• FluTrackers.com Inc. does not provide medical advice. Information on this web site is collected from various internet resources, and the FluTrackers board of directors makes no warranty to the safety, efficacy, correctness or completeness of the information posted on this site by any author or poster. The information collated here is for instructional and/or discussion purposes only and is NOT intended to diagnose or treat any disease, illness, or other medical condition. Every individual reader or poster should seek advice from their personal physician/healthcare practitioner before considering or using any interventions that are discussed on this website. By continuing to access this website you agree to consult your personal physican before using any interventions posted on this website, and you agree to hold harmless FluTrackers.com Inc., the board of directors, the members, and all authors and posters for any effects from use of any medication, supplement, vitamin or other substance, device, intervention, etc. mentioned in posts on this website, or other internet venues referenced in posts on this website.
  • We are not asking for any donations. Do not donate to any entity who says they are raising funds for us.

CIDRAP NEWS SCAN: Two Saudi MERS cases; Severe flu cases in California; Malaria risks in Africa

Shiloh

Editor, Senior Moderator
Source: http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2014/02/news-scan-feb-20-2014


News Scan for Feb 20, 2014
Two Saudi MERS cases; Severe flu cases in California; Malaria risks in Africa
Filed Under:
MERS-CoV; Influenza, General; Malaria


Saudi Arabia reports 2 MERS cases, 1 fatal

Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Health (MOH) today reported two new cases of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) infection, one of which was fatal.

The first patient is a 58-year-old male citizen of Al-Ahsa, who has "various chronic diseases." He is receiving medical treatment, but the MOH didn't provide any details on his condition or whether he had contact with any animals or infected people.

The second case is in an 81-year-old woman from Riyadh, who also had underlying chronic diseases. She died, but the MOH did not list a date of death or any other specifics.

The cases appear to bring the global MERS-CoV count to 186 cases and 81 deaths.
Feb 20 Saudi MOH statement


California reports 405 severe flu cases so far this season

Influenza in California has caused almost 100 deaths and more than 300 visits to an intensive care unit (ICU), and it appears to be hitting the middle-aged and those with underlying medical conditions especially hard, according to a report today in Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR).

Researchers from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the California Department of Public Health analyzed data on 94 deaths and 311 ICU flu cases from Sep 29, 2013, through Jan 18, which they classified as 405 cases of severe flu.

They noted that 266 (66%; 72 deaths) of them occurred in patients aged 41 to 64 years, compared with only 39 (10%; 3 deaths) in children. Those in the 41- to 64-year-old age-group had six times the risk for death and almost four times the risk for ICU admission compared with those aged 40 and younger.

The investigators also found that, of 80 patients who died and had sufficient information, 74 (93%) had underlying medical conditions known to increase the risk for severe flu. They also reported that, among fatal cases with enough information, only 6 (21%) of 28 patients had received the seasonal flu vaccine.

The report also found that about 54% of hospitalized patients who died did not receive antiviral drugs when admitted to the hospital.
Feb 21 MMWR report


Study: 57% of Africans still at moderate to high risk of malaria

In spite of substantial reduction of malaria transmission in most malaria-endemic African countries from 2000 to 2010, 57% of the continent's population still remains at moderate to high risk of contracting the disease, according to a study today in The Lancet.

Scientists from Kenya, the United Kingdom, and the World Health Organization compiled data from 26,746 community-based surveys in 44 malaria-endemic African nations and used geostatistics to estimate malaria infection rates.

From 2000 to 2010, the team estimated that the number of people living in high-transmission areas fell 16%, from 218.6 million to 183.5 million, but the number of people living in areas with moderate to high risks of contracting malaria rose 57%, from 178.6 million to 280.1 million.

The researchers also found that 40 of the 44 countries saw reductions in the prevalence of malaria in children during the decade.

"These results emphasize the need for continued support for malaria control. . . . If investments in malaria are not sustained, hundreds of millions of Africans run the risk of rebound transmission, with catastrophic consequences," said lead author Robert W. Snow, FMedSci, of the Kenya Medical Research Institute in Nairobi and the University of Oxford, in a Lancet press release.
Feb 20 Lancet abstract
Feb 19 Lancet press release
 
Re: CIDRAP NEWS SCAN: Two Saudi MERS cases; Severe flu cases in California; Malaria risks in Africa

I calculate ~570 respiratory excess deaths in CA, Oct+Nov 2009

population=38M, USA=314M --> ~3000 flu-deaths per season in CA
(most in the elderly, ~35% of these respiratory)

Code:
USA winter excess deaths 2007f by ICD10-group:4059,1115,7551,939,7752,11741,15232,13,64501,38536,4401,283,873,4769,51,6,416,3165,-3077,-640,1282,259
USA winter excess deaths 2008f by ICD10-group:3680,774,5634,486,6293,7674,10245,14,47442,22346,2989,253,665,3780,-400,-3,414,3386,-2644,-1077,-222,106
additional winter deaths in the severe flu season 2007f as compared to the mild flu season 2008f:
50518=379+341+1917+453+1459+4067+4987-1+17059+16190+1412+30+208+989+451+9+2-221-433-437+1504+153

(probably)flu-related excess deaths in USA in 2007f
33.8% due to cardiovascular
32.0% due to respiratory
09.9% nerves
08.1% mental
16.2% rest

excess US deaths in Oct. and Nov. 2009 as compared to 2008 and 2010 by ICD10-group:
171,19,419,-119,243,-663,-582,-3,-815,3356,-40,-25,77,95,41,-29,-76,-175,-517,-209,-210,-2
so mortality from most deseases benefited from pH1 (as compared to normal H1,H3,B)
excess deaths were 75.9% due to respiratory causes,9.5% due to cancer

it will be interesting to compare cardiovascular deaths from 2013f, these will become available in ~3 years ....
 
Back
Top Bottom