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Eurasian and North American lineages

gsgs

Registered User
H6-HA : 1922, (1873–1954, 95%)
H4-HA Eurasia: 1930, (1898–1951)
H4-HA North American 1953, (1928–1969)
H4-HA : 1879 (1794–1938)
PB1 : 1960s EU-->NA
PA : 1960s: EU-->NA

idea: show this in time-interval layered or 3-dimention (dn,ds,timedif) (rotatable)clouds

-------------------------------------------
.pdf, 159 pages,4.8MB , http://etda.libraries.psu.edu/paper/10009/5278.
the molecular evolution of influenza viruses
dissertatation, 2009,Rubing Chen



---------------------------------------------
4 pages .pdf: www.pnas.org/content/106/28/11709.full.pdf
dating the emergence of pandemic influenza viruses


Bahl J, Vijaykrishna D, Holmes EC, Smith GJD, Guan Y (2009) Gene flow and competitive exclusion
of avian influenza A virus in natual resevoir hosts. Virology 390: 289–297. Find this article online
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2753668/

zu Donha H, Li J, Cardona CJ, Miller J, Carpenter TE (2009) Invasions by Eurasian avian influenza
virus H6 genes and replacement of its North American clade. Emerg Infect Dis 15: 1040–1045.
Find this article online
http://www.cdc.gov/eid/content/15/7/1040.htm




Date estimates of the ancestral nodes inferred using the same methodology indicated
that the Eurasian and North American H6-HA lineages diverged in the 1920’s (time of
most recent common ancestor (TMRCA) 1922, 95% highest posterior density (HPD): 1873–1954).

Phylogenetic analysis of the H4-HA genes showed two major lineages that correspond
to the segregation of the Eurasian gene pools (TMRCA 1930, 95% HPD: 1898–1951)
and North American (TMRCA 1953, 95% HPD: 1928–1969) with no evidence of gene
flow (Fig. 1B). These lineages diverged in 1879 (95% HPD: 1794–1938) and have
therefore been geographically isolated and evolving independently for at least 68 years (Fig. 1B).

Interestingly, phylogenies revealed that all PB1 and PA genes currently circulating in
North American wild aquatic birds were derived from Eurasian introductions that
occurred sometime in the 1960’s (clade NAm3 in Fig. 4A and B). The previous
North American PB1 and PA genes were replaced by the introduced lineage in
all virus subtypes, suggesting a fitness advantage to North American viruses
that incorporated these genes through reassortment.
It is also noteworthy that gene flow was detected in both waterfowl and
shorebird hosts and occurred on both the eastern and western seaboards
of North America. For example, in the PB2 phylogeny influenza viruses
isolated from shorebirds sampled from the North American Atlantic coast
contained gene segments with recent Eurasian ancestors (Fig. 4C).
In contrast, only a single bird sampled from the Pacific coast contained
this Eurasian derived gene segment. Similar patterns were observed in
the PA, NP and M genes (Fig. 4B–D and Fig. S2, 4–6). These results
suggest that avenues of virus introduction to North America are not
restricted to ducks or the Pacific migratory corridor.
 
Re: Eurasian and North American lineages

bump for search engines

.pdf, 159 pages,4.8MB ,
http://etda.libraries.psu.edu/paper/10009/5278.

the molecular evolution of influenza viruses
dissertatation August 2009
Rubing Chen

-------------edit---------

ahh, also sold at Amazon for 72 euros, so he probably won't want
people knowing that link ?!
http://www.amazon.de/The-Molecular-Evolution-Influenza-Viruses/dp/1243654406


searching for the MRCAT TMRCA of Eurasian and North American PB2 ...

he may even be doing "cloud-analysis", I found some such keywords, but I'll have to check

he quotes Krauss 2007 , Dugan 2008
http://www.plospathogens.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.ppat.0030167
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2387073/

none of these have keyword mrca

Chen,Holmes 2006: http://mbe.oxfordjournals.org/content/23/12/2336.full
 
Re: Eurasian and North American lineages

Eurasian and North American PB2s have typically ~340 differences.

But they also had ~340 differences in the 70s so they are somehow
saturated at 340, new mutations may as well undo previous ones
as creating new ones.


But then we have

A/mallard/Sweden/49/2002(H5N9)

it is from the Eurasian lineage, 166 differences to
A/Ck/1/Netherlands/2003(H7N7)

but it is also pretty close to North American viruses,
187 differences to
A/mallard/Montana/458329-5/2006(H5N3)

this cannot be, if the TMRCA is ~1900

so some viruses must have survived some decades without
mutating again
but which
I'm confused

------------------------------------

googling for these two viruses shows both viruses in a list
of PB2-recombination candidates :

http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=83361

that might explain it

Code:
>A/mallard/Sweden/49/2002,2002//,H5N9,Sweden
>A/Ck/Netherlands/1/03,2003//,H7N7,Netherlands
........................o................................... 1 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
.................o.......................................... 1 
............................................................ 0 
......................................o..................... 1 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
................................o.................o......... 2 
...................................o........................ 1 
............................................................ 0 
.............................o..................o........... 2 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
.....o...................................................... 1 
....................o..........................o............ 2 
............................................................ 0 
..o.....o..............o........o..o.....o..o.....oo....o... 10 
.....o..o..o...........o..o..o........o...o.......o......... 9 
........o.....o...................................o.....o... 4 
.....o.....o..o...........o..o..o........o..o..o..oo.o...... 12 
.....o........o........o........o...o.o..o..o..o.....o..o..o 12 
..o..o..o..o........oo..........o..o..............o..o.....o 11 
.....o...o.o.....o.....o..o..o.....o..o..o...........o...... 11 
.....o..o..o.....o..o.....o.....o.....o................o.... 9 
..o.....o.....o..o..o..o......o.o..o...........o..o.....o..o 13 
..o..oo....o........o........o..o..o.....o..o..o.....o...... 12 
...........o........o..o..............o...........o..o..o..o 8 
.....o..o..............o.................o..o..o........o..o 8 
..o..o.................o..o........o.....o........o..o...... 8 
..o...........o.....o..o.....o.................o............ 6 
..o..o.....o........o.....o..oo..........o..o...o........... 10 
.....o........o.................o..oo.............o..o..o... 8 
...........oo.o..o.......................................... 4 
............................................................ 0 
-- 166 
 166 ( 2280 )+ 166 ( 2280 )

>A/mallard/Sweden/49/2002,2002//,H5N9,Sweden
>A/mallard/Montana/458328-5/2006,2006//,H5N3,USA
...........................o.o.....o.......................o 4 
..o.................o.o.........o.....o..o..o........o..o... 9 
.....o.....o..o........o.......................o............ 5 
..o..o........o.....o........o.....o..o..o..o..o............ 10 
..............o......o..........o...........o.....o......... 5 
..o...........o..o.................o.....o........o..o..o... 8 
..o...........o..o..o..o.....o..o..o..o.....oo.......o...... 12 
...o.o..o.................o.....o.....o........o.....o.....o 9 
.....o........o....................o.....o......o.o.....o... 7 
.....oo.o..o.....o..............o..o..o.................o... 9 
..oo....o.....o...o.o..o.....oo.......o.....o..o.....o.....o 14 
.....o..o........o..o..o..o.....oo....o..o.....o.....o...... 12 
..o...........o..o........o.....o..o...........o..o..o..o... 10 
..o.....o..o..o..o..o..o.......................oo....o..o..o 12 
..............o..o.....o..o..o..o.....o...........o...o.o... 10 
..o........o..o.....o.....o....................oo.......o..o 9 
.................o..o..o...........o.....o.....o..o..o..o... 9 
.........o....o..o........o....................o.....o..o... 7 
..o..o...........o..oo..........o..o.....o..o..o...........o 11 
o.......oo.o..o..o.....o.................o..o........o..o... 11 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
..........................o..............o..o...........o... 4 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
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............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
-- 187 
 187 ( 2280 )+ 187 ( 2280 )

>A/mallard/Sweden/49/2002,2002//,H5N9,Sweden
>A/mallard/Louisiana/476670-4/2007,2007//,H5N2,USA
..................o.o......o.o.....o...........o...........o 7 
..o.................o..............o.....o..o........o..o... 7 
.....o..o..o.....o.............................o...........o 6 
..o...........o.....o........o.....o.....o..o.....o.....o... 9 
.....o.....o..o......o..........o..o..............o......... 7 
........o.....o.................o.....o..o.....o..o..o..o... 9 
..o........o..o..o..o..o........o..o........oo.......o.....o 12 
...o.o..o........o........o.....o.....o.....o..o.....o.....o 11 
.....o........o..o.................o.....o..o...o.o........o 9 
.....oo.o..o...........o...........o..o...........o.....o... 9 
..o.....o.........o....o.....oo.............o..o.....o.....o 10 
.....o...........o..o.....o.....oo....o..o..o..o..o..o...... 12 
..o..o........o..o........o........o...........o..o..o...... 9 
..o.....o..o..o..o..o..o.......................oo....o..o..o 12 
..............o........o.....o....................o...o.o... 6 
..o.....o..o..o.....o.....o........o...........oo.......o..o 11 
..o..o..o........o..o.....o..o.....o.....o........o..o..o... 12 
..............o..o........o....................o.....o..o... 6 
..o..o...........o..oo.............o.....o..o..o............ 9 
o....o..oo.o.....o.....o.................o..o........o..o... 11 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
..........................o.................o...........o... 3 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
-- 187 
 187 ( 2280 )+ 187 ( 2280 )

>A/Ck/Netherlands/1/03,2003//,H7N7,Netherlands
>A/mallard/Montana/458328-5/2006,2006//,H5N3,USA
........................o..o.o.....o.......................o 5 
..o.................o.o.........o.....o..o..o........o..o... 9 
.....o.....o..o........o.......................o............ 5 
..o..o........o.....o........o.....o..o..o..o..o............ 10 
..............o......o..........o...........o.....o......... 5 
..o...........o..o.................o.....o........o..o..o... 8 
..o...........o.....o..o.....o..o..o..o.....oo.......o...... 11 
...o.o..o.................o.....o.....o........o.....o.....o 9 
.....o........o....................o..o..o......o.o.....o... 8 
.....oo.o..o.....o..............o..o..o.................o... 9 
..oo....o.....o...o.o..o.....oo.......o.....o..o.....o.....o 14 
.....o..o........o..o..o..o......o....o..o.....o..o..o...... 12 
..o...........o..o........o.....o..............o..o..o..o... 9 
..o.....o..o..o..o..o..o.......................oo....o..o..o 12 
..............o..o.....o..o..o..o.....o.........o.o...o.o... 11 
..o........o..o.....o.....o....................oo.......o..o 9 
.................o..o..o...........o.....o.....o..o..o..o... 9 
.....o...o....o..o........o....................o.....o..o... 8 
..o..o...........o..oo..........o..o.....o..o..............o 10 
o.......oo.o..o..o.....o.................o..o........o..o... 11 
..o.....o..............o........o..o.....o..o.....oo....o... 10 
.....o..o..o...........o..o..o........o...o.......o......... 9 
........o.....o...................................o.....o... 4 
.....o.....o..o...........o..o..o........o..o..o..oo.o...... 12 
.....o........o........o........o...o.o..o..o..o.....o..o..o 12 
..o..o..o..o........oo....o.....o..o.....o..o.....o..o..o..o 15 
.....o...o.o.....o.....o..o..o.....o..o..o...........o...... 11 
.....o..o..o.....o..o.....o.....o.....o................o.... 9 
..o.....o.....o..o..o..o......o.o..o...........o..o.....o..o 13 
..o..oo....o........o........o..o..o.....o..o..o.....o...... 12 
...........o........o..o..............o...........o..o..o..o 8 
.....o..o..............o.................o..o..o........o..o 8 
..o..o.................o..o........o.....o........o..o...... 8 
..o...........o.....o..o.....o.................o............ 6 
..o..o.....o........o.....o..oo..........o..o...o........... 10 
.....o........o.................o..oo.............o..o..o... 8 
...........oo.o..o.......................................... 4 
............................................................ 0 
-- 343 
 343 ( 2280 )+ 343 ( 2280 )


>A/Ck/Netherlands/1/03,2003//,H7N7,Netherlands
>A/mallard/Louisiana/476670-4/2007,2007//,H5N2,USA
..................o.o...o..o.o.....o...........o...........o 8 
..o.................o..............o.....o..o........o..o... 7 
.....o..o..o.....o.............................o...........o 6 
..o...........o.....o........o.....o.....o..o.....o.....o... 9 
.....o.....o..o......o..........o..o..............o......... 7 
........o.....o.................o.....o..o.....o..o..o..o... 9 
..o........o..o.....o..o........o..o........oo.......o.....o 11 
...o.o..o........o........o.....o.....o.....o..o.....o.....o 11 
.....o........o..o.................o..o..o..o...o.o........o 10 
.....oo.o..o...........o...........o..o...........o.....o... 9 
..o.....o.........o....o.....oo.............o..o.....o.....o 10 
.....o...........o..o.....o......o....o..o..o..o.....o...... 10 
..o..o........o..o........o....................o..o..o...... 8 
..o.....o..o..o..o..o..o.......................oo....o..o..o 12 
..............o........o.....o..................o.o...o.o... 7 
..o.....o..o..o.....o.....o........o...........oo.......o..o 11 
..o..o..o........o..o.....o..o.....o.....o........o..o..o... 12 
.....o........o..o........o....................o.....o..o... 7 
..o..o...........o...o.............o.....o..o............... 7 
o....o..oo.o.....o.....o.................o..o........o..o... 11 
..o.....o..............o........o..o.....o..o.....oo....o... 10 
.....o..o..o...........o..o..o........o...o.......o......... 9 
........o.....o...................................o.....o... 4 
.....o.....o..o...........o..o..o........o..o..o..oo.o...... 12 
.....o........o........o........o...o.o..o..o..o.....o..o..o 12 
..o..o..o..o........oo....o.....o..o........o.....o..o..o..o 14 
.....o...o.o.....o.....o..o..o.....o..o..o...........o...... 11 
.....o..o..o.....o..o.....o.....o.....o................o.... 9 
..o.....o.....o..o..o..o......o.o..o...........o..o.....o..o 13 
..o..oo....o........o........o..o..o.....o..o..o.....o...... 12 
...........o........o..o..............o...........o..o..o..o 8 
.....o..o..............o.................o..o..o........o..o 8 
..o..o.................o..o........o.....o........o..o...... 8 
..o...........o.....o..o.....o.................o............ 6 
..o..o.....o........o.....o..oo..........o..o...o........... 10 
.....o........o.................o..oo.............o..o..o... 8 
...........oo.o..o.......................................... 4 
............................................................ 0 
-- 340 
 340 ( 2280 )+ 340 ( 2280 )


>A/mallard/Montana/458328-5/2006,2006//,H5N3,USA
>A/mallard/Louisiana/476670-4/2007,2007//,H5N2,USA
..................o.o..........................o............ 3 
......................o.........o..o..o..................... 4 
........o.....o..o.....o...................................o 5 
.....o................................o........o..o.....o... 5 
.....o.....o.......................o........o............... 4 
..o.....o........o..............o..o..o........o............ 7 
...........o.................o........o....................o 4 
.................o..........................o............... 2 
.................o.......................o..o...........o..o 5 
.................o.....o........o.....o...........o......... 5 
...o..........o.....o.................o..................... 4 
........o..............o....................o.....o......... 4 
.....o..........................o.......................o... 3 
............................................................ 0 
.................o........o..o..o.....o..................... 5 
........o..........................o........................ 2 
..o..o..o........o..o..o..o..o.................o............ 9 
.........o.................................................. 1 
....................o...........o..........................o 3 
.....o........o............................................. 2 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
.........................................o.................. 1 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
............................................................ 0 
-- 78 
 78 ( 2280 )+ 78 ( 2280 )




same lab, same date, one from Sweden one from Montana
suggesting that the recombination happened in the lab


http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/nuccore/GU052875
Submitted (01-OCT-2009)
Southeast Poultry Research Laboratory, USDA Agriculture Research Service,
934 College Station Rd, Athens, GA 30605, USA

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/nuccore/GU052844
Submitted (01-OCT-2009)
Southeast Poultry Research Laboratory, USDA Agriculture Research Service,
934 College Station Rd, Athens, GA 30605, USA
 
Re: Eurasian and North American lineages

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3115932/

Published online 2011 June 15.

Extensive Geographic Mosaicism in Avian Influenza Viruses from Gulls in the Northern Hemisphere

[with "mosaicism" they mean what we call reassortment, not recombination]

all currently circulating PB1, PA, and H6 lineages in North America are of Eurasian origin [19], [20

(~1950)

gulls are important as vectors for geographically reassorted viruses, particularly in America


[gulls are a dead end in influenza evolution, though. They usually
don't give it back to mallards]
 
Re: Eurasian and North American lineages

in ~1970 a new segment 3 was introduced into North American
wild birds , probably from Asia, closest match is
A/duck/Hokkaido/5/1977(H3N2) with 50 nucleotide-differences


this is only segment 3 (PA), the other segments remained
North-American
the calculated introduction had 4 amino-acid differences
from the bird-index=avian consensus:
V323I(3471),V387I(1414),S400P(6391),V432I(1090)

387I and 400N are in European Swine,1979,H1N1 , which is entirely avian

that Asian PA then went into American swine in ~1998 ("triple reassortant")
and then into ****** in 2009

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

and segment 2 came from A/Dk/HK/1978,H4N6
68 nucleotides difference to this from a sandpiper in 1990 New Jersey

that was only a minor introduction, giving a few sequences in NA
bitw2c.gif 5 different PB1 before 1985 :
early European(H2N2),NA1,AUS-NA2(H3N2),main Eurasian,7bi
 

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