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This week, ensemble forecasts of new reported COVID-19 cases over the next 4 weeks included forecasts from 31 modeling groups, each of which contributed a forecast for at least one jurisdiction.
This week’s national ensemble predicts that the number of newly reported COVID-19 cases will likely decrease over the next 4 weeks, with 206,000 to 699,000 new cases likely reported in the week ending March 13, 2021.
The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that over the next four weeks, the number of new reported cases per week will likely decrease in 41 jurisdictions, which are indicated in the forecast plots below. Trends in numbers of future reported cases are uncertain or predicted to remain stable in the other states and territories.
