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Flu viruses survive frozen in lakes, study finds

yielddude

Senior Moderator
Flu viruses survive frozen in lakes, study finds By Maggie Fox, Health and Science Editor
1 hour, 40 minutes ago

(yield - wonder if with global warming if it is just a matter of time, before some long dormant virus re-circulates)

Influenza virus can live for decades and perhaps even longer in frozen lakes and might be picked up and carried by birds to reinfect animals and people, researchers reported on Tuesday.

Such frozen viruses could potentially become the source of new epidemics that sicken and kill generations after they were last seen, the researchers report in the Journal of Virology.

"We've found viral RNA in the ice in Siberia, and it's along the major flight paths of migrating waterfowl," said Dr. Scott Rogers of Bowling Green State University in Ohio.

"The lakes are along the migratory flight paths of birds flying into Asia, North America, Europe, and Africa," the researchers wrote.

Migrating birds are blamed, in part, for the spread of H5N1 avian influenza, which has killed or forced the culling of more than 200 million birds globally.

Since January, H5N1 has spread out of Asia, across Europe and into Africa. Now more than 50 countries have battled the virus, which has infected 258 people and killed 153 since 2003.

Experts fear it could mutate into a form that easily infects people and causes a pandemic. There were three such pandemics in the last century and one, the 1918-1919 pandemic, killed anywhere from 40 million to 100 million people.

It was caused by a virus called H1N1, a descendant of which still circulates and causes illness today.

But the original form was only recently studied and was recovered from the still-frozen body of a victim from Alaska.

Were that strain of H1N1 to circulate today, it could cause another serious pandemic because no one alive now has immunity to it, Rogers said. The original H1N1 appears to have passed fairly directly from birds to people.

Rogers noted that World Health Organization and other experts try to predict every year which strains of flu virus will be circulating, and they advise companies to formulate the next year's flu vaccine accordingly.

"Sometimes they're wrong," he said. "We thought that by looking at what's melting and what birds are picking up," better guesses for the next year might be possible.

Rogers and colleagues at the Russian Academy of Sciences sampled three lakes in northeast Siberia in 2001 and 2002. They found an H1 strain that circulated from 1933 to 1938 and again in the 1960s in the lake that had attracted the most geese.

"These certain strains come back from time to time," Rogers said.

"The data suggest that influenza A virus deposited as the birds begin their autumn migration can be preserved in lake ice. As birds return in the spring, the ice melts, releasing the viruses," the researchers wrote.

"Above the Arctic Circle, the cycles of entrapment in the ice and release by melting can be variable in length, because some ice persists for several years, decades, or longer."

Rogers said his team now wants to study lakes in Greenland and Canada.

http://today.reuters.com/news/artic...U-LAKES.xml&WTmodLoc=NewsHome-C3-healthNews-2
 
Re: Flu viruses survive frozen in lakes, study finds

Bloomberg - 14 hours ago

Flu Viruses May Be Preserved in Ice for Millennia (Update1)

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601086&sid=aDePCieuArC0&refer=latin_america

By Jason Gale

Nov. 28 (Bloomberg) -- Influenza viruses may be preserved in glaciers and Arctic ice for thousands of years and released into the environment when the frozen water is thawed, potentially touching off lethal pandemics, researchers said.

Global warming may speed the release of the microbes, increasing the frequency of outbreaks, according to a study in the December issue of the Journal of Virology. The study is based on tests of water and ice from three lakes in Siberia, where large populations of migratory waterfowl breed before traveling to North America, southern Asia, Europe and Africa.

The finding may help explain the constant emergence of influenza A-type viruses that cause seasonal epidemics and occasionally set off pandemics capable of killing millions of people. Disease trackers are monitoring flu viruses amid an outbreak of the H5N1 strain, known to have infected 258 people in 10 countries in the past three years, killing 153 of them.

``One expectation in relation to this phenomenon would be an increased rate of release of these microbes during times of global, or local, warming events and a decrease during cooler periods,'' said the authors, led by Gang Zhang from Ohio's Bowling Green State University.

Last year was the warmest in more than a century, according to the National Aeronautics and Space Administration's Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York. Climatologists there monitoring global annual average surface temperatures found that the four previous hottest years since the 1890s were 1998, 2002, 2003 and 2004.

Pandemic Threat

The spread of H5N1 in late 2003 has put the world closer to another pandemic than at any time since 1968, when the last of the previous century's three major outbreaks occurred, according to the World Health Organization.

The H5N1 virus killed about 200 chickens at a South Korean farm, the second outbreak in three days, fueling concerns that the disease may be spreading in the country again after three years. The farm, in the southwestern city of Iksan, is about 3 kilometers (1.9 miles) from a property where H5N1 was confirmed Nov. 25, said Kim Yang Il, an agriculture ministry spokesman.

In Indonesia, the country with the most H5N1 fatalities, the virus killed a 35-year-old woman in a Jakarta hospital early today. The woman from Banten province was most likely infected by diseased poultry, said Joko Suyono, an official at the health ministry.

Bird Contact

Almost all human H5N1 cases have been linked to close contact with sick or dead birds, such as children playing with them or adults butchering them or plucking feathers.

A pandemic can start when a novel influenza A-type virus, to which almost no one is naturally immune, emerges and begins spreading. Experts believe that a pandemic in 1918, which may have killed as many as 50 million people, began when an avian flu virus jumped to people from birds.

Aquatic birds, such as ducks and geese, are the primary host of all influenza viruses. The virus is shed in feces and frequently deposited in rivers and lakes.

Many species of aquatic birds flock to Siberia and other areas near the Arctic Circle for breeding during the Northern Hemisphere's summer before flying south during the fall.

As the birds visit lakes along their paths they shed viruses into the water and onto any ice present, and drink water containing viruses discharged by other birds or released from the ice by thawing, the authors said in the study.

140,000 Years

In previous studies, the authors, who include researchers from Israel's Bar-Illan University and the Russian Academy of Sciences, documented the preservation of viruses, bacteria, and fungi in glacial ice for as long as 140,000 years.

Surveillance of Arctic lakes may help disease trackers predict which flu strains will cause future outbreaks and shape long-term vaccination strategies, the researchers said.

Ice, ice-covered lakes and glaciers have ``the potential for being major sources of viruses that cause pandemics and epizootics in birds and other animals,'' they wrote.

Until refreezing takes place, viruses of both present and past strains may be contracted by the waterfowl, allowing old and new viruses to continually recombine, the study said.

``Conceivably, such ongoing perpetual mechanisms have been operating cyclically throughout the virus's evolution, enabling recurrent emergence of past genes,'' according to the authors.

The same pattern of evolution probably occurs in other diseases as well, the authors said, adding that ``this awaits thorough examination.''

It may explain why some influenza virus strains have appeared, disappeared, and then re-emerged decades later virtually unchanged, they said. A Russian H1N1 influenza virus that caused an epidemic in 1977 was almost identical to the H1N1 strain that caused an epidemic in 1950. Other strains, most notably variants of H2N2 and H3N2 and several H1 varieties, have made similar returns, the researchers said.
 
Re: Flu viruses survive frozen in lakes, study finds

previouisly reported from 19 Oct 06...
http://news.softpedia.com/news/Alaska-039-s-Lakes-Are-Drying-Out-38337.shtml
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=celltext>Alaska's Lakes Are Drying Out
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE class=news_2nd_bkg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width=754 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top colSpan=2><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=4 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=subtitles>More than 10,000 lakes were affected in the last 50 years</TD></TR><TR><TD class=celltext>By: Stefan Anitei, Science Editor</TD></TR><TR><TD><HR noShade SIZE=1><SCRIPT type=text/javascript><!--google_ad_client = "pub-2364887827571271";google_ad_width = 728;google_ad_height = 15;google_ad_format = "728x15_0ads_al";google_ad_channel ="8825786042";google_color_border = "E1EBFF";google_color_bg = "FFFFFF";google_color_link = "34538C";google_color_url = "34538C";google_color_text = "677695";//--></SCRIPT><SCRIPT src="http://pagead2.googlesyndication.com/pagead/show_ads.js" type=text/javascript></SCRIPT><IFRAME name=google_ads_frame marginWidth=0 marginHeight=0 src="http://pagead2.googlesyndication.com/pagead/ads?client=ca-pub-2364887827571271&dt=1164795826450&lmt=1164795826&prev_fmts=728x90_as&format=728x15_0ads_al&output=html&channel=8825786042&url=http%3A%2F%2Fnews.softpedia.com%2Fnews%2FAlaska-039-s-Lakes-Are-Drying-Out-38337.shtml&color_bg=FFFFFF&color_text=677695&color_link=34538C&color_url=34538C&color_border=E1EBFF&ref=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com%2Fsearch%3Fhl%3Den%26sa%3DX%26oi%3Dspell%26resnum%3D0%26ct%3Dresult%26cd%3D1%26q%3Dalaska%2Bglobal%2Bwarming%2B10000%26spell%3D1&cc=99&u_h=600&u_w=800&u_ah=572&u_aw=800&u_cd=32&u_tz=-540&u_his=3&u_java=true" frameBorder=0 width=728 scrolling=no height=15 allowTransparency></IFRAME></TD></TR><TR><TD class=celltext_big style="FONT-SIZE: 11px; TEXT-ALIGN: justify" vAlign=top>
Alaska-039-s-Lakes-Are-Drying-Out-2.jpg
Scientists have found that more than 10,000 of the Alaska's lakes have shrunk or dried up over the past 52 years. Since 1950 Alaska has been experiencing a steady warming trend, increased thawing of permafrost and greater water loss through evaporation of open waters.

A team at University of Alaska, Fairbanks, compared modern satellite photos to aerial photos from the 1950s, 1978 and 1982. The scientists counted for changes in water levels in nine tracts ranging from the shores of the Arctic Ocean to Talkeetna, close of Anchorage. ?The biggest changes, the study revealed, occurred in interior Alaska's boreal forest, which sprawls across two million square miles (five million square kilometers),? says Brian Riordan, researcher at the University of Alaska Fairbanks. ?In this region lakes have shrunk by 14 to 31 percent? and most changes occurred during the 1970's.

In the coastal sea, buffed areas and Arctic colder regions the change was insignificant. The changes found by scientists have already been noticed by Native Americans. "When I started the project, there was much speculation," Riordan said.

"You would have village elders saying, My family's hunted ducks at this pond for 150 years, and in the past 20 years the shore has been receding each year. ?

"No one has done a state water-body inventory of this magnitude," said Riordan.

"It will allow land managers to stop speculating about possible water-body loss and begin to address the implications of this loss."

Interior Alaska is particularly vulnerable to drying lakes ?because it's a semi-arid region with extremely cold winters </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>and relatively warm, dry summers,? says David Verbyla, also from University of Alaska, Fairbanks.

Precise mechanisms that lead to this phenomenon are still unknown. "It's probably a combination of factors," Verbyla says. "One is that the permafrost [in this region] is thin and discontinuous."

?As global warming makes that permafrost even thinner,? he said, "you could basically have leaks through [it] and lake water would sink far below ground?.

?Another possibility is that warmer, longer summers are triggering more evaporation,? he says.

Some say that climate warming could accelerate the rate at which marsh plants (like cattails, bulrushes, and sedges) invade open waters and convert them to meadows. ?Increased forest fires could also play a role,? Verbyla says.

Forest fires burn the layer of organic matter on the top of the soil, exposing it and decreasing its ability to insulate the permafrost from summer warm. ?Up to 25 percent of the acreage in some areas has burned in the past 50 years,? Verbyla says. "2004 was our biggest fire year ever. ? Wildfire is a big deal in the boreal forest."

A lowering of the water table in the low altitudes is also suspected. Wetlands present a great diversity of plant and animal life. "Alaska is important in terms of waterfowl production, and if you have a lowering of the water table, that could have a potentially huge impact on waterfowl production," said Verbyla.

Alaska's stagnant waters environment offers for native villages activities like fishing or moose and bird-hunting areas. "In a lot of villages, spring duck hunting is a major subsistence activity," Verbyla said.

Some villages gain money by offering guided tours for visiting hunters. ?In addition, he notes, Alaska law grants water rights to the native villages.?

"What happens when the water they were given is reduced by 30 percent?" he asks. "Are they entitled to more acreage?"

The changes in hydrology of the lakes will produce shifts in the ecosystems. Dabbling ducks (like mallards, wigeons, teals, pintails, shovelers) might be favored by the new conditions to the disadvantage of the diving ducks (like pochards and scaups), which prefer deep water. "It could be beneficial to some species and detrimental to others," Verbyla said.

"I've seen a lot of fluctuation in water levels over the years," says Mark Bertram, a wildlife biologist from the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service's Yukon Flats National Wildlife Refuge.

"There are obviously wetlands that are actively drying up, but I've also observed quite a few water bodies that are flooded that weren't flooded 13 years ago."

But Bertram agreed - despite this - that interior Alaska is drying.

.

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 
Re: Flu viruses survive frozen in lakes, study finds

Finally, we see what has been speculated on for more than a decade. I remember reading the case for frozen virus while in college in the 90's.
 
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