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Forecasting Ebola: Use Past Data or Spot the Difference?

Vibrant62

Senior Moderator
http://knowledge.insead.edu/blog/in...ola-use-past-data-or-spot-the-difference-3701

Different approaches used by M?decins Sans Fronti?res and the World Health Organisation to identify the threat of Ebola led to opposite conclusions. This highlights the role of organisational culture when addressing new and ambiguous developments.

On March 31st this year, M?decins Sans Fronti?res (MSF or Doctors without Borders) declared that the world was ?facing an epidemic of a magnitude never before seen in terms of the distribution of cases? referring to the spread of Ebola cases across Guinea. The very next day, on April 1st, the World Health Organisation (WHO) insisted that ?this is relatively small still; the biggest outbreaks have been over 400 cases.?

snip

Interesting read: More at http://knowledge.insead.edu/blog/in...ola-use-past-data-or-spot-the-difference-3701
 
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