Theresa42
Well-known member
Previous Egypt thread:
http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=47358&page=4
http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=47358&page=4
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Beheira Governorate - (6-7)
Jan 04 - Unnamed woman
Jan 04 - Unnamed woman's daughter (6 months)
Dakahlia Governorate (14-16)
Jan 03 - Abdul Rahman Abdul Rahman (9M) - from the village stone pillars
Jan 03 - Imad Bader Abdul Rahman (40) - from the village stone pillars
Jan 04 - Abdul Rahman Ali Bader - Mansoura Chest Hosp.
Jan 04 - Abdul Rahman Hamadi (13M) - son of Abdul Rahman Ali Bader - Mansoura Chest Hosp.
Qena Governorate (3)
Jan 03 - Mohamed Khaled Adli - 4 month old child - Qena "Dietary" Hospital - high temperature
Jan 04 - Jasmine Khaled Adli (1 1/2 F) - in hospital salt Qena - sister of Mohamed above?
Jan 04 - Q. Mustafa Hussein (24F) - mother of Jasmine? - hospital salt Qena
An Egyptian blog is claiming there was an interview with the head of Cairo University's veterinary school in the January 2 2008 edition of an Egyptian newspaper called the Daily El-Dostor. The blog claims:
Professor and doctor Ahmed El-Sanousy, the head of the viruses section at the faculty of Veterinary, Cairo University told the newspaper that in the last three months in 2007 the virus began to evolve and form a resistance against the vacancies like Tamflu, and this what the Namru discovered lately, it did not reach the complete evolution process which moves it from the birds to humans phase to the humans to humans
I posted this on the prior thread:
I guess it is a safe assumption that if the H5N1 strain circulating in Egypt during last year's flu season had already developed Tamiflu resistance, this year's H5N1 would likely retain that same Tamiflu resistance.
Although Tamiflu resistance was in birds last season, it was rare (the only sequences were from the Gharbiya cluster - 3 fatal case, with sequences from two and both had N294S).
The recent media report indicated that it was now much more common (based on the statement that it was in "some" of the four fatal cases). If true, then more N294S could have been seen in poultry isolates collected prior to the recent cases.
However, the blog mentions resistance to a vaccine, and Tamiflu is not a vac`cine.
I haven't read the blog very thoroughly, but thought they were talking about poultry dying from bad vaccines (which of course would not be related to Tamiflu).Thanks Dr. Niman.
I have seen references to Tamiflu in Egyptian media translated as "a vaccine" twice now in the last several days. I wonder if it is a translation problem specific to Egyptian/English translations?
This is a case of statistics being used to deliberately mislead. New cases have a CFR at, or above, Indonesia or other current infections. The current Egyptian cases are well above 62% CFR.وأكد أن معدلات الوفيات بين الاصابات البشرية فى مصر مازالت اقل من المعدلات العالميةوالتى تصل إلى نحو 62 فى المائة من الحالات بينما فى مصر تبلغ نحو 44 فى المائة فقط. He stressed that mortality rates among casualties in Egypt is still lower than the rates Almihualte amount to about 62 per cent of cases, while in Egypt amounted to about 44 per cent only.
The last line in the description gives the detal, which usually is just the governorate.Dr. Niman, how close are the pins to the exact location of the outbreaks? In the same town or, general area or, right down to the home address? (If the address is even available which I very much doubt.) I ask because some of the pins lie in locations within towns, while others are in what appear to be empty fields. I am trying to get a visual idea of clustering.