tetano
Editor, Senior Moderator
Emerg Infect Dis
. 2020 Sep 21;26(12).
doi: 10.3201/eid2612.201930. Online ahead of print.
Effects of Cocooning on Coronavirus Disease Rates after Relaxing Social Distancing
Xutong Wang, Zhanwei Du, George Huang, Remy F Pasco, Spencer J Fox, Alison P Galvani, Michael Pignone, S Claiborne Johnston, Lauren Ancel Meyers
Abstract
As coronavirus disease spreads throughout the United States, policymakers are contemplating reinstatement and relaxation of shelter-in-place orders. By using a model capturing high-risk populations and transmission rates estimated from hospitalization data, we found that postponing relaxation will only delay future disease waves. Cocooning vulnerable populations can prevent overwhelming medical surges.
Keywords: COVID-19; SARS; SARS-CoV-2; coronavirus; coronavirus disease; epidemiology; hospital bed capacity; mathematical model; pandemics; respiratory infections; severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; viruses; zoonoses.
. 2020 Sep 21;26(12).
doi: 10.3201/eid2612.201930. Online ahead of print.
Effects of Cocooning on Coronavirus Disease Rates after Relaxing Social Distancing
Xutong Wang, Zhanwei Du, George Huang, Remy F Pasco, Spencer J Fox, Alison P Galvani, Michael Pignone, S Claiborne Johnston, Lauren Ancel Meyers
- PMID: 32956613
- DOI: 10.3201/eid2612.201930
Abstract
As coronavirus disease spreads throughout the United States, policymakers are contemplating reinstatement and relaxation of shelter-in-place orders. By using a model capturing high-risk populations and transmission rates estimated from hospitalization data, we found that postponing relaxation will only delay future disease waves. Cocooning vulnerable populations can prevent overwhelming medical surges.
Keywords: COVID-19; SARS; SARS-CoV-2; coronavirus; coronavirus disease; epidemiology; hospital bed capacity; mathematical model; pandemics; respiratory infections; severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; viruses; zoonoses.