Deadly outbreak of swine flu in India may be due to a mutated strain
With 1,911 dead, and more than 32,000 affected, why is the Indian government not doing more, doctors ask
March 23, 2015 5:00AM ET
by Zahir Janmohamed @zahirj
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With temperatures rising ? Ahmedabad is expected to hit 107 degrees Fahrenheit this week ? Joshi and his staff are confident that India?s swine-flu problem is on the wane, given that the flu virus thrives in cold temperatures. But MIT researchers Ram Sasisekharan and Kannan Tharakaraman stress the need for caution.
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In a March 11 report based on their analysis of two strains of the virus, the pair observed that it may have mutated into something more distinct, and virulent, than the strain that caused the 2009 outbreak...
Mohamed Baloch, a surgeon in Ahmedabad who used to work at an Indian government-funded hospital, has seen several swine flu patients who were in need of surgery. He says he would not be surprised to hear that the scale of the swine-flu problem is bigger than the Indian government is admitting...
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?Most likely there is probably a new strain that is operational,? says Dr. Om Shrivastav, who runs a swine-flu isolation ward at Jaslok Hospital in Mumbai...
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Samar Halarnkar, the editor of the data-journalism site IndiaSpend, has written a series of articles on swine flu in the country, and adds that the swine-flu samples the researcher duo analyzed came from India?s own National Institute of Virology. ?This report did not come from a roadside clinic. It was published in a peer-reviewed journal published by MIT scientists. If India?s critique is that the MIT scientists should have analyzed more data, then we should ask, ?Why is India not contributing more swine-flu sequences to the public database??? The problem, he says, is that the Indian government becomes prickly when its health practices are criticized. ?Too often in India we close our shutters and become defensive instead of examining what these reports tell us about conditions in our country.?
Gupta disagrees, saying that the government has done what it can to stop the spread of this virus, including working with outsiders. He also firmly rejects the idea that there is underreporting of swine-flu statistics: ?We have it in our interest to prevent this from spreading, and we are handing out masks and information kits each day for free to combat this.?
However, in a hospital across town, another doctor, who asked to remain anonymous for fear of reprisal, says that the government is being lackadaisical in its response. He spent more than 30 years working in an Ahmedabad health department within the central government and now works at an elite private hospital with just 50 beds. He lifts up a stack of files from his desk with one hand, the other covering the patients? names to protect their privacy.
?All these are new swine-flu patients,? he says. ?The summer has already started and we are still seeing cases. It may be less, but it has not gone away. We should just accept that we do not know what is happening.?
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