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Ebola outbreak: call to send in military to West Africa to help curb epidemic

Vibrant62

Senior Moderator
Ebola outbreak: call to send in military to West Africa to help curb epidemic

Head of M?decins sans Fronti?res urges UN to dispatch disaster response teams as cases and deaths continue to surge

Sarah Boseley, health editor
The Guardian, Tuesday 2 September 2014 10.23 EDT
http://www.theguardian.com/society/2014/sep/02/ebola-outbreak-call-send-military-curb-epidemic

Military teams should be sent to West Africa immediately if there is to be any hope of controlling the Ebola epidemic, doctors on the frontline told the United Nations on Tuesday, painting a stark picture of health workers dying, patients left without care and infectious bodies lying on the streets.

The international president of M?decins sans Fronti?res, Dr Joanne Liu, told member states that although alarm bells had been ringing for six months, the response had been too little, too late and no amount of vaccinations and new drugs would be able to prevent the escalating humanitarian disaster.

"In West Africa, cases and deaths continue to surge," she said. "Riots are breaking out. Isolation centres are overwhelmed. Health workers on the frontline are becoming infected and are dying in shocking numbers.

"Others have fled in fear, leaving people without care for even the most common illnesses. Entire health systems have crumbled."

She said Ebola treatment centres had been reduced to places where people went to die alone.

"It is impossible to keep up with the sheer number of infected people pouring into facilities. In Sierra Leone, infectious bodies are rotting in the streets," she said. "Rather than building new Ebola care centres in Liberia, we are forced to build crematoria."

snip

The epidemic can be stopped, said Liu, but only if governments send in their biohazard teams and equipment.

"Many of the member states represented here today have invested heavily in biological threat response," she said at the UN. "You have a political and humanitarian responsibility to immediately utilise these capabilities in Ebola-affected countries.

"To curb the epidemic, it is imperative that states immediately deploy civilian and military assets with expertise in biohazard containment. I call upon you to dispatch your disaster response teams, backed by the full weight of your logistical capabilities. This should be done in close collaboration with the affected countries. Without this deployment, we will never get the epidemic under control."

Money is no longer the main issue, according to MSF, and voluntary help is not enough. Skilled and well equipped teams are needed on the ground.

Governments should send in military and civilian experts who can scale up the numbers of isolation centres and deploy mobile laboratories that can be used to diagnose more cases.

Military-style operations are required to establish dedicated air bridges to move personnel and equipment around West Africa and a regional network of field hospitals must be built to treat medical staff who are infected or suspected of being infected. About a tenth of the deaths have been among health workers.

snip

Lastly, she said, there must be a change of approach by affected countries. "Coercive measures, such as laws criminalising the failure to report suspected cases, and forced quarantines, are driving people underground.

"This is leading to the concealment of cases, and is pushing the sick away from health systems. These measures have only served to breed fear and unrest, rather than contain the virus."

snip

The UN has also warned of serious food shortages as a result of restrictions on movement in the Ebola-hit countries.

snip

"With the main harvest now at risk and trade and movements of goods severely restricted, food insecurity is poised to intensify in the weeks and months to come."
 
Re: Ebola outbreak: call to send in military to West Africa to help curb epidemic

Is she really calling for the western nations to send troops in, do you think? Have to wonder how effective that could possibly be, in view of the terrain, the language problems, the logistics of bringing in equipment and materiel. The US Navy at one time had self-contained forward units that could be dropped into an area by helicopter. They could be configured for a wide variety of needs, from medical to repair shops to met stations, and many others. There was even a self-contained diagnostic laboratory, though I don't think it approached level 4 classification. I don't think this program is currently in operation, but I've been away long enough that I'm no longer up on what is being done. If something like this is not available now, I don't see how simply bringing soldiers into an area--even those trained for hazardous environments--is going to accomplish anything besides getting a lot of them sick too. Soldiers are trained to shoot first and then ask questions--looks to me like a perfect recipe for people in jungle areas to melt back into the shadows and never bring family members for treatment. Hope I'm not being overly pessimistic.
 
Re: Ebola outbreak: call to send in military to West Africa to help curb epidemic

I believe she is talking about deploying emergency response teams (people sent into natural disaster areas) as well as bioterror response units which would include medics, logistics, etc. As ebola has been high on the list of possible bio-terror agents, they should already have training in this area.
 
Re: Ebola outbreak: call to send in military to West Africa to help curb epidemic

Deploying any U.S. troops is a bad idea on so many levels. The military is not designed to be a rapid response team for outbreaks of a Level 4 virus. To the Africans it would look like a foreign invasion and many of those infected would " melt back into the shadows" as Lizw suggested. This outbreak is going to be stopped largely by volunteers.
 
Re: Ebola outbreak: call to send in military to West Africa to help curb epidemic

IMHO the world is in trouble then, as all volounteers are already deployed and there are not enough of them to go around.

What is needed is a response capability that is available right now. The international volounteer cupboard is bare: local health providers have taken the brunt of infections (and deaths) and are severely depleted, and were extremely thin on the ground to start with.

If not western response teams (probably military), then what? Who can be called upon, and from where? What are the alternative options?
 
Re: Ebola outbreak: call to send in military to West Africa to help curb epidemic

To illustrate the above point see snippets below. On a volounteer basis, all people that can be mobilised from the volounteer sector, already are.
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news...ola-fight-doctors-group-says/article20300556/

World is ?losing? Ebola fight, doctors? group says

A key international doctors group is warning that the world is ?losing the battle? against Ebola and UN officials are imploring all countries to step up their response by sending help to affected countries.

big snip

World Health Organization chief Margaret Chan says the United Nations is urgently scaling up its response and called on all countries to contribute to the effort. David Nabarro, who is co-ordinating the UN?s response to the Ebola crisis, says the UN is ?bringing in as many outside health workers as much as we can.?
 
Re: Ebola outbreak: call to send in military to West Africa to help curb epidemic

Yes, outside health workers, not military. Other people's knowledge may well be more up to date than mine, but I don't believe that bio-terror units are trained as care providers. Hope I'm wrong, because in a developed nation, I think this would be exactly the right response. Military personnel to make sure people stayed where they were, and military medics to back up the civilian HCW's. Just not sure this can work in the current circumstances.
 
Re: Ebola outbreak: call to send in military to West Africa to help curb epidemic

I got the impression that M?decins sans Fronti?res was calling for intervention limited to UNDAC, rather 'than Peacekeepers', but could be wrong.

There are significant Peacekeeper assets in Liberia already and this has done nothing to stem the ebola spread and no plans seem to be in the works to use them in the fight against the disease:

Rebuilding Liberia: UN peacekeepers prepare to hand over reins

Published: August 14, 2013 08:17 AM
By Philip Marcelo

Journal Staff Writer
At the time, UN-MIL was the largest UN peacekeeping force anywhere, with 15,000 military personnel.

Today it stands at 5,800 troops and has a budget of nearly $500 million, or in excess of Liberia's annual budget of about $350 million.

By June 2015, a gradual phase down will bring troop levels to 3,500. Liberia's entire standing army is about 4,000 troops.

I do see some nice assets that could be potentially converted into treatment centers and patient/HCW transport vehicles, though. ;)

But it looks like the military-type operation may stay active in Liberia:


The Cable: Ban Says U.N. Troops Are Safe, Needed to Quash Ebola Unrest

BY Colum Lynch
SEPTEMBER 2, 2014 - 09:36 AM
 
Re: Ebola outbreak: call to send in military to West Africa to help curb epidemic

I assume she is hoping for medical units, such as mobile hospitals, with trained personnel.
 
Re: Ebola outbreak: call to send in military to West Africa to help curb epidemic

I think there is a need for military planning and logistics, to move people and goods, especially in the absence of commerical airlines operating.

She is highlighting that a war footing is needed to beat ebola, here in West Africa, because we can be certain that it wont burn out. The battle has to be fought one way or the other. Better here than our own doorsteps.
 
Re: Ebola outbreak: call to send in military to West Africa to help curb epidemic

I fear that our national medical response teams are not geared for this sort of deployment. They are very experienced in standing up emergency medical facilities in disaster zones like quakes hurricanes etc. They are EXTREMELY organized experienced professional - dream teams. They are regular docs nurses and support staff in our hospitals and then are rotated on and off for all hazard readiness. All first responders train for hemmoragaic fever response but I think that the response would be within the context of an outbreak here in the first world not in an almost fully collapsed scenario as in west africa. Im pretty sure the US isnt going to sacrice these HCWs, equipment and our stockpiles on a suicide mission. Just putting that out there but without any suggested alternatives
 
Re: Ebola outbreak: call to send in military to West Africa to help curb epidemic

The US isnt alone in this.

It needs to be a UN concerted and international response with countries committing manpower and logistics, country by country.

Either countries send in what resources they have now, or we (as a world community) are accepting that ebola will, in time, very likely become a global pandemic disease. Every country will have to deal with multiple introductions from every third world or developing nation (not just Africa), as ebola will surely spread beyond africa's borders. Not all countries will be able to contain it, especially if the number of introductions exceed a critical threshold.

Travel restrictions and border closures will not work, and/or (based on H5N1 modelling work that was done) it will precipitate a global financial collapse, once it spreads to other countries.

Ebola is a threat to everyone, if we do not act to bring it under control, right now. Once it spreads much further, it would be beyond the capabilities of the world to do anything.

As Dr Frieden has said, the window for action is closing, and closing fast.
 
Re: Ebola outbreak: call to send in military to West Africa to help curb epidemic

I was speaking to the gap between the ideal (that which you described above) and the actualities. Of course we need (should have already done) the response as you describe. It's quantifiable, plannable, on a pro forma basis. It remains the case tho that our response teams (gold standard in the world) are still likely insufficient for the task. The violent chaos, panic, cultural differences are the problem, not the technical aspects.
 
Re: Ebola outbreak: call to send in military to West Africa to help curb epidemic

Global Bio-Disaster Response Urgently Needed in Ebola Fight

September 02, 2014
...
"Many countries possess biological threat response mechanisms. They can deploy trained civilian or military medical teams in a matter of days, in an organized fashion, and with a chain of command to assure high standards of safety and efficiency to support the affected countries. MSF insists, however, that any military assets and personnel deployed to the region should not be used for quarantine, containment, or crowd control measures. Forced quarantines have only bred fear and unrest, rather than stem the virus."

“Funding announcements and the deployment of a few experts do not suffice,” said Dr. Liu. “States with the required capacity have a political and humanitarian responsibility to come forward and offer a desperately needed, concrete response to the disaster unfolding in front of the world’s eyes. Rather than limit their response to the potential arrival of an infected patient in their countries, they should take the unique opportunity to actually save lives where immediately needed, in West Africa.”
...
http://www.doctorswithoutborders.or...disaster-response-urgently-needed-ebola-fight
 
Re: Ebola outbreak: call to send in military to West Africa to help curb epidemic

I think the only way to control this situation is to:

1) Pay the entire population to stay home for 3 weeks except for emergency and essential workers (who have not been a contact of an ebola patient),

2) Regular food and water deliveries to all who are self quarantining.
 
Re: Ebola outbreak: call to send in military to West Africa to help curb epidemic

I believe any help for this outbreak should be provided by volunteers only. It is not right to sent troops into harms way. Even though they may not be directly treating patients, the risk of infection is still possible. Ebola does not, in my opinion, represent a security threat to the U.S. Also, this sets a dangerous precedent. Are we going to send troops anytime a country experiences a large outbreak? Are we encouraging African countries to just sit back aand let the U.S. solve all their problems? What happened to the billions of dollars we've already spent on Africa? Why hasn't some of it gone to strengthen their healthcare system? I would demand answers before we deploy any more troops to that area.
 
Re: Ebola outbreak: call to send in military to West Africa to help curb epidemic

Sending the military is the last thing, ideally, we should do. However they were sent in for other world disasters; they are the Pro's at emergency setup. The military will have little to no role in care giving. The fact remains, if not the military, then who? If this effort is "not enough" or falls short, well, start calling Mars because there is no other option. I certainly don't see many medical personnel voluntering. West Africa will be on their own....until it travels. We can disagree till we're blue in the face; that's easy. Disagree, fine, but then propose a solution.
 
Re: Ebola outbreak: call to send in military to West Africa to help curb epidemic

However they were sent in for other world disasters; they are the Pro's at emergency setup. The military will have little to no role in care giving. The fact remains, if not the military, then who? If this effort is "not enough" or falls short, well, start calling Mars because there is no other option. I certainly don't see many medical personnel volunteering. West Africa will be on their own....until it travels. We can disagree till we're blue in the face; that's easy. Disagree, fine, but then propose a solution.

Agree wholeheartedly. USAID today said at the CSPAN hearing that despite fears about the disease, they were pleased with success of response to recruitment efforts. Germany is offering soldiers who volunteer pay and ICOE return trip to home.

CSPAN hearing:http://www.c-span.org/video/?321685-1/congressional-seminar-ebola-outbreak-west-africa
 
Re: Ebola outbreak: call to send in military to West Africa to help curb epidemic

I am sorry the Military has been dragged into this but it is unavoidable at this stage. The problem is speed plus volume and they are the only entity on the planet capable of achieving this, and it may also need the requisitioning of civilian air cargo capacity.

Based on data from the current NEJM report.
This report is the current gold standard in terms of full analysis of all available data up to 16 Sept. No less than 35 of its co-authors are from the WHO.

The confirmed and probable cases were ~4500 (reports estimate of under reporting is 2.5 so over 10,000) at that time and the doubling time is about 3 weeks. Liberia and Sierra Leone, with a combined population of 10m, had about 200 doctors and 2000 nurses to begin with.

So in 3 weeks there will be 10,000 new cases. If each case needs a bed for a week then over 3000 beds or new beds 1000/week. Sadly the Case Fatality rate is about ~70% so that also means safe collection and disposal of 7,000 bodies, at present a 4 man burial team is handling about 10 bodies a day (they badly need mechanical diggers). You also need contact tracing for 100,000 (assuming that is even on the cards).
All these numbers will be doubling for each 3 weeks delay.

If a 100 bed unit is staffed by 10 HCWs working in shifts consider what they need. A hospital and everything in it, construction/engineering teams & everything they need, auxiliary staff to clean, launder, cook, incinerators, burial teams, diggers, and everything else not related to their treatment of patients, accommodation, secure safe water & fuel supply, generators, a sewage system, food, security, transport and PPE for everyone. All these personnel (not just the 10 HCWs) have to go through a training course on PPE use, symptom identification & disinfection as a minimum. Now multiply by 30 to get your 3000 beds. All 30 of these have to be done in parallel and complete within 3 weeks and twice as many have to be built in the following 3 weeks because this is only a breaking effect it will slow the doubling time but not the numbers initially. Even if we keep to this grueling scheduled it could be months of gradually lengthening doubling times before the epidemic goes into reverse.

This needs to be a done in an environment in which the poor existing infrastructure is on the point of collapse, you can not assume that you will be able to source anything locally, all of the population around the sites have to be deemed potentially infected and civil unrest is a growing concern.
Even a short delay makes the problem much worse.
If not the world's militaries then who?
The question is becoming not 'should they go' but 'will they be enough?'
 
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