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Sulla base delle caratteristiche climatiche, della distribuzione degli insetti vettori e di altri fattori, tra cui i flussi di viaggiatori gli autori hanno stimato un rischio sensibile (R0 > 1) nei seguenti paesi ( in percentuale la parte di paese pi? esposta): Albania (83%), Croazia (44%), Francia (20%), Grecia (25%), Italia (78%), Montenegro (39%), Slovenia (28%) e Spagna (19%).
Va comunque tenuta presente la bassa propensione della zanzara tigre a veicolare il virus, come messo in luce anche da un recente studio italiano.
EBioMedicine Assessing Seasonal Risks for the Introduction and Mosquito-borne Spread of Zika Virus in Europe
