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Ebola is spooking Wall Street

AlaskaDenise

In Memoriam
Ebola is spooking Wall Street

The Ebola epidemic is starting to contaminate sentiment on Wall Street, which is already losing sleep over countless crises.

The arrival of Ebola in the U.S. has coincided with a period of extreme turbulence in the stock market, which has tumbled about 8% from record highs.

The deadly virus is clearly not the only factor behind the market slide, but it's a major unknown that is increasingly weighing on market psychology. That was the case again on Wednesday as the Dow plummeted as much as 370 points and health officials revealed a second health-care worker in Dallas tested positive for Ebola.

Ebola fears are most obvious in the airline sector. Shares of American Airlines Group (AAL) and Delta Air Lines (DAL) fell sharply on Wednesday, hurt by the news that the new Ebola patient flew the day before being diagnosed. Both airlines are down nearly 20% over the past month alone.

"The fear is that people will be afraid to fly," said Jason Weisberg, managing director at Seaport Securities.

Other sectors being caught in the Ebola downdraft include the cruise industry, where Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) and Carnival (CCL) have tumbled nearly 20% from their 52-week highs.

Hotel stocks like Hilton Worldwide (HLT) and Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide (HOT) have also been punished by the Ebola concerns.

Extreme fear: The Ebola scare is not having an impact on many businesses at this point. For that to happen, the deadly virus would have to spread much more rapidly in the West. That means earnings -- the fundamental component of stock prices -- aren't being hit.

However, market psychology, which has become increasingly fragile, is clearly being hurt by the Ebola epidemic.

"The stock market is now driven by emotion rather than fundamentals. The former rapidly switches from greed to fear on Ebola news," Ed Yardeni, president of investment advisory Yardeni Research, wrote in a note on Wednesday.

Just check out CNNMoney's Fear & Greed Index. It tumbled to zero for the second time ever earlier this week, indicating "extreme fear." Just a few months ago it was flashing "extreme greed" as stocks cruised to record highs.

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Re: Ebola is spooking Wall Street

All stock exchanges fell on average by 2 to 4% in Europe today. I too wondered, but the reasons given in the media are the bad figures issued today by the US and general worries about the world economy, China and the Euro... nothing about ebola.
 
Re: Ebola is spooking Wall Street

When it's ready to adjust, nothing can stop it and everything will be blamed for causing it. Ebola is an exotic bogeyman just as it's an exotic pathogen. ;)
 
Re: Ebola is spooking Wall Street

This video is worth watching. From CNN's Closing Bell a few days ago.

Gottlieb, former deputy director FDA makes comments about Gen. Kelly's "There is no way you can keep Ebola in W. Africa."

Gottlieb and uses the words "engulf Africa" "tipping point" and "global pandemic" at which point the financial people trip over themselves to walk him back, saying:

"reminds me of SARS which we were able to contain pretty well"
"this is more difficult to pass this (Ebola) along than SARS"

Gottlieb goes on to say he doesn't think there will be epidemic in US, but global spread big concern for markets.

http://www.aei.org/media/health/glo...tipping-point-gottlieb-on-cnbcs-closing-bell/
 
Re: Ebola is spooking Wall Street

This video is worth watching. From CNN's Closing Bell a few days ago.

Gottlieb, former deputy director FDA makes comments about Gen. Kelly's "There is no way you can keep Ebola in W. Africa."

Gottlieb and uses the words "engulf Africa" "tipping point" and "global pandemic" at which point the financial people trip over themselves to walk him back, saying:

"reminds me of SARS which we were able to contain pretty well"
"this is more difficult to pass this (Ebola) along than SARS"

Gottlieb goes on to say he doesn't think there will be epidemic in US, but global spread big concern for markets.

http://www.aei.org/media/health/glo...tipping-point-gottlieb-on-cnbcs-closing-bell/

You nailed it. You can almost hear the financial people mumbling "Oh crap!" as they were trying (mostly unsuccessfully) to reel Gottlieb in.
 
Re: Ebola is spooking Wall Street

did the stocks fall especially at the moments when US-cases are announced
or worrying moments at WHO-briefings ?

Did vaccine or antiviral stocks go up ?

What about stocks from the region ? Or companies that produce there


2014/10/16,11:30UTC
DAX=8413
DOW=15956
Euro/$=1.2734
 
Re: Ebola is spooking Wall Street

The ebola drug stocks are pumping and dumping with every announcement of a treatment or death.

The big picture seems something else.

http://americasmarkets.usatoday.com/2014/10/16/correction-watch-continues-anew-on-wobbly-wall-street/
'Correction' watch continues anew on wobbly Wall Street

By: Adam Shell October 16, 2014 5:46 am

...

The market is due for a correction. The last 10%-plus drop for the S&P 500 occurred three years ago in November 2011. Corrections aren?t fun, but they aren?t bear markets, either. A bear market is a drop of 20% or more. For now, an old-fashioned correction is a better alternative than another bear. A bounce, like Wednesday?s big price reversal, would be welcomed. The trouble is nobody knows when the big bounce will come.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/11165982/World-economy-so-damaged-it-may-need-permanent-QE.html
World economy so damaged it may need permanent QE
By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
9:36PM BST 15 Oct 2014

Combined tightening by the United States and China has done its worst. Global liquidity is evaporating.

What looked liked a gentle tap on the brakes by the two monetary superpowers has proved too much for a fragile world economy, still locked in "secular stagnation". The latest investor survey by Bank of America shows that fund managers no longer believe the European Central Bank will step into the breach with quantitative easing of its own, at least on a worthwhile scale.

Markets are suddenly prey to the disturbing thought that the five-and-a-half year expansion since the Lehman crisis may already be over, before Europe has regained its prior level of output. That is the chief reason why the price of Brent crude has crashed by 25pc since June. It is why yields on 10-year US Treasuries have fallen to 1.96pc, and why German Bunds are pricing in perma-slump at historic lows of 0.81pc this week.

We will find out soon whether or not this a replay of 1937 when the authorities drained stimulus too early, and set off the second leg of the Great Depression...
 
Re: Ebola is spooking Wall Street

http://www.pressherald.com/2014/10/18/stock-traders-brace-for-more-market-mood-swings/
Posted October 18
Stock traders brace for more market mood swings

Slowing growth in Europe stirs up investors? doubts just as the Fed plans to wind down a bond-buying program.
By MATTHEW CRAFT The Associated Press
NEW YORK ? Europe?s economy sputters, oil prices plunge and stocks start swinging wildly. Wall Street?s long dormant ?fear index? now predicts more turbulence ahead.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange?s volatility index, known as the VIX, more than doubled over the past month: from 12 to 26. Although that?s nowhere near the 80 reached in the financial crisis, the recent spike means traders are bracing for more big jumps and steep drops.

Slowing growth in Europe and the developing world has stirred up lingering doubts among investors just as the Federal Reserve plans to wind down a bond-buying program that many considered a driving force behind the stock market?s five-year run...
 
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