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Do lockdowns really make a difference? How two US states with totally opposite COVID strategies both ended up with the same result

Shiloh

Editor, Senior Moderator
Source: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/...a-took-different-approaches-ended-result.html

Do lockdowns really make a difference? How two US states with totally opposite COVID strategies both ended up with the same result

California Gov Gavin Newsom took a very strict approach during the coronavirus pandemic and closed bars and indoor dining, issued mask mandates and limited gathering
By comparison, Florida Gov Ron DeSantis has issued very few closures and said he has trusted Floridian to 'use common sense' to control the spread of the virus
Historically, when adjusting for population, Florida has had 8,306 cases and 117 deaths per 100,000 residents and California has had about 8,499 cases per 100,000 residents and 130 deaths per 100,000
Currently, each states is recording between 200 and 400 cases per million people and between 10 and 20 deaths per million, showing a very similar curve over the last two months
Hospitalization rates are also very similar with California reporting 24 hospitalizations per 100,000 while Florida has recorded about 22 per 100,000

By Mary Kekatos Senior Health Reporter For Dailymail.com
Published: 11:23 EST, 15 February 2021 | Updated: 04:05 EST, 16 February 2021

ince the early days of the coronavirus pandemic in the United States, no two states have been more different in their approaches than California and Florida.

In early March, California Gov Gavin Newsom limited gatherings, closed bars and indoor dining at restaurants, implemented mask mandates and implored residents to stay at home.

Comparatively, Florida Gov Ron DeSantis has enacted few measures, lifting an ordinance that prevented people from operating businesses and restaurants as well as lifting COVID-19 related fines and penalties in September.

Looser restrictions mean schools have not been shut down statewide and mask mandates have never been imposed.

In November, he even criticized states like California with harsher restrictions and said he trusted his residents to 'use common sense.'

In an interview on Fox News Business on Sunday, DeSantis argued that Florida 'focused on lifting people up' during the pandemic but 'lockdown states' are 'putting people out of business.'

'There's a whole bunch of things we've been doing for COVID, but at the same time, we've lifted our state up, we've saved our economy and I think we're going to be first out of gate once we are able to put COVID behind the country,' he told Sunday Morning Futures with Maria Bartiromo.

Despite these different approaches, both states ended up with roughly the same outcome. A DailyMail.com analysis shows that, over the last two months, the states have each seen cases, deaths and hospitalizations fall by about one-third.

So were lockdowns necessary and did they work? The answer is a complicated one, but researchers say that they were beneficial in the early months due to our lack of knowledge about how COVID-19 spread and how to treat it...
 
My observation is that Floridians who know they are at high risk are staying out of the main stream of society. Even moderate risk people are self regulating their exposure.

I drove around several communities last weekend and you would never know there is a pandemic going on. The venues were full. Traffic was busy. People were out.

I think the lesson learned is that if you explain to people what the risks are, they will listen and act according to their particular situation.

As I said a few times on the site - never have I seen a pandemic plan that anticipated full lockdowns of entire cities or states. The plans I saw talked about contact tracing and small quarantines of hot spot areas. In a worse case scenario, there were plans to use the FEMA regions in which people can freely operate within their region. Again, the type of lockdown as California has implemented was never contained in any plan that I ever saw.

I wonder what the Florida state government is going to officially do if/when the COVID-19 variants hit the state in a big way.

The most important action Florida can take right now is to run public advisories in both English and Spanish on all media warning about what has happened in the UK so people can respond appropriately.
 
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