Comput Methods Biomech Biomed Engin . Estimation of the doubling time and reproduction number for COVID-19

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Comput Methods Biomech Biomed Engin


. 2021 Sep 17;1-7.
doi: 10.1080/10255842.2021.1972292. Online ahead of print.
Estimation of the doubling time and reproduction number for COVID-19


Shamim Ahmed[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Mohammad Shemanto[SUP] 2 [/SUP], Hasin Azhari[SUP] 3 [/SUP], Golam Zakaria[SUP] 4 [/SUP]



Affiliations

• PMID: 34533071
• DOI: 10.1080/10255842.2021.1972292

Abstract

In this paper, we have calculated the basic reproduction number (R[SUB]0[/SUB]) and doubling time (T[SUB]d[/SUB]) for the novel Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The calculation is performed for March 2020 from the data provided by worldometer. We have investigated the data for Germany and Bangladesh. The calculation of R[SUB]0[/SUB] is performed based on SIR model. The parameter T[SUB]d[/SUB] is estimated based on the new cases of each day. Since T[SUB]d[/SUB] and R[SUB]0[/SUB] in use to judge the lockdowns and other measures to prevent spreading of the virus, we have provided simple approximation of both parameters.

Keywords: COVID-19; SIR model; doubling time; reproduction number.