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Three figures to assess the "meteoric" rise of the fifth wave of Covid-19 in France
by Noémie Lair , with AFP published onNovember 21, 2021 at 8:29 pm
The progress of the fifth wave of Covid-19 is "dazzling", alerted Gabriel Attal on Sunday. The government spokesperson, however, notes "elements that can make us confident". Number of cases, incidence rate, hospitalizations ... We take stock of the figures for the epidemic in France.
"This fifth wave is off to a flying start," government spokesman Gabriel Attal warned this Sunday on Europe 1, CNEWS and Les Echos. According to the latest data published by Public Health France, 8,038 people are hospitalized in France for a coronavirus infection, including 1,339 in critical care services. In addition, 15 people died in 24 hours in the hospital.
The numbers are increasing week after week. Gabriel Attal thus notes " elements which can worry us " but underlines however that other "elements can make us confident" . Moreover, Professor Gilles Pialoux, infectious disease specialist, head of the tropical infectious diseases department at Tenon hospital in Paris, indeed notes that the rise of the fifth wave " is stronger than expected " but he observes on franceinfo that " for now, France maintains the gap between the increase in new cases and the increase in re-entry into the hospital ".
The number of daily cases has almost doubled in one week
On an average calculated over seven days, the number of daily cases has almost doubled in one week : it was 18,189, against 10,023 the previous Sunday. This represents an increase of 81.4%. This increase is exponential, a sign that the epidemic is going quickly: before that, it had taken three weeks for the number of daily cases to increase in the same proportions.
Between the resumption of the epidemic in early October and mid-November, the number of positive cases for Covid-19 over a week thus increased from 29,385 to 71,417, an increase of 143%.
Incidence rate increased 45% in one week
The national incidence rate is 144 cases per 100,000 inhabitants over seven days (November 11 to 17), compared to 99 over the previous seven days. This incidence rate therefore increases by 45%. The alert threshold set at 50 has now been exceeded in all departments of mainland France. Only Mayotte, Saint-Martin, Saint-Barthélemy and Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon have rates below 50. The heightened alert threshold is exceeded in 34 departments and the maximum threshold is exceeded in Ardèche and Haute-Corse. .
The number of hospitalizations increased by 13% in one week
The challenge now is to see if this outbreak of infections will lead to a massive influx to the hospital. For now, the number of hospitalizations is increasing but hospitals are not saturated. "There is a very important gap" between the increase in the incidence rate and that in the number of patients in the hospital, observes Professor Gilles Pialoux on franceinfo. This gap " is explained by vaccination ", he says.
This Sunday, 8,038 people are hospitalized in France because of Covid-19, an increase of 13% compared to last Sunday and 26% compared to a month ago.
However, Professor Gilles Pialoux underlines that "in the current situation of the public hospital, with the closed beds, the staff problem, and the circulation of winter viruses, we will not need a huge wave to be overwhelmed. " .
https://www.franceinter.fr/societe/...e-de-la-cinquieme-vague-de-covid-19-en-france