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Discussion thread VI - COVID-19 (new coronavirus)

Prof. Kekule in his podcast said he hopes/believes >50% of Germans can be vaccinated
until fall 2021 so there would be no fall-wave as this year.
I have seen no comments on Mertens' predictions.
(RKI should say something ?!?)
--------------------------------------
on Dec02 Mertens, warns again about vaccine euphoria.
He reiterates that vaccinating the whole German population cannot be done in 2021
Assuming 150000 or 200000 vaccinations per day, 6 days per week.
 
Lauterbach tweets that Germany could vaccinate at most 4% of the population until April
 
Please understand that this article is about the personal account of a pharmacist and not necessarily a credible source but there are multiple media reports and apparently the patient was interviewed on MBC Masr.

Given the widespread reports and some studies that confirm people can get a second COVID infection, it only makes sense that they can get it a third time. That the third infection is worse in this case than the first two is concerning, if true:

https://www.msn.com/en-ae/news/other/egyptian-woman-claims-she-got-covid-19-three-times/ar-BB1bBoQL

https://www.albawaba.com/node/bewar...ust-happened-egyptian-pharmacist-hospitalized

https://alkhaleejtoday.co/egypt/548...veals-the-details-of-being-infected-with.html
 
"Le risque de mortalit? ?tait ainsi r?duit de 89 % dans le groupe trait? par la suppl?mentation en vitamine D3."
https://infodujour.fr/sante/43730-vitamine-d-les-incroyables-decouvertes-francaises

vu ceci :
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vitamin_D#/media/File:Vitamin_D_serum_levels_in_adults_world_map.svg

la position de Mr Fauci sur ce dossier est n?cessaire , car les proc?dures pour mise en danger ou pire vont pleuvoir ...

Mr Fauci's position on this issue is necessary, because the procedures for endangerment or worse will rain ...
 
The first two positive RNA tests might not have indicated a true infection. Does she describe actually getting ill around the time of the first two tests? Sharon posted a link to a virologist's video about his own false positive test.
She does reveal she had her thyroid removed some time ago, so if she does have an immunity problem, that could be related.
 
Thank's
following the mad cow crisis, in France, the National Food Council was created. It is the food parliament in France. It must produce a text on December 9, a feedback procedure. I supported the fact that for a societal crisis, like the covid cell, you need all the players on the bridge including all the food worlds from farm to fork.
https://cna-alimentation.fr/

Your culture is different, but I wanted to have Mr Fauci's perspective on collective action of this nature.

A vitamin is not a medicine and it can be provided in x ways. For this vitamin, we know in breeding that overdoses justify huge doses and for a long time.

So why not ask everyone for help?

For example, a mayonnaise enriched with Vit D can be delivered by supermarkets, to families, but also to restaurants, etc ?
 
it seems to me that the vitamin D file must be treated on flu completely. Wikis got started

The major complication of COVID-19 is acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), which may be aggravated by vitamin D deficiency,[212] an association that is not specific to coronavirus infections.[212] A number of trials in different countries are being carried out in 2020 to address the potential for the use of vitamin D for the prevention and treatment of SARS-CoV-2 infections.[212][213]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vitamin_D

I am sure that epidemiologists must see things according to the cultural and therefore dietary habits of certain populations ...

it must be able to be produced cards much more subtle than this one
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vitamin_D#/media/File:Vitamin_D_serum_levels_in_adults_world_map.svg
 
"Furthermore, a small-scale, non-randomized trial demonstrated that the administration
of regular boluses of vitamin D3 before the infection was associated with better survival
and less severe disease among older, frail patients with COVID-19."

"the findings should be also confined to the dose and supplementation
strategy used in this trial."
 
mothly prevalence of the 2 new variants in UK and Germany
20A.EU1 has A222V in spike
SH1 (how I called it) has N439K in spike

Code: 
[FONT=Arial][SIZE=10px]UK , sars2uk6.mut
Jan, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0
Feb, 37, 0, 0, 0, 0
Mar,11430, 0, 0, 0, 0
Apr,20249, 0, 0, 0, 0
May, 7590, 0, 0, 0, 0
Jun, 7911, 2, 0, 00, 0
Jul, 3433, 18, 22, 01,01
Aug, 7731, 1112, 336, 14,04
Sep,17571, 6766, 639, 39,04
Oct,33324,18327,1065, 55,03
Nov,22109,13071, 525, 59,02
-----------------------------
all ,20A.EU1,SH1, %, %


Germany , sars2dea.mut
Jan, 2, 0, 0, 00,00
Feb, 5, 0, 0, 00,00
Mar, 145, 0, 0, 00,00
Apr, 102, 0, 0, 00,00
May, 18, 0, 0, 00,00
Jun, 56, 0, 0, 00,00
Jul, 40, 0, 0, 00,00
Aug, 56, 2, 3, 04,05
Sep, 69, 18, 1, 26,01
Oct, 127, 36, 14, 28,11
Nov, 64, 21, 14, 33,22
-----------------------------
all ,20A.EU1,SH1, %, %[/SIZE][/FONT]
 
Emily

So the right bolus of vita D should have been one of the C.D.C's recommendations since the start of the crisis. In their last recommendation, in particular, for the Christmas party, this is not the case.

The new president of the CDC will explain to us the why of this lack when?

How much did the failure to report this possible cost the United States?

I ask the question of the number, because you like to produce numbers in the United States ...

cat food contains enough or ?
 
gsgs
it's good to look for drugs, but if medicine was all that, it would be known ...

The role of the C.D.C is not first of all to indicate the normal and the means to achieve it?

When we know that the normal is not in place, we must empower who?

I had asked for Mr FAUCI's gaze, but, given his political function, I understand his silence.

There I want the position of the C.D.C on this subject and the means to propose for the normal to be implemented?
 
I found this recent review on ivermectin data, which looks interesting and appears to have some very positive data behind it, albeit a lot of it is pre full publication.. However, I suspect that as it is a generic and not licensed or produced in some countries e.g. the UK for any indication that this may get overlooked as it will be of little interest to the mainstream Pharma sector.

See https://covid19criticalcare.com/wp-c...IN-Summary.pdf

There needs to be some high quality trials undertaken very rapidly to take a proper look at this compound, but I am not able to determine if there are any of a suitable design, size or quality underway. What do we think? We do still need compounds that will fill the gap around vaccines (limitations in production capacity and roll outs), especially if (as per gsgs' post above) we get a rapid vaccine escape.
 
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in the Danish "SH1" strain with N439K there is a subvariant with a 6bp-deletion in the spike protein
position 21764-21769 into Wuhan-HU-1.
21 out of 33 SH1-sequence from Germany have the deletion (and 5 additional mutations of that variant)
1884 out of 2649 from UK have the deletion
The first is from Aug02
{typo, first word above = Monthly, not Mothly}
corrections/updates will be here : http://magictour.free.fr/20a.eu1
 
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2020/12/09, IHME death forecasts per 2021/04/01 :
USA=538893,GER=108119,FRA=93581,ITA=101176,UK=1186 74,
BRA=217147,IRN=94389
 
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