Pathfinder
Editor, Senior Moderator
Congo’s Ebola outbreak has spiralled out of control – this expert says a ‘nightmare scenario’ is coming
As the DRC confirm more than 1,000 have died in what has already been declared the fastest outbreak in history, emergency medicine practitioner Dr Simon Mardel tells Joe Shute how this growing crisis is like ‘watching a train crash in slow motion’ and why it’s so much worse than those he witnessed in the past
Wednesday 22 July 2026 16:18 BST
As the number of confirmed cases of Ebola in the Democratic Republic of Congo climbed past 1,000, there is few people looking at these horrific numbers with as much knowledge and seriousness as Simon Mardel. Over the past three decades, the 69-year-old NHS consultant in emergency medicine has been at the forefront of the world’s worst Ebola outbreaks.
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Of particular concern, he says, is the lack of understanding about the true scale of the current outbreak and how far and how fast it is spreading through undetected cases. “I think it’s safe to say it could be unprecedented,” he says. “The words an epidemiologist should never want to hear are ‘unrecognised chains of transmission’.”
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His biggest immediate fear is that the current outbreak will reach Nigeria, Africa’s most populous country, with 250 million citizens. The virus flared up there in the 2014 outbreak, and Dr Mardel was involved in its containment. He says that only an astonishing amount of good fortune prevented the disease from fully taking hold, and warns it will not be the same a second time around.
“The potential to amplify in hospitals is phenomenal,” he says. “You could get one in and potentially 20 or 30 or even 50 coming out.”
...
https://www.independent.co.uk/world/ebola-outbreak-democratic-republic-of-congo-b3019451.html
As the DRC confirm more than 1,000 have died in what has already been declared the fastest outbreak in history, emergency medicine practitioner Dr Simon Mardel tells Joe Shute how this growing crisis is like ‘watching a train crash in slow motion’ and why it’s so much worse than those he witnessed in the past
Wednesday 22 July 2026 16:18 BST
As the number of confirmed cases of Ebola in the Democratic Republic of Congo climbed past 1,000, there is few people looking at these horrific numbers with as much knowledge and seriousness as Simon Mardel. Over the past three decades, the 69-year-old NHS consultant in emergency medicine has been at the forefront of the world’s worst Ebola outbreaks.
...
Of particular concern, he says, is the lack of understanding about the true scale of the current outbreak and how far and how fast it is spreading through undetected cases. “I think it’s safe to say it could be unprecedented,” he says. “The words an epidemiologist should never want to hear are ‘unrecognised chains of transmission’.”
...
His biggest immediate fear is that the current outbreak will reach Nigeria, Africa’s most populous country, with 250 million citizens. The virus flared up there in the 2014 outbreak, and Dr Mardel was involved in its containment. He says that only an astonishing amount of good fortune prevented the disease from fully taking hold, and warns it will not be the same a second time around.
“The potential to amplify in hospitals is phenomenal,” he says. “You could get one in and potentially 20 or 30 or even 50 coming out.”
...
https://www.independent.co.uk/world/ebola-outbreak-democratic-republic-of-congo-b3019451.html