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Computer Model Predicts 2 Dozen Ebola Cases in U.S. This Month

nola_mnr

Well-known member
http://www.insurancejournal.com/news/national/2014/10/16/343800.htm

There could be as many as two dozen people in the U.S. infected with Ebola by the end of the month, according to researchers tracking the virus with a computer model.
[...]
The two newly infected nurses in Dallas don?t change the numbers because they were identified quickly and it?s unlikely they infected other people, he said.
[...]
The model analyzes disease activity, flight patterns and other factors that can contribute to its spread.
[...]
?The damage is not as much in the number of deaths as much as in the panic it creates and all the disruption it creates in trade and travel,? he said. ?It?s important for public health officials to strike a balance between being serious and certainly not creating panic.?
[...]
Average Americans shouldn?t see any risk from the virus outside of the medical community because patients aren?t terribly infectious until the disease peaks, Perencevich said. In industrialized areas like the U.S., those people will be in the hospital, he said. Health care workers, though, are uniquely vulnerable.
[...]
?At the moment Ebola is spreading exponentially,? Eckstrand said. ?There?s no convincing evidence that it?s beginning to slow down. It can get out of hand very fast.?
 
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