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Computational quantitative projections for H1N1 flu dynamics in the United States

P

pablomorgan

Well-known member
Projection as of May 9
The following maps show the projected number of cases in the United States at the county level. The range of numbers represent the most likely outcome according to our model, a confidence interval of 90% (see below for explanation). This is a worst case scenario, in which no containment measures are taken to mitigate the spread. We used the confirmed cases as of May 6th for calibration and project from there on.

Because we adjust our simulations every 24?48 hours, our projections are subject to changes. At the moment our model projects a probable range of 6600?7900 by May 17, 2009 in United States.
Projection for May 17
follow link for map.
http://rocs.northwestern.edu/projects/swine_flu/
 
Re: Computational quantitative projections for H1N1 flu dynamics in the United States

can we summarize, when the peak is predicted for USA,Europe,China,India ?
 
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