tetano
Editor, Senior Moderator
Epidemiological Dynamics of Ebola Outbreaks
Thomas HouseCorresponding Author
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.03908Published September 12, 2014 Cite as eLife 2014;10.7554/eLife.03908 Download PDF
Abstract
Ebola is a deadly virus that causes frequent disease outbreaks in the human population. Here, we analyse its rate of new introductions, case fatality ratio, and potential to spread from person to person. The analysis is performed for all completed outbreaks, and for a scenario where these are augmented by a more severe outbreak of several thousand cases. The results show a fast rate of new outbreaks, a high case fatality ratio, and an effective reproductive ratio of just less than 1.
full article
http://elifesciences.org/content/elife/early/2014/09/12/eLife.03908.full.pdf
Thomas HouseCorresponding Author
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.03908Published September 12, 2014 Cite as eLife 2014;10.7554/eLife.03908 Download PDF
Abstract
Ebola is a deadly virus that causes frequent disease outbreaks in the human population. Here, we analyse its rate of new introductions, case fatality ratio, and potential to spread from person to person. The analysis is performed for all completed outbreaks, and for a scenario where these are augmented by a more severe outbreak of several thousand cases. The results show a fast rate of new outbreaks, a high case fatality ratio, and an effective reproductive ratio of just less than 1.
full article
http://elifesciences.org/content/elife/early/2014/09/12/eLife.03908.full.pdf