Giuseppe
Emeritus
Eurosurveillance - StatFlu - a static modelling tool for pandemic influenza hospital load for decision makers (abstract)
Eurosurveillance, Volume 14, Issue 26, 02 July 2009
Research articles
StatFlu - a static modelling tool for pandemic influenza hospital load for decision makers
M Camitz 1,2
1. Smittskyddsinstitutet (SMI, Swedish Institute for Infectious Disease Control), Solna, Sweden
2. Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institute, Solna, Sweden
Citation style for this article: Camitz M. StatFlu - a static modelling tool for pandemic influenza hospital load for decision makers. Euro Surveill. 2009;14(26)
ii=19256. Available online: http://www.eurosurveillance.org/ViewArticle.aspx?ArticleId=19256
Date of submission: 26 January 2009
The emergence of a new influenza virus strain setting off a global epidemic can put considerable strain on the current hospital capacity. The task of estimating hospital load during an influenza pandemic event remains difficult, despite a number of tools that are publicly available for decision makers today. The estimate depends on a multitude of parameters, each with associated uncertainties. We provide a new tool, StatFlu, combining advances in static modelling using historic influenza data with a pedagogical interface designed to highlight propagation of parameter settings and uncertaintiesin the output. StatFlu provides graphs of the load on hospital wards as well as primary care units as a function of time, aiding the user in decision making. Here we present the model and software. We also demonstrate it with an example and compare the results with a similar tool.
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<cite cite="http://www.eurosurveillance.org/ViewArticle.aspx?ArticleId=19256">Eurosurveillance - View Article</cite>Research articles
StatFlu - a static modelling tool for pandemic influenza hospital load for decision makers
M Camitz 1,2
1. Smittskyddsinstitutet (SMI, Swedish Institute for Infectious Disease Control), Solna, Sweden
2. Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institute, Solna, Sweden
Citation style for this article: Camitz M. StatFlu - a static modelling tool for pandemic influenza hospital load for decision makers. Euro Surveill. 2009;14(26)
ii=19256. Available online: http://www.eurosurveillance.org/ViewArticle.aspx?ArticleId=19256Date of submission: 26 January 2009
The emergence of a new influenza virus strain setting off a global epidemic can put considerable strain on the current hospital capacity. The task of estimating hospital load during an influenza pandemic event remains difficult, despite a number of tools that are publicly available for decision makers today. The estimate depends on a multitude of parameters, each with associated uncertainties. We provide a new tool, StatFlu, combining advances in static modelling using historic influenza data with a pedagogical interface designed to highlight propagation of parameter settings and uncertaintiesin the output. StatFlu provides graphs of the load on hospital wards as well as primary care units as a function of time, aiding the user in decision making. Here we present the model and software. We also demonstrate it with an example and compare the results with a similar tool.
-