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France: flu crossing the epidemic threshold

Gert van der Hoek

In Memoriam - Editor, Senior Moderator
google translated

Flu: crossing the epidemic threshold, according to the Sentinel Network

PARIS - The number of cases of clinical influenza in France, estimated at 52,300 last week, "slightly above" for the first time the epidemic threshold, according to the Sentinel Network of Inserm.


The number of estimated cases the previous week by the same network was 31,123.

"It will take a second week to confirm beyond it and confirm the arrival of the epidemic in France," AFP said Dr. Thierry Blanchon, head of the network.

"These cases are not all flu cases confirmed," he said, stressing however that "the dominant virus is the H1N1 2009."

"It's the trend that counts and that says if an outbreak happens," says he.

The number of clinical cases of influenza (fever above 39 ° C. ..) is "well above what is observed at the same time normally" even if it remains "far from the figures reported in full winter epidemic" says he.

"Last week, the number of consultations for influenza-like illness in France was estimated at 52,300, an incidence of 83 cases per 100,000, slightly above the epidemic threshold (80 cases per 100,000 inhabitants)," said Riverkeeper in its weekly newsletter.

"In the context of pandemic A (H1N1) in 2009, the excess of cases reported last week, compared to the same weeks in previous years, was estimated at about 45,500 cases," says the network.

"These figures should be interpreted taking into account the context of extensive media coverage: it is possible that the excess of cases observed is due to influenza A (H1N1) in 2009, but we can not rule out whether a excess of consultations for influenza-like illness from people who would not come into view + + Normally, that is to say the lack of media coverage of the pandemic, "added the officials of the network.

The Sentinel is a network monitoring platform in general practice, involving 1299 practicing physicians, including 419 involved in the monitoring activity.

http://www.romandie.com/ats/news/090909123939.1a8fq9vs.asp

thanks to Makoto
 
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