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EGYPT - Dec 4 2007 - Jan 1, 2008

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Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

Thanks to all of the newshound and trackers for following the situation in Egypt so closely these past 7-10 days. While Niman is right to raise concerns about the number of recently confirmed human cases in Egypt over this short time period, the number of suspected cases is not yet truly unusual.

Between February and April of 2007, hundreds of individuals per month were suspected cases, but these suspected cases were not individually reported in the news. It was only later reports that tabulated the true number of suspected cases as reported by Theresa42, here in November of 2007. A comparison of suspected to confirmed cases during this period shows that the number of suspected cases rose as the number of actual confirmed cases increased. link to graph: http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showpost.php?p=106899&postcount=17
My guess is the "suspected cases" would track even closer to seasonal flu (and relatively few of the suspected cases are hospitalized).
 
Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

<TABLE style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; text-direction: ltr" cellSpacing=4 cellPadding=0 width="95%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=titles align=middle>The fourth in less than a week ..
وفاة الحالة رقم 19 بفيروس أنفلونزا الطيور ومنظمة الصحة العالمية تطالب مصر بإعلان الطوارئ​
Death Case No. 19 HIV avian influenza, the World Health Organization Egypt calls for the declaration of emergency

</TD></TR><TR><TD class=redLink align=right>
كتب أحمد حسن بكر (المصريون): : بتاريخ 1 - 1 - 2008​
Ahmed Hassan Bakr (Egyptians):: On 1 - 1-2008 </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top align=right><TD class=textheightLeft2>
42950.jpg
ارتفع عدد وفيات مرض أنفلونزا الطيور في مصر إلى أربعة أشخاص خلال أقل من أسبوع، بعد الإعلان عن وفاة هانم عطوة إبراهيم (50 عامًا) مساء الاثنين بمدينة دمياط متأثرة بإصابتها بالفيروس المعروف باسم "إتش 5 أن 1" بعد أن كانت قد دخلت المستشفى في 24 ديسمبر الماضي.​
The number of deaths disease avian influenza in Egypt to the four people in less than a week, following the announcement of the death of Atwah ma'am Ibrahim (50 years old) Monday night in Damietta affected the safety of the virus, known as "H 5 to 1" after having entered the hospital at 24 last December.
وقالت وزارة الصحة إنه بوفاة هذه السيدة يرتفع عدد من قضوا بسبب المرض إلى 19 حالة، من إجمالي 43 حالة إصابة بالفيروس القاتل ، منذ ظهور المرض في فبراير من العام 2006، وهي أكبر حصيلة مسجلة في دولة من خارج آسيا.​
She said the Ministry of Health that the death of this lady brings the number of died from the disease to 19 cases, of the total 43 cases of the killer virus, since the emergence of the disease in February of the year 2006, the largest earnings registered in the State from outside Asia.
وكان عبد الرحمن شاهين المتحدث باسم وزارة الصحة، قد أعلن أمس الأول الاثنين أن سيدة في السادسة والثلاثين من عمرها، وتدعى فردوس محمد حداد، توفيت بعد يومين من نقلها إلى المستشفى، بعد إصابتها بالتهاب رئوي حاد، وارتفاع بدرجة الحرارة.​
Rahman was Shaheen spokesman of the Ministry of Health, announced yesterday Monday that the first lady in the thirty-sixth session of the old, alleges Ferdous Mohamed Haddad, died two days after the transfer to the hospital after being infected with severe pneumonia Inflammation, and the high degree of heat.
ودعا شاهين المواطنين إلى الالتزام بتعليمات حظر تربية الدواجن في مساكنهم، وعدم نقلها بين المحافظات بدون تصريح، مشددًا على ضرورة تطبيق إجراءات الحماية البيطرية في مزارع الدواجن، وتشديد الرقابة على أسواق الطيور.​
He called on citizens to adhere to Shaheen instructions banning poultry at their homes, and not be moved between provinces without a permit, stressing the need to apply protective measures in the veterinary poultry farms, and strict control of bird markets.
ويوم الأحد، أعلنت وزارة الصحة عن وفاة فتاة في الخامسة والعشرين من عمرها، من محافظة الدقهلية، إثر إصابتها بأنفلونزا الطيور، وذلك بعد الإعلان عن الأربعاء الماضي لسيدة من محافظة بني سويف، حيث كانت هي الأولى التي تشهدها مصر منذ يونيو الماضي.​
On Sunday, the Ministry of Health announced the death of a girl in the fifth century old, from the Dakahlia governorate, after being shot Avian, after the announcement of last Wednesday for a woman from Beni Suef Governorate, where it is the first witnessed by Egypt since last June.
في غضون ذلك، بدأت المرحلة الثانية لحملة مواجهة أنفلونزا الطيور بمشاركة وزارتي الصحة والزراعة؛ والتي سوف تستمر حتى 15 مارس القادم بمشاركة ثلاثة آلاف طبيب بيطري وجهات معاونة أخرى من وزارة الصحة والمحليات.​
Meanwhile, the second phase of the campaign cope with the bird flu and Ministries of Health and Agriculture; which will continue until March 15 next with three thousand veterinarian doctor and help other points of the Ministry of Health and localities.
وكان وزير الصحة الدكتور حاتم الجبلي قد حذر من "التراخي في إتباع الأساليب الوقائية الصحية" في مواجهة مرض أنفلونزا الطيور، خاصة مع دخول فصل الشتاء، مؤكدًا ضرورة "الحفاظ على النجاح الذي حققته مصر في مواجهة المرض"، بحسب قوله.​
The Minister of Health Dr. Hatem Mountain had warned of the "lax methods of preventive health" in the face of bird flu disease, especially with the entry of the winter, stressing the need to "maintain the success achieved by Egypt in the face of disease," according saying.
وأثار موت الحالة الرابعة بسبب أنفلونزا الطيور مخاوف منظمة الصحة العالمية، التي طالبت وزارتي الصحة والزراعة باتخاذ كافة التدابير الممكنة لوقف انتشار المرض، وأعربت في تحذير أرسلته لوزارة الصحة عن مخاوفها من أن يتسع نطاق انتشار المرض بشكل وبائي بين البشر والطيور في مصر.​
The effects of the death of the fourth because of bird flu fears of the World Health Organization, which called for the Ministries of Health and Agriculture to take all possible measures to stop the spread of the disease, she sent a warning to the Ministry of Health fears that the scope of the spread of the disease is epidemic among humans and birds in Egypt.
وطالبت وزارة الصحة بتوفير كميات إضافية من المضادات الحيوية خاصة عقار "التميفلوا" الموصى به لعلاج آثار المرض، كما طالبت برفع درجات استعداد مستشفيات الحميات على مستوى الجمهورية تحسبًا لتزايد أعداد المصابين بالمرض.​
Demanded the Ministry of Health to provide additional quantities of antibiotics especially real estate "Altmifloa" recommended for the treatment of the effects of the disease, also called for the lifting of degrees of willingness on diets hospitals nationwide in anticipation of the increasing number of people living with the disease.
يذكر أن منظمة الصحة العالمية كانت قد أعربت عن مخاوفها من انتقال المرض من البشر إلى البشر في مصر، بعد أن تم اكتشاف سلالة جديدة من الفيروس المسبب لمرض يمكنه نقل العدوى بين البشر؛ وهو الأمر الذي يعنى في حالة حدوثه إلى تحول المرض إلى وباء عالمي أكثر من الطاعون.​
It is noteworthy that the World Health Organization had expressed fears of transmission from human to human beings in Egypt, following the discovery of a new strain of the virus that causes the disease could transmission between humans; which means in case of the disease turning into a global epidemic more the plague. </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


http://translate.google.com/transla...=&rls=GGLG,GGLG:2005-33,GGLG:en&sa=G&as_qdr=d
 
Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

Cairo: The Egyptian Minister of Health Hatem Mountain will stress that the government action against the disease avian influenza after the death of four women in less than a week. He said we will take very strong action to prevent the transfer of birds between governorates of new and will take action against any violent Mthaon in this matter. He added some farmers do not report cases of mortality and therefore they sell birds that had not spent quickly to the villages adjacent to the farm ... Authorities were able to arrest one of them, prosecutors achieved with him and will get very kick deterrent. "

He went on to say "got kind of complacent ... and the type of leniency. People imagined that the disease ended when we tell them that the disease is endemic in Egypt has not come and stay here for several years."

She died setting Avian on Monday, bringing the number of deaths of the disease in the most populous Arab countries to the four cases in less than a week.

It is believed that the deaths resulted from dealing with sick poultry or Navgah among birds, which brought up in the courtyards or on the roofs of houses.

He died 19 people infected since the emergence of HIV Watch 5 to 1 in Egypt early in 2006.

This is the third winter, which is mortality after Kamoun virus during the summer much temperature and a low risk of transmission significantly.

The survival of patients more likely to survive if real estate Tammivlo started treatment immediately after onset of symptoms to them.

The government organized a program to immunize birds but difficult to apply compulsory immunization.

Depends about five million house in Egypt for birds as a major source of food and income. The government says that this is difficult to eradicate the possibility of disease.

The Egyptian minister said that all deaths and the number 19 is one of the poultry housework. He added: "Our problem in Egypt is currently home education."

Gabali urged doctors to insist on a questionnaire whether asylum-treatment symptoms of influenza are Mkhalati birds.

He said "people deny mixing effect home for fear of taking these birds are."

The mortality rate of disease in the world now more than 210 since 2003 with the receipt of incidence in several African and Asian countries and also in Turkey.

Health experts fear that transformed the virus into a form spread rapidly among humans to become a global epidemic that could kill millions of people.

http://www.elaph.com/ElaphWeb/Health/2008/1/292744.htm
 
Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

AVIAN INFLUENZA: EGYPT, BANGLADESH


******
[1] Egypt
Date: Tue 1 Jan 2008
Source: Xinhua News Agency [edited]
<http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2008-01/01/content_7349652.htm>


The Egyptian government has been exerting more efforts to prevent
further spread of the bird flu virus since the fatal disease caused 4
human deaths in less than a week in late December 2007.

Egypt has culled 1599 domestic poultry suspected of contracting bird
flu in its latest efforts to prevent further spread of the fatal
disease in the populous Middle East and North Africa country, the
official MENA news agency reported Tuesday [1 Jan 2008].

The culling of birds was carried out in 4 governorates, namely Cairo,
Qalyubiya, Minufiya, and Gharbiya, chairman of the General Authority
for Veterinary Services Hamid Samaha was quoted as saying. Under the
supervision of a committee, the dead poultry was buried deep between
2 layers of white lime, said Samaha.

The preventive medicine department has launched a campaign to
vaccinate live poultry against the deadly H5N1 strain of bird flu in
the country, with the participation of 3000 veterinarians,
assistants, and drivers.

Some 85 million doses of anti-bird flu vaccines were secured, added Samaha.

The anti-bird flu measures were taken as 4 more Egyptian people died
of the fatal disease in less than a week in late December 2007.

On Monday [31 Dec 2007], the Egyptian Health Ministry said a 2nd
woman died of bird flu in the evening, bringing the death toll of the
fatal disease to 19 since the emergence of the lethal H5N1 virus in
early 2006 in the country.

[The woman,] who was admitted to the intensive care unit of Abasiya
Chest Hospital in Cairo on Wednesday [26 Dec 2007], died Monday [31
Dec 2007] evening, the official MENA news agency quoted Health
Ministry sources as saying.

The 50-year-old woman was from Damietta Governorate in the Nile
Delta, some 150 km (93 mi) north of the capital of Cairo. [She]
became the 4th victim of the virus in the most populous Arab nation
in less than a week.

According to media statistics, Egypt has reported a total of 43 human
cases up to now since it detected its 1st H5N1 virus in dead poultry
in February 2006 and the 1st human case in March of the same year.

Earlier on Sunday [30 Dec 2007], Egyptian Minister of Health and
Population Hatem el-Gabali warned against leniency over preventive
measures against bird flu, especially in the winter season.

The ministry has kept on reinforcing measures to curb the disease
through a monitoring strategy carried out by some 27 teams around the
various governorates in the country.

During a meeting discussing means of preventing more cases, el-Gabali
urged chest and fever hospitals in the country to intensify
protective measures, Egypt State Information Service (SIS) reported
on Saturday [29 Dec 2007].

The minister also ordered to speed up a media campaign to keep the
citizens aware of the symptoms and dangers of the disease and, more
importantly, how to deal with it.

According to SIS, Giza Governorate has decided to launch campaigns to
control homebred poultry and close illegal living birds stores.

Work-teams have been set up in Minufiya Governorate to execute
poultry infected with bird flu using safe methods.

Minufiya governor Hassan Hemaida has issued directives to intensify
regular inspection patrols at some 4882 poultry farms in the
governorate, SIS said.

[Byline: Yan Liang]

--
Communicated by:
ProMED-mail Rapporteur Mary Marshall

[To assess the background to the continued circulation of the virus
in spite of mass vaccination, additional information is required. In
particular, details on the vaccines used, the vaccination schemes,
data on outbreaks in vaccinated flocks and detailed update on
locations and number of new outbreaks. The vaccinations seem to mask
the real incidence of infection.

The situation in Egypt and Saudi Arabia should be closely followed by
other Middle Eastern countries.

[An administrative map of Egypt is available at
<http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/africa/egypt_admn97.jpg>. - Mod.AS]
 
Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

<TABLE summary=""><TBODY><TR><TD noWrap align=right>Published Date</TD><TD noWrap align=left>01-JAN-2008</TD></TR><TR><TD noWrap align=right>Subject</TD><TD noWrap align=left>PRO/AH/EDR> Avian influenza, human: Egypt</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

AVIAN INFLUENZA, HUMAN: EGYPT*****************************A ProMED-mail post<http://www.promedmail.org>ProMED-mail is a program of theInternational Society for Infectious Diseases<http://www.isid.org>[1]Date: Mon 31 Dec 2007Source: Kuwait News Agency (KUNA) [edited]<http://www.kuna.net.kw/NewsAgenciesPublicSite/ArticleDetails.aspx?Language=en&id=1871792>The Egyptian health ministry announced on Monday [31 Dec 2007] another death case of bird flu disease, the 44th since the outbreak of the epidemic in Egypt in early 2006. In a statement, the ministry said a 50-years-old woman of Dumiyadh governorate, north of Cairo, died today as result of infection with the H5N1 virus. The woman was transferred to the hospital after [coming into contact with] sick birds.Earlier today [31 Dec 2007], the ministry announced the death of a 36-year-old woman [the 43rd case - Mod.CP] as result of the bird flu disease.Egypt detected the 1st H5N1 virus in dead poultry in February 2006, and the 1st human case in March of the same year.--Communicated by:ProMED-mail<promed@promedmail.org>******[2].Date: Mon 31 Dec 2007Source: Reuters Foundation AlertNet [edited]<http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L31423521.htm>On Monday [31 Dec 20007], 2 Egyptian women died of bird flu, bringing to 4 the number of fatalities from the virus in the most populous Arab country in less than a week. All 4 deaths involved women and were believed to have resulted from exposure to sick or dead backyard birds. [One of the victims,] from Menoufia province in the Nile Delta region north of Cairo, was taken to hospital on Saturday [29 Dec 2007] and died early on Monday [31 Dec 2007], Egypt's Health Ministry said in a statement. "She suffered from a high fever and difficulty breathing and had a pulmonary infection after coming into contact with birds suspected of being infected with avian flu," the statement said. "She was placed on a respirator but died at dawn on Monday [31 Dec 2007]."Later, John Jabbour, an Egypt-based World Health Organisation official, told Reuters a 2nd woman [from Damietta, also in the Nile Delta,] had died of bird flu in northern Egypt.The deaths broke a 5-month pause in human cases in Egypt and brought to 19 the number of Egyptians who have died of the H5N1 bird flu virus since it emerged in Egypt in early 2006. It is also the 3rd winter that the virus has struck after lying low during Egypt's hot summers, when it is much less likely to spread from one carrier to another.On Sunday [30 Dec 2007], a 25-year-old Egyptian woman died of bird flu in the Nile Delta city of Mansoura while another woman, died of bird flu on Wednesday [26 Dec 2007] in Beni Suef province south of Cairo, the 1st case of this winter season [and the 41st overall. - Mod.CP]Jabbour said the high fatality rate in the recent cases was likely due to a delay in diagnosis after patients and their family members denied exposure to infected birds. Patients are most likely to survive if they start treatment with Tamiflu early after symptoms occur.Around 5 million households in Egypt depend on poultry as a main source of food and income, and the government has said this makes it unlikely the disease can be eradicated despite a large-scale poultry vaccination programme. WHO officials have said the bird flu virus was now considered endemic in Egypt.Deaths from bird flu total more than 210 worldwide since 2003 and have been reported in several African and Asian countries, as well as in Turkey and Azerbaijan. Egypt, with 43 [now 44] confirmed human cases, has been the hardest-hit country outside of Asia.[Byline: Cynthia Johnston]--Communicated by:ProMED-mail Rapporteur Mary Marshall[The 4 cases reported in Egypt during past week, after a lapse of 5 months, comprise a woman in the Beni Suef governorate (the 41st case and the 16th death), a woman in Mansoura city who died on 30 Dec 2007 (the 42nd case and the 17th death), a woman in Menoufia governorate who died of 31 Dec 2007 (the 43rd case and the 18th death), and the woman Dumiyadh governorate who also died on 31 Dec 2007 (the 44th case and the 19th death). None of these 4 cases appear to be connected in any way. Further information on the status of the case in Damietta is awaited.The 100 percent mortality rate for the 4 cases reported during the past week, in contrast to the more favourable outcomes achieved by the Egyptian Health Ministry previously is being attributed to delayed diagnosis (in part due to reluctance of patients to come forward for treatment) and consequent late initiation of Tamiflu treatment, rather than to any increased virulence of the H5N1 virus.A map showing the locations of the governorates and cities of the Nile Delta region and of the governorates south of Cairo is available at<http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/africa/egypt_admn97.jpg>. - Mod.CP]</PRE>
 
Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

Four (4) new sus cases in Sharkia:

Samia el-Sayed Awad (55F)
Menah Mohamed Fathi (3F) - granddaughter of Samia

Iman Sobhi (25F)
Mohamed Maher Reda - Iman's son


Bird Flue Kills another Victim; Maximum State of Emergency Declared

By Tarek Amin, Jehan Khalifa, Nasser el-Kashif and Mesbah el-Hagar 2/1/2008

The 19th bird flu victim since the virus hit Egypt was declared dead at the Abassiya Chest Hospital in Cairo on Monday as a funeral procession was being held in the village of Hait in Menoufia for Fardos Mohamed Haddad who had also died from bird flu.

Fifty-two year old Hanim Atwa Ibrahim from Ezbet el-Lahm in Damietta died of complications from multiple pneumonia and respiratory failure, Director General of Preventive Medicine in Damietta Salah Abou Atta told al-Masry al-Youm.

In Sharkia in the eastern Nile Delta, health officials quarantined four citizens for suspected symptoms of bird flu in Sharkia Contagious Disease Hospital.

They were identified as 3-year-old Menah Mohamed Fathi, her grandmother, 55-year-old Samia el-Sayed Awad, and 25-year-old Iman Sobhi and her son, Mohamed Maher Reda.

This came as the health and population ministry declared a maximum state of emergency following the death of three new victims in less than 30 hours.

Sources at the ministry told al-Masry al-Youm 27 epidemic surveillance teams were activated and that immediate intervention teams were stationed across the country.

Health officials were also closely following up on quarantined cases and anti-contagious efforts, ensuring that sufficient stockpiles of the anti-viral Tam flu are available, and setting up two laboratories in Alexandria and Menya to service both Upper and Lower Egypt by conducting tests specific to the bird flu virus.

The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), meanwhile, praised what it described as improvement in the efforts to combat the H5N1 virus, which causes the disease around the world, but cautioned that the situation remains critical in Egypt and Indonesia, where the risk of the mutation of virus to a strain that could be transmitted among humans remains high.

A report issued by the ministry of agriculture revealed that outbreaks of the virus are more prevalent among birds in poultry farms rather than birds bread domestically. The report, complied by the Public Authority for Veterinary Services, said 25 new outbreaks were detected in Sharkia, Gharbia, Qalyubia, Menoufia, Dakahlia, Cairo, Qena, Beni Suef and Giza.

The report concluded that 90% of the poultry farms fell behind considerably in a number of biological safety benchmarks, which threatens to make it easier for the disease to spread.

http://www.almasry-alyoum.com/article.aspx?ArticleID=88617
 
Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

Thanks to all of the newshound and trackers for following the situation in Egypt so closely these past 7-10 days. While Niman is right to raise concerns about the number of recently confirmed human cases in Egypt over this short time period, the number of suspected cases is not yet truly unusual.

Between February and April of 2007, hundreds of individuals per month were suspected cases, but these suspected cases were not individually reported in the news. It was only later reports that tabulated the true number of suspected cases as reported by Theresa42, here in November of 2007. A comparison of suspected to confirmed cases during this period shows that the number of suspected cases rose as the number of actual confirmed cases increased. link to graph: http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showpost.php?p=106899&postcount=17


Thanks for pointing out the positive correlation.
 
Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

how many have died so far and has the amount of confirmed cases increased............?
 
Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

Same 4 from Sharkia.

Google-translated from Arabic:

Bird flu continues
Detain 4 people on suspicion of casualty and execution of 106 thousand bird
governorates

Written by - Samir adding: Mansoura - Azza Fahmy and Eastern [Sharkia] - Solomon fixed and Qena - Centir Dr. Ashraf Ahmed Sawan governor Dakahlia emergency departments in all hospitals and veterinary governorate after the death of Fatma Mohammed Mahdi Avian, and the appointment of new veterinary doctors to contribute to the eradication of the disease and curb. In the same context, Dr. Mr. Aboualjer, Undersecretary of the Ministry of Health & has been detained 4 new cases Hospital pathogenesis Zagazig on suspicion of being infected with the disease.

He said: samples were taken from each of Maher Mohamed Rajab, a year and a half, and Iman Subhi Mohammed -25 years- and from Mohamed Fathi -3 years- and Samiha Mr. Darabi -55 years- and sent to the ministry's central laboratories for analysis.

His analysis proved free child Nabil Ahmed Mohamed-8-year-Babkber of avian influenza have left the hospital yesterday.

On a related, were seized thousand chickens in Qena, Luxor passenger cars transport permits transfer of chickens were forged impounded and taken samples and sent to the central ministry factor was the reservation to withdraw both cars and drivers licenses leadership.

On the other hand, Dr. Sawan, Dakahlia governor that were seized 11 trucks from the provinces Qalubia, Damietta, Menoufiya, the lack of permits transfer of birds have been executed by the weight of birds in addition to 12 thousand bird farm Nusa sea.

In this context, Dr. Attiya Mustafa Abdel Aziz, Under-Secretary, Ministry of Agriculture & Veterinary Medicine was executed 92 A bird in the farms and wheat blow Abouhmad and Bulbis screening 170 farms large and withdraw 5 thousand samples have been sent to labs central ministry.

While Dr. Hamid Abdaltwab Samaha, the former chief veterinary services that were executed 1599 flying home "chickens Obt and Oz" Cairo and the provinces and Qaliubia Menoufiya, western and buried in landfills healthy stressing the existence national vaccination campaign involving 3 thousand doctors, a veterinarian and associate driver to provide 85 million doses a vaccine for birds at the republic level.

http://www.alwafd.org/v3/News/NewsD...in&PHPSESSID=c17b3c5c55c496cf5c2454b01bd29c2c
 
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