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Zhong Nanshan's latest research and judgment: there may be a second wave of epidemic peaks in June, with a peak of about 65 million per week
May 22, 2023 14:11:11
The trend of the new crown epidemic has recently attracted widespread attention. Zhong Nanshan, an academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, predicted that the peak of the second wave of the new crown epidemic may arrive at the end of June.
Zhong Nanshan: There may be a peak of XBB mutant strain infection in June
According to Jiemian News, on May 22, 2023, Zhong Nanshan released the forecast of the second wave of the new crown epidemic in 2023 at the Biomedicine and Health sub-forum of the Greater Bay Area Science Forum. He said that the second wave of the epidemic is mainly caused by the spread of the Omicron XBB series strains, which will peak in mid-April, and there will be a small peak of new coronavirus infections at the end of April and early May, and the second wave will occur by the end of June The peak of the epidemic.
According to Nanfang Daily's official Weibo, combined with big data models, Zhong Nanshan's team made a trend forecast for the second wave of the new crown epidemic (XBB mutant strain) in 2023 across the country. According to Zhong Nanshan, according to the prediction model, the second wave of epidemics peaked in mid-April, peaked at about 40 million per week at the end of May, and reached about 65 million per week at the end of June. However, he also reminded that this is a calculated prediction based on a model and "may not be accurate."
"Have we formed herd immunity to the new coronavirus? I think the answer is 'yes' and 'no'." Zhong Nanshan said, the answer of "yes" is because many studies have shown that after infection with the new coronavirus, neutralizing antibodies in the human body There was a decrease after 4 months, especially for the poor protection of XBB mutant strains. However, there are still binding antibodies in the human body, which can activate cellular immunity and still have a protective effect within 6-7 months of infection.
Zhong Nanshan said that the answer of "no" is because in one or two months, people who were infected with the new crown virus in December last year will have reduced antibodies and immunity in their bodies. "The virus mutates too quickly, so it can't be done once and for all, and there is a possibility of reinfection."
Vaccine covering XBB coming soon
According to Nanfang Daily, on the morning of May 22, at the biomedicine and health sub-forum of the 2023 Greater Bay Area Science Forum, Zhong Nanshan, a medalist of the Republic and academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, said that two vaccines that can cover XBB mutant strains have been initially approved. Approved, available soon.
Zhong Nanshan said that judging from various materials, there was a small peak of new coronavirus infection in late April and early May, "this is what we expected."
Zhong Nanshan said that it is very important to develop a vaccine with better protection against XBB variants. He revealed that currently two vaccines against XBB have been preliminarily approved, and three or four more will be approved soon. "In researching more effective vaccines, we can go ahead of the world."
source: zhttps://news.ifeng.com/c/8PzhflWdqZE
May 22, 2023 14:11:11
The trend of the new crown epidemic has recently attracted widespread attention. Zhong Nanshan, an academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, predicted that the peak of the second wave of the new crown epidemic may arrive at the end of June.
Zhong Nanshan: There may be a peak of XBB mutant strain infection in June
According to Jiemian News, on May 22, 2023, Zhong Nanshan released the forecast of the second wave of the new crown epidemic in 2023 at the Biomedicine and Health sub-forum of the Greater Bay Area Science Forum. He said that the second wave of the epidemic is mainly caused by the spread of the Omicron XBB series strains, which will peak in mid-April, and there will be a small peak of new coronavirus infections at the end of April and early May, and the second wave will occur by the end of June The peak of the epidemic.
According to Nanfang Daily's official Weibo, combined with big data models, Zhong Nanshan's team made a trend forecast for the second wave of the new crown epidemic (XBB mutant strain) in 2023 across the country. According to Zhong Nanshan, according to the prediction model, the second wave of epidemics peaked in mid-April, peaked at about 40 million per week at the end of May, and reached about 65 million per week at the end of June. However, he also reminded that this is a calculated prediction based on a model and "may not be accurate."
"Have we formed herd immunity to the new coronavirus? I think the answer is 'yes' and 'no'." Zhong Nanshan said, the answer of "yes" is because many studies have shown that after infection with the new coronavirus, neutralizing antibodies in the human body There was a decrease after 4 months, especially for the poor protection of XBB mutant strains. However, there are still binding antibodies in the human body, which can activate cellular immunity and still have a protective effect within 6-7 months of infection.
Zhong Nanshan said that the answer of "no" is because in one or two months, people who were infected with the new crown virus in December last year will have reduced antibodies and immunity in their bodies. "The virus mutates too quickly, so it can't be done once and for all, and there is a possibility of reinfection."
Vaccine covering XBB coming soon
According to Nanfang Daily, on the morning of May 22, at the biomedicine and health sub-forum of the 2023 Greater Bay Area Science Forum, Zhong Nanshan, a medalist of the Republic and academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, said that two vaccines that can cover XBB mutant strains have been initially approved. Approved, available soon.
Zhong Nanshan said that judging from various materials, there was a small peak of new coronavirus infection in late April and early May, "this is what we expected."
Zhong Nanshan said that it is very important to develop a vaccine with better protection against XBB variants. He revealed that currently two vaccines against XBB have been preliminarily approved, and three or four more will be approved soon. "In researching more effective vaccines, we can go ahead of the world."
source: zhttps://news.ifeng.com/c/8PzhflWdqZE