory_227139.html

 

[gsgs]

Re: Indonesia to launch bird flu pandemic plan

http://radar-bogor.co.id/?ar_id=OTM1MQ==&click=MTM=

He [Setijanto ?) says wild birds indeed terindikasi low pathogenic.
Umunnya, wild birds that terindikasi low pathogenic am water birds like the duck, the duck until entog

he probably doesn't refer to the HA-cleavage site

 

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Re: Indonesia to launch bird flu pandemic plan

So, do you understand him to mean it's just in the birds?

 

[gsgs]

Re: Indonesia to launch bird flu pandemic plan

I'm not sure. I was hoping someone could better translate the article.
Seems that he is coordinator at an actual (agriculture ?) conference

 

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Re: Indonesia to launch bird flu pandemic plan

My first experience with Toggletext has been interesting.

Gs, here's your translation; sorry...no summary:

That the antidote lack, made the bird flu illness be the frightening spectre for the community.
Later, bird flu could be spread from wild birds.
This was known to the Nasional Penyusunan Workshop of the Strategy and the Guide Surveilans Avian Influenza (AI) to Liar birds in Ballroom Hotel Salak, on Monday (14/4).
The agenda that was thought of by the Nasional Pengendalian Committee of Bird Flu and Menghadapi Pandemi Influenza Preparedness (Komnas FBPI) this make an effort to mensinergikan the sector passage faced the plague of bird flu.
According to Kordinator Bidang Surveilans and Monitoring Komnas FBPI Heru Setijanto, at this time the guide how handled wild birds already many.
Starting from when the FAO version and LSM. Tapi was still having the empty part, so as what was done by them still could not do often handled bird flu.
Nah, we here gathered to complete all that.
So as to have the guide who was national, he stated.
Moreover at this time the case of bird flu has killed 107 Indonesian residents.
Year round 2008 already 12 people who were killed resulting from positive tertular the bird flu virus H5N1.
Ten among them came from Jabodetabek.
He said wild birds indeed terindikasi low pathogenic.
Umunnya, wild birds that terindikasi low pathogenic was water birds like the duck, the duck until entog.
However whether could spread the virus that low pathogenic that to humankind until this was still being the debate.
Avian Influenza (AI) that was dangerous to the poultry and humankind that was highly pathogenic, very deadly.
Nah, if low pathogenic beluim certainly, he said.
Moreover if birds that highly pathogenic this did not show the existence of the dangerous clinical sign.
Despite this, not meant to remain quiet.
Because, according to Heru, the task peniliti at this time how the virus that was low pathogenic that did not become high pathogenic.
This could happened if being re-assortment (the merging) with available viruses apart from that, he stated.
Because, not there are those that could obstruct wild birds to not carry out the migration to a place.
Therefore, at this time his side made an effort to make the guide and the strategy before the possibility happened.
He was determined to not want results of this workshop only was poured on paper.
We must compile the mechanism, the implementation and action the plan so that these results could be brought about.
Therefore we involved many agencies and the related sector, he said.
Till at this time, said Heru, remained at 2 provinces more than one Indonesia that was free bird flu.
Namely Gorontalo and the North Moluccas.
The two territories must be maintained by us.
Gorontalo apparatus that have an attitude was on the alert and tight was pointed out by us the thumb, he stated.
In the meantime, the Percepatan Unit of the Control of Avian Influenza Directorate Jendral Peternakan Ronny Mudigdo said his side uptil now claimed not all that the focus handled the case of bird flu.
The plan will be carried out this year.
The handling of the case will be focussed per the small area, he said.
Although, according to Ronny what has been done by his side uptil now was good enough.
It was proven that the spreading of bird flu could be pressed so as to not spread too fast.
Director General Peternakan, continued Rpnny, will carry out the restructuring and kompartemensasi farm.
Released by us (AI) one by one.
So as eventually became the territory or the free island of AI. Selanjutnya, was maintained by us, he stated.
This step could not be carried out at the same time but little by little.
In sampig that, the role of Livestock Breeding of the Service, the owner of the livestock and empowerment of the community must then walk.
Ronny considered as far as this is concerned the handling and bird flu vigilance have in the Bogor City that was done by the Agribisnis Service been good enough.
I had never heard had the bird flu sufferer in the Bogor City, he said.
However, this condition must continue to be maintained.
Because, the area of the neighbour the Bogor City was that has been identified tertular the virus H5N1.
The background is, apart from the behaviour maintained the poultry also because of the condition for dirty livestock breeding.
Did not forget him made a plea to the community to pen his poultry.
Give food that was enough and safe, he accused.

 

[gsgs]

Re: Indonesia to launch bird flu pandemic plan

after I wrote that I found this thread:

http://www.newfluwiki2.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=2371

 

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Re: Indonesia to launch bird flu pandemic plan

after I wrote that I found this thread:

http://www.newfluwiki2.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=2371

The thread is too long and I really dislike the format.
What does it say?

 

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Re: Indonesia to launch bird flu pandemic plan

I'm maybe mixing threads here.

what I got out of that fluwiki thread:



Indonesia wants money for providing virus samples, but it mustn't be
declared as royalties or such. (should be no problem, IMO.
they can find a way to pay for some other project)

It's not quite clear, how much they require.

> They must be equal to the profit that was received by the vaccine manufacturer's country," said Siti.

so, the vaccine manufacturer's country would have to transfer _all_ its profits.
That's presumably the taxes received from the vaccine manufacturer (?)
Well, this could be zero if the manufacturer makes profit with the
vaccine but losses with other business.
Also, it's not clear if the manufacturer makes losses from the vaccine project,
would Indonesia participate in the losses too ?




> There is a chance that 70 percent of the people of Jakarta have the bird flu virus,

Nidom:
> I am confident that this is the same dangerous virus, consequently I mentioned
> no less than 70 percent.
> I have said that I am sure that a profound part of the Jakarta population Jakarta as well
> as Tangerang has this virus, because my guess is that this virus has spread between
> people whose numbers reach 50 percent, so my calculations may be less than 70 percent.

Pixie speculated that the "70%" might have meant "brought the virus", were involved in
spreading it rather than being infected.
it seems to me now, that Nidom did indeed mean, 70% of Jakarta
population had (not brought) H5N1, but he no longer thinks this
and tries to explain how he came to that wrong figure.

 

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Re: Indonesia to launch bird flu pandemic plan

Thanks for your summary. I probably should read that Nidom report.

In the article I translated above, he says: "However whether could spread the virus that low pathogenic that to humankind until this was still being the debate." Obviously someone there thinks it is happening?

He also says, as I interpret it, that only 2 provinces are free of AI.

I saw a Jakarta forum and there is really no talk at all about bird flu at this time... just a little in '06 and '07; I find that strange.

They joked about how many free roaming chickens there are in Jakarta and the *mystery* as to how anyone could get AI with *no chicken farms* around.