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ICS manager says less than 400 Ebola cases remained in Liberia as of Oct 21st

Emily

Editor, Senior Moderator
http://allafrica.com/stories/201410211105.html
21 October 2014
Liberia: Less Than 400 Ebola Cases Nationwide As Ebola Declines, Says Dorbor JallahBy Omari Jackson

Restrictions on the movement of people, quarantining of communities and positive response to the frequent washing of hands and avoiding infested dead bodies have helped to reduce the infection rate of the Ebola virus throughout Liberia, according to Mr. James Dorbor Jallah, Deputy Incident Manager for support services at the Incident Management System.

Moreover as the Dry Season approaches in Liberia, he said, intense heat and sunlight will contribute to Liberia's effort to eradicate the disease. The Ebola Virus has been described as 'fragile' by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, CDC, and is easily destroyed by heat and sunlight.

The Incident Management System, (IMS) is the body that has replaced the National Ebola Taskforce set up by the Liberian government earlier in the Ebola fight, headed by President Ellen Johnson-Sirleaf.
...
While these reports show a success story, the World Health Organization, (WHO) has indicated that there could be 10,000 infections weekly in the coming weeks in Liberia. But with the dry season now in Liberia, as mentioned earlier, nature could work to support the fight against Ebola, according to health officials.

Since there are "sparks" of cases now and then, according to Jallah, "Liberia is still in the woods, meaning the country is not yet out of danger. However, recent reports on the decline in the use of the ETUs do not support the WHO's dire prediction....

WHO's risk assessment methodology was under investigation just a few years ago:
http://www.bmj.com/content/340/bmj.c1904
WHO is accused of ?crying wolf? over swine flu pandemic
BMJ 2010; 340 doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.c1904 (Published 06 April 2010) Cite this as: BMJ 2010;340:c1904
 
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