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Coronavirus market reactions

gsgs

gsgs

Registered User
2020/01/28/05:00 UTC
China50=13011 (13800 on Friday = -5.7%)
Dow Jones=28600 (29200 on Friday = -2.1%)
$/Yuan=6.9728 (6.93 on Friday =+0.1%)
US-VIX=17.09 (12.72 on Friday = +34.3%)
Novavx=7.8 (7.0 on Friday = +11.4%)
-----3.5 on Jan.15
Moderna=22.8 (21.2 on Friday = +7.5%)
Inovio=5.4 (4.2 on Friday = +28.6%)
-----2.6 on Dec.17 with a jump to 3.3 on Dec.22 , 3.4 on Jan 22

-----------update 2020/01/18/05:20 UTC---------------------
China50=13175
VIX=16.5
$/yuan=6.961
Dow Jones=28782
Novavax=6.65
Inovio=4.00
Moderna=20.6
oil=54.14 (55.5 on Fri, 53.0 on Mon)
the maket seems to less concerned about the pandemic risk today
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Chinese stocks
USA-stocks
Chinese currency
US-volatility ~ level of uncertainety
 
Last edited:
The US stock market declined on each of the days that the initial cases in the US were reported. It was rebounding until today when news reports about the outbreak were worldwide headlines. The US futures suggest that the US market will rebound again tomorrow, but will not recapture today's losses. When there is confirmed human-to-human transmission in the US, I hesitate to speculate how much the US and other world markets will decline.
 
Laidback Al said:
The US stock market declined on each of the days that the initial cases in the US were reported. It was rebounding until today when news reports about the outbreak were worldwide headlines. The US futures suggest that the US market will rebound again tomorrow, but will not recapture today's losses. When there is confirmed human-to-human transmission in the US, I hesitate to speculate how much the US and other world markets will decline.
Click to expand...

must have been coincidence with the US-cases, that's not so important, IMO.
Maybe it were the reports about the threatening global outbreak that came out yesterday (=Monday)
actual futures are close to yesterday's final level
 
The risk to China could be underestimated right now in market pricing, and the risk to the US could be overestimated.
 
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