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Gaps in European flu pandemic plans could produce chaos: study

AlaskaDenise

In Memoriam
GENEVA (AFP) ? European plans to cope with a possible flu pandemic have major weaknesses which might lead to chaos, a study published by the World Health Organisation said Tuesday.

The study of 29 European countries by scientists at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine said authorities must urgently tackle shortcomings in preparation for vaccine and antiviral drug distribution, insufficient stockpiles, and incoherent plans for border controls.

It warned that many European governments risked "chaotic service responses and public anxiety" by leaving it up to regional or local authorities to organise drug delivery during a pandemic and giving them little guidance.

"Our findings show that even in Europe, which may be better prepared than some regions, considerable gaps and inconsistencies persist and several areas of operational planning have not been addressed," the study published in the October issue of the WHO Bulletin said.

The authors concluded that "the remaining gaps and inconsistencies need urgent attention" despite outwardly strong government commitment in Europe and strengthened planning since their last evaluation in 2005.

Scientists fear that the H5N1 strain of bird flu, which emerged in humans in Asia in the 1990s, could mutate into a more virulent form that could easily be passed between humans, triggering a global flu pandemic with the potential to kill millions.

Some 329 people have contracted H5N1 bird flu since 2003, of whom 201 have died, according to the WHO. Most of the human cases have been in Asia but it has also spread to the Middle East and Nigeria.

The outbreaks triggered a WHO-led drive in recent years to bolster preparedness for a pandemic, including stockpiling of antiviral drug treatments, greater vaccine research and advance emergency planning.

The study said only half the countries had developed full storage and delivery strategies for antiviral drugs, particularly as a preventive treatment to slow the spread of pandemic flu.

"The issue of how to deliver antivirals within 48 hours to individual patients remains largely unresolved," it added.

Vaccine strategies had "important gaps" and only a minority of the countries surveyed had guidelines on vaccine storage, distribution and administration during an emergency.

One country did not have plans for pandemic vaccination at all.

There is currently no known vaccine against pandemic flu as one would have to be developed and produced rapidly to match the emerging strain at the time.

The authors also said that shortcomings in planned checks on travellers were likely to be "politically volatile during a pandemic."

Planning for border controls, quarantines or travel restrictions varied widely, and many countries ignored WHO recommendations favouring exit-screening for travellers to stop the spread of pandemic flu, the study found.

Only half of the countries explictly planned to coordinate their border controls with neighbours, 19 favoured screening travellers on entry, while 10 did not plan to screen travellers at all, it added.

The study was meant to cover the 27 European Union member states, Norway, Switzerland and Turkey, but one unidentified nation was not included in the final analysis.

http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5jmG33koxHqHrgA5QN6ROVU4RlJAw
 
Gaps in European flu pandemic plans could produce chaos: study

Gaps in European flu pandemic plans could produce chaos: study
Tue Oct 9, 4:02 PM ET

GENEVA (AFP) - European plans to cope with a possible flu pandemic have major weaknesses which might lead to chaos, a study published by the World Health Organisation said Tuesday.

The study of 29 European countries by scientists at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine said authorities must urgently tackle shortcomings in preparation for vaccine and antiviral drug distribution, insufficient stockpiles, and incoherent plans for border controls.

It warned that many European governments risked "chaotic service responses and public anxiety" by leaving it up to regional or local authorities to organise drug delivery during a pandemic and giving them little guidance.

"Our findings show that even in Europe, which may be better prepared than some regions, considerable gaps and inconsistencies persist and several areas of operational planning have not been addressed," the study published in the October issue of the WHO Bulletin said.

The authors concluded that "the remaining gaps and inconsistencies need urgent attention" despite outwardly strong government commitment in Europe and strengthened planning since their last evaluation in 2005.

Scientists fear that the H5N1 strain of bird flu, which emerged in humans in Asia in the 1990s, could mutate into a more virulent form that could easily be passed between humans, triggering a global flu pandemic with the potential to kill millions.

Some 329 people have contracted H5N1 bird flu since 2003, of whom 201 have died, according to the WHO. Most of the human cases have been in Asia but it has also spread to the Middle East and Nigeria.

The outbreaks triggered a WHO-led drive in recent years to bolster preparedness for a pandemic, including stockpiling of antiviral drug treatments, greater vaccine research and advance emergency planning.

The study said only half the countries had developed full storage and delivery strategies for antiviral drugs, particularly as a preventive treatment to slow the spread of pandemic flu.

"The issue of how to deliver antivirals within 48 hours to individual patients remains largely unresolved," it added.

Vaccine strategies had "important gaps" and only a minority of the countries surveyed had guidelines on vaccine storage, distribution and administration during an emergency.

One country did not have plans for pandemic vaccination at all.

There is currently no known vaccine against pandemic flu as one would have to be developed and produced rapidly to match the emerging strain at the time.

The authors also said that shortcomings in planned checks on travellers were likely to be "politically volatile during a pandemic."

Planning for border controls, quarantines or travel restrictions varied widely, and many countries ignored WHO recommendations favouring exit-screening for travellers to stop the spread of pandemic flu, the study found.

Only half of the countries explictly planned to coordinate their border controls with neighbours, 19 favoured screening travellers on entry, while 10 did not plan to screen travellers at all, it added.

The study was meant to cover the 27 European Union member states, Norway, Switzerland and Turkey, but one unidentified nation was not included in the final analysis.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20071009/hl_afp/healthflupandemiceuropewho_071009200205
 
Re: Gaps in European flu pandemic plans could produce chaos: study

European plans ... major weaknesses which might lead to chaos
If at this point isn't possible to got even an paper with a good organisation plan, what will be in an real pandemic event...

... authorities must urgently tackle shortcomings in preparation for vaccine and antiviral drug distribution, insufficient stockpiles, and incoherent plans for border controls.
Seems in root - money problems mainly, but for "border controls" - in a pandemic, probably: reactivate the internal state borders and a states military/police structure for border control.

... chaotic service responses by leaving it up to regional or local authorities to organise drug delivery during a pandemic and giving them little guidance.
Obviously there are 2 ways of organize this:
1. the goverment centralize the planning, and stocking, and than it's a gov. that must put all the efforts for plans, and to buy, pay, stock, and deliver the vaccines, antivirals, other medicines, food, water, energy, etc.
2. if the goverment leaving it up to regional, or local authorities to organise drug delivery - than the gov. MUST give to the reg./loc. auth. ALL THE GUIDANCE, TIME-FRAMES, with precisely planned actions, and centralised chain of control with exactly named people in charge, plus sanctions if not accomplished in time at the regional/local level.
At the same time, the money provenience and quantity for all the preparations, and the stocks, must be detailedly written in an official form at the reg./local level.

... gaps and inconsistencies need urgent attention ... planning since their last evaluation in 2005.
Means: last evaluations of plans was in 2005.?
Didn't WHO plans have many revaluations after 2005.?
The EU plans are not on the track of WHO plans?

... only half the countries had developed full storage and delivery strategies
Will be interesting if the study looked also at other aspects of storidges: other medicines, food, etc.

"The issue of how to deliver antivirals within 48 hours to individual patients remains largely unresolved," it added.
Maybe, a little citizen suggestion:
- the antivirals must be received and stocked in a country BEFORE a pandemic
- this antivirals must be than RESTOCKED regionaly through the all country (regional reserves, and town size stocks - all in guarded places (during a pandemic - military, or police stock locations, or guarded med. loc.)
- for a 48 hours delivery time frame, use a postal system: in every place through every country the postal officials knows exactly the town street, and opticaly the place, where every individual citizens live (if at home, not at work, or other).
In a pandemic the "postmans" must travel in a mil./police vehicle with armed (biohazard suited) guards, when delivering the antivirals.

... only a minority of the countries surveyed had guidelines on vaccine storage, distribution and administration during an emergency.
The others aren't even translate a WHO created pandemic guidelines and plans for vaccinations...

One country did not have plans for pandemic vaccination at all.
This is obviously a country with 100% pandemic-proof citizens...
Will be constructive to know the name.
Not only not trying to get prepandemic vaccine, but not even translate a WHO created pandemic guidelines and plans for vaccinations...

... planned checks on travellers were likely to be "politically volatile" during a pandemic
What is this "politically volatile" means? That during a pandemic will be no political decisions about checking travellers?

... many countries ignored WHO recommendations favouring exit-screening for travellers
WHO/EU/national sanitation law joint-protocols needed - or it exist?

... 10 did not plan to screen travellers at all
Screen them by rays, but not for illnesses = export the illness to others...

... but one unidentified nation was not included in the final analysis.
Why unidentified? It isn't an WHO/EU member?
Why the study not named it?

GENEVA (AFP) ? European plans to cope with a possible flu pandemic have major weaknesses which might lead to chaos, a study published by the World Health Organisation said Tuesday.

The study of 29 European countries by scientists at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine said authorities must urgently tackle shortcomings in preparation for vaccine and antiviral drug distribution, insufficient stockpiles, and incoherent plans for border controls.

It warned that many European governments risked "chaotic service responses and public anxiety" by leaving it up to regional or local authorities to organise drug delivery during a pandemic and giving them little guidance.
...
The authors concluded that "the remaining gaps and inconsistencies need urgent attention" despite outwardly strong government commitment in Europe and strengthened planning since their last evaluation in 2005.
...
The study said only half the countries had developed full storage and delivery strategies for antiviral drugs, particularly as a preventive treatment to slow the spread of pandemic flu.

"The issue of how to deliver antivirals within 48 hours to individual patients remains largely unresolved," it added.

Vaccine strategies had "important gaps" and only a minority of the countries surveyed had guidelines on vaccine storage, distribution and administration during an emergency.

One country did not have plans for pandemic vaccination at all.
...
The authors also said that shortcomings in planned checks on travellers were likely to be "politically volatile during a pandemic."

Planning for border controls, quarantines or travel restrictions varied widely, and many countries ignored WHO recommendations favouring exit-screening for travellers to stop the spread of pandemic flu, the study found.

Only half of the countries explictly planned to coordinate their border controls with neighbours, 19 favoured screening travellers on entry, while 10 did not plan to screen travellers at all, it added.

The study was meant to cover the 27 European Union member states, Norway, Switzerland and Turkey, but one unidentified nation was not included in the final analysis.

http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5jmG33koxHqHrgA5QN6ROVU4RlJAw
 
Re: Gaps in European flu pandemic plans could produce chaos: study

my summary:

...29 European countries ...shortcomings in preparation for vaccine and antiviral drug distribution,
insufficient stockpiles, and incoherent plans for border controls.

----------------------------------------

since USA is almost as big as Europe, I wonder whether the USA
has plans for border control for
states, counties, cities , natural borders like rivers, mountains
or manmade borders like streets, fences, iron curtains,...
 
Re: Gaps in European flu pandemic plans could produce chaos: study

A summary is not enaugh, I hope that exists an EU order to accomplish to this integrative preparedness (like for many other things).
Probably is the same old question of:
"this will not happen" preparedness efforts...
note that a pre/pandemic vaccine can't be purchased individualy...

since USA is almost as big as Europe, I wonder whether the USA
has plans for border control for

states,
US=UnitedStates, means that they must have more integrated plans than an Union (EUnion)

counties, cities
county and city establishments with various political,medical, ..., sherif, and police structures (in the EU states analog structures must exist)

natural borders like rivers, mountains
rangers,...

or manmade borders like streets, fences, iron curtains,...
sherif, local community police, private guards,...
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
 
Re: Gaps in European flu pandemic plans could produce chaos: study

Oops! Sorry 'bout that. :oem I was sure I looked thoroughly before I posted.
 
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