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Under difficult bird flu poultry industry supply and demand imbalance pig industry can hardly be optimistic
Ocean News Time: 2014-02-26 Source: Information Times Author: Lixing Hui Huang Fangfang Bing as
□ Information Times reporter Lixing Hui Huang Fangfang Bing as
From the beginning of March last year, the avian flu crisis continues to this day there is no break, following the poultry industry may be experiencing the largest industry after the 1997 crisis. The pig industry because of supply and demand imbalance, Chu Huojia has broken the cost line, the industry has predicted this year will be the year of the pig industry burned.
Visible in 2014 for aquaculture, animal feed industry is full test of the year.
Status quo
Or poultry industry is facing the biggest crisis in 17 years
Canton Road Agriculture Farming Technology Co., Ltd., chairman of the European Xianhua, told reporters that the avian flu crisis occurred in 1997 for the first time of crisis, many people do not dare to eat the chicken drop in price to 1 yuan to 3 yuan, but more than two May storm passed, the industry recovery and profitability. And after 17 years, because the duration is too long, the eyes this time will be the largest storm. South China's largest farming enterprises Wen's Group President Wenzhi Fen said that if the avian flu last three months, the loss of the Group this year will reach 1.5 billion to 20 billion.
One pig, chicken One founder Chan told reporters that the current chicken sales last year, selling an average of 30,000 a month, now only 10,000. Chan believes that now the entire poultry industry fell by 70%, once the market recovery, slow to rise to a large chicken or twenty or thirty dollars a pound.
It is understood that since last year, Wen's other large farming enterprises, will be transported to three or four lines of chickens towns, rural marketing, quality big chicken slow the normal 120 days to sell 30 yuan / only in rural loss sale 15 yuan / only . While each chicken slaughtered chicken business into cold storage, cold storage have been present all filled. Guangzhou slow recently shipped a large chicken gone up one yuan, is now more than 5 yuan / kg. H7N9 occurred in the past, slow big chicken is 8 yuan to 10 yuan / kg Huojia. Europe Xianhua said 0.3 yuan a day to eat a chicken feed, eat one million chickens a day 3000 yuan, 10 days 30,000 yuan. General support families, companies simply unable to go.
Pork continues to decline
Chicken price bleak, while pork is not optimistic. Currently pork price fell again, pig farming losses of 140 yuan / head around, the reporter visited the market learned that the current farm Huojia Guangzhou 5.9 yuan to 6.2 yuan / kg, while the cost of ordinary households to raise more than $ 7 And Wen's kind of big business will have cost 6.5 yuan / kg.
Market
Suspension of trading of live chickens
From February 15, the Guangzhou live bird markets closed for two consecutive weeks, only the supermarket frozen chicken sold.
However, the reporter found that during the visit, the supermarket has not selling chilled, supermarket sales staff, told reporters in recent days, although the markets stopped trading of live chickens, but chilled the supermarket does not rise, "Nothing changes, still as usual."
There are markets for pork stall owner told reporters, because the same market where live poultry stalls closed down, its pork stalls business increased slightly, the boss said: "We do not dare to eat a chicken, cooked also afraid of. "
Chickens ducks and geese in the restaurant industry to reduce consumption of 3 to 4 percent
Old West relations person in charge 伍文辉 Food City, told reporters that this month comparison in December last year, reducing the consumption of chicken ducks and geese 3 to 4 percent, the restaurant received a package tour, the group meals chickens ducks and geese in Hong Kong is completely canceled. He said that the current large-scale integrated urban area restaurants hardly own slaughter are good light directly into the slaughter chickens. Huadu, Conghua suburb and many of them are their own breeding farm slaughter plus, because there is no express provision can not be slaughtered restaurant, it is a vacuum zone management. Ping Sheng Group, responsible person, told reporters that the recent sales of chicken dishes appalling, is the previous one or two percent.
Engaged in the supply of broilers in Guangzhou Mr. Wu told reporters after the bird flu, chicken Guangzhou market are mainly in chilled, Mr. Wu Guangzhou broiler sales also fell by nearly 2/3. It is understood that Mr. Wu's company mainly catering for the city's restaurants and hotels, many restaurants recently canceled the chicken stock, which supplies food broiler fell 20% to 30%, broiler prices are down 20%.
People still love to eat chicken calm
From February 15 to start the live bird markets in Guangzhou closed for two consecutive weeks, some people eat fresh chicken can be described as style all their own.
Home in Zhanjiang, living in Guangzhou Ah Yung, when the Spring Festival return, the mother of the family raised chickens are killed so that they freeze back to Guangzhou, to A Banyan pregnant wife just up the body, and now there are four home Ah Yung Guangzhou frozen chickens. He told reporters that he and his wife's attitude towards relatively indifferent bird flu, "sometimes like to point eating chicken eating chicken sold was told no."
Idi Amin, who lives in Guangzhou Panyu Shawan kitchen in your own home raised chickens, she told reporters, never worry about bird flu. But Ms. Zhang, who lives in Guangzhou Tianhe Dongpu are not so lucky, she told reporters that he had raised two balconies at home Mujixiadan, but bird flu came after complaints were neighbors, and finally had to kill the chicken they eat.
While claiming to eat goods in Guangzhou Mr. Bai Lingceng told reporters that he likes weekend car to Huadu, Conghua, Qingyuan play along the way to buy a couple of chickens at a local farm, looking good and then back to Guangzhou slaughter for poultry Flu and closed, he said care will not affect his life.
Consumers also said that during the bird flu to avoid eating chicken, chicken would really want to buy a cooked chicken such as buying salty baked chicken, afraid to eat poached. Reporters interviewed around a dozen consumers, 90% of people said, "cooked like, nothing to fear." In addition there are a small number of consumers said, "Be careful or good", "cooked feel a little scared."
Voices of the industry
Worry central slaughtering would make
Poached process loss
Guangzhou Municipal Bureau of Agriculture Secretary Tang Jinhua recently has said that the government is considering promoting the city center ban live poultry trade and achieve unity of live poultry slaughtering.
In this regard, the European Xianhua said this is the future trend of centralized slaughtering facilitate government, but across the board will have a greater impact on the practitioners of live chickens.
Wu Wenhui that even in Hong Kong, there is no total ban, local breeding chickens in the market can be sold in Hong Kong, is currently a ban on mainland chickens. If centralized slaughtering, after all eat "cooling chicken", then Cantonese poached process to drain, and now the restaurant is usually around 7:00 slaughter supplier is good, more than 9 points to the restaurant, the kitchen immediately immersed poached without cooling process, maintain freshness, if centralized slaughter, slaughter from 12:00 to start last in cold storage, cooling the chicken is 5 degrees -0 degrees, certainly not the flavor of fresh chicken, skin color and so on.
Trend
After the poultry industry began to pick up in May or
Europe Xianhua said this wave of market forecasts to the May weather slowly returned to normal after the cost of the line, but the price will not be skyrocketing because there is too much inventory backlog freezer consumes, and many rural residents in the surrounding areas to consume Reserves will be out to buy their own chickens. Followed by 7-8 months, the hot weather has also ushered in the traditional off-season. Real profit, before going to Mid-Autumn Festival.
Liu Qingqing www broiler analyst claimed that since the 23rd, with the avian influenza weakened, reducing the market supply of chickens, domestic chicken products to pick up, local prices was evident. Slaughtering enterprises operating rate has risen to more than 85%, the acquisition has increased the enthusiasm. Currently the big meat prices in Shandong Province at around 4.00 yuan / kg, southern blue feet Chicken prices also rose to 4.80 yuan to 5.20 yuan / kg, whole broiler market or will usher in a new turning point.
Pork market will continue to slump
It is understood that because of the support of influential brand, One pig growth of 30% last year, two months have 30% to 40% increase. For the industry as a whole case, Mr Chan is very optimistic forecast. He believes that the pig industry has never appeared on the history of the case before the Spring Festival fall over, usually prices before the Spring Festival, the bird flu crisis, we do not eat poultry, should have turned to other meats, but still did not rise up pork This is because of lack of industry spending, causing overcapacity.
He analyzed, in 2011, the pig industry earned pours, to 2012, in 2013 the deficit in the second half to earn the first half, tied, raising families have not eliminated sow the same time, Wen's , Eagles, Roland massive expansion of other large companies, some one hundred thousand one hundred year expansion, resulting in the entire supply imbalance, so this year he predicted a decline in the pork market.
Www pig analyst Ji Guang Xin said that after the Spring Festival, the traditional consumption season itself, pig farmers appear reluctant to sell pork price decline slowed. Ji Guang Yan pointed out that bird flu has little effect on pig farming, but slightly affect the demand for pigs, mainly food security, the outbreak of avian flu, not only for the residents to reduce the consumption of poultry, for safety reasons, for other meats consumption is correspondingly reduced.
There are new entrants gambling market rebound
Guangzhou Huadu District, a feed business stakeholders told reporters that there is a pig of clients to one yuan more than one price, the acquisition of 3,000 chickens (each weighing more than a pound), according to the normal price of a pound The chicken should be selling more than 8 yuan to 9 yuan. It is precisely because many families do not raise the money to buy feed, chicken or let starve to death, or to sell one yuan considered one yuan. The farmers took the opportunity to pick up a cheap buy, in order to bet a few months after the market improves, prices will go up.
zhttp://informationtimes.dayoo.com/html/2014-02/26/content_2549902.htm
Under difficult bird flu poultry industry supply and demand imbalance pig industry can hardly be optimistic
Ocean News Time: 2014-02-26 Source: Information Times Author: Lixing Hui Huang Fangfang Bing as
□ Information Times reporter Lixing Hui Huang Fangfang Bing as
From the beginning of March last year, the avian flu crisis continues to this day there is no break, following the poultry industry may be experiencing the largest industry after the 1997 crisis. The pig industry because of supply and demand imbalance, Chu Huojia has broken the cost line, the industry has predicted this year will be the year of the pig industry burned.
Visible in 2014 for aquaculture, animal feed industry is full test of the year.
Status quo
Or poultry industry is facing the biggest crisis in 17 years
Canton Road Agriculture Farming Technology Co., Ltd., chairman of the European Xianhua, told reporters that the avian flu crisis occurred in 1997 for the first time of crisis, many people do not dare to eat the chicken drop in price to 1 yuan to 3 yuan, but more than two May storm passed, the industry recovery and profitability. And after 17 years, because the duration is too long, the eyes this time will be the largest storm. South China's largest farming enterprises Wen's Group President Wenzhi Fen said that if the avian flu last three months, the loss of the Group this year will reach 1.5 billion to 20 billion.
One pig, chicken One founder Chan told reporters that the current chicken sales last year, selling an average of 30,000 a month, now only 10,000. Chan believes that now the entire poultry industry fell by 70%, once the market recovery, slow to rise to a large chicken or twenty or thirty dollars a pound.
It is understood that since last year, Wen's other large farming enterprises, will be transported to three or four lines of chickens towns, rural marketing, quality big chicken slow the normal 120 days to sell 30 yuan / only in rural loss sale 15 yuan / only . While each chicken slaughtered chicken business into cold storage, cold storage have been present all filled. Guangzhou slow recently shipped a large chicken gone up one yuan, is now more than 5 yuan / kg. H7N9 occurred in the past, slow big chicken is 8 yuan to 10 yuan / kg Huojia. Europe Xianhua said 0.3 yuan a day to eat a chicken feed, eat one million chickens a day 3000 yuan, 10 days 30,000 yuan. General support families, companies simply unable to go.
Pork continues to decline
Chicken price bleak, while pork is not optimistic. Currently pork price fell again, pig farming losses of 140 yuan / head around, the reporter visited the market learned that the current farm Huojia Guangzhou 5.9 yuan to 6.2 yuan / kg, while the cost of ordinary households to raise more than $ 7 And Wen's kind of big business will have cost 6.5 yuan / kg.
Market
Suspension of trading of live chickens
From February 15, the Guangzhou live bird markets closed for two consecutive weeks, only the supermarket frozen chicken sold.
However, the reporter found that during the visit, the supermarket has not selling chilled, supermarket sales staff, told reporters in recent days, although the markets stopped trading of live chickens, but chilled the supermarket does not rise, "Nothing changes, still as usual."
There are markets for pork stall owner told reporters, because the same market where live poultry stalls closed down, its pork stalls business increased slightly, the boss said: "We do not dare to eat a chicken, cooked also afraid of. "
Chickens ducks and geese in the restaurant industry to reduce consumption of 3 to 4 percent
Old West relations person in charge 伍文辉 Food City, told reporters that this month comparison in December last year, reducing the consumption of chicken ducks and geese 3 to 4 percent, the restaurant received a package tour, the group meals chickens ducks and geese in Hong Kong is completely canceled. He said that the current large-scale integrated urban area restaurants hardly own slaughter are good light directly into the slaughter chickens. Huadu, Conghua suburb and many of them are their own breeding farm slaughter plus, because there is no express provision can not be slaughtered restaurant, it is a vacuum zone management. Ping Sheng Group, responsible person, told reporters that the recent sales of chicken dishes appalling, is the previous one or two percent.
Engaged in the supply of broilers in Guangzhou Mr. Wu told reporters after the bird flu, chicken Guangzhou market are mainly in chilled, Mr. Wu Guangzhou broiler sales also fell by nearly 2/3. It is understood that Mr. Wu's company mainly catering for the city's restaurants and hotels, many restaurants recently canceled the chicken stock, which supplies food broiler fell 20% to 30%, broiler prices are down 20%.
People still love to eat chicken calm
From February 15 to start the live bird markets in Guangzhou closed for two consecutive weeks, some people eat fresh chicken can be described as style all their own.
Home in Zhanjiang, living in Guangzhou Ah Yung, when the Spring Festival return, the mother of the family raised chickens are killed so that they freeze back to Guangzhou, to A Banyan pregnant wife just up the body, and now there are four home Ah Yung Guangzhou frozen chickens. He told reporters that he and his wife's attitude towards relatively indifferent bird flu, "sometimes like to point eating chicken eating chicken sold was told no."
Idi Amin, who lives in Guangzhou Panyu Shawan kitchen in your own home raised chickens, she told reporters, never worry about bird flu. But Ms. Zhang, who lives in Guangzhou Tianhe Dongpu are not so lucky, she told reporters that he had raised two balconies at home Mujixiadan, but bird flu came after complaints were neighbors, and finally had to kill the chicken they eat.
While claiming to eat goods in Guangzhou Mr. Bai Lingceng told reporters that he likes weekend car to Huadu, Conghua, Qingyuan play along the way to buy a couple of chickens at a local farm, looking good and then back to Guangzhou slaughter for poultry Flu and closed, he said care will not affect his life.
Consumers also said that during the bird flu to avoid eating chicken, chicken would really want to buy a cooked chicken such as buying salty baked chicken, afraid to eat poached. Reporters interviewed around a dozen consumers, 90% of people said, "cooked like, nothing to fear." In addition there are a small number of consumers said, "Be careful or good", "cooked feel a little scared."
Voices of the industry
Worry central slaughtering would make
Poached process loss
Guangzhou Municipal Bureau of Agriculture Secretary Tang Jinhua recently has said that the government is considering promoting the city center ban live poultry trade and achieve unity of live poultry slaughtering.
In this regard, the European Xianhua said this is the future trend of centralized slaughtering facilitate government, but across the board will have a greater impact on the practitioners of live chickens.
Wu Wenhui that even in Hong Kong, there is no total ban, local breeding chickens in the market can be sold in Hong Kong, is currently a ban on mainland chickens. If centralized slaughtering, after all eat "cooling chicken", then Cantonese poached process to drain, and now the restaurant is usually around 7:00 slaughter supplier is good, more than 9 points to the restaurant, the kitchen immediately immersed poached without cooling process, maintain freshness, if centralized slaughter, slaughter from 12:00 to start last in cold storage, cooling the chicken is 5 degrees -0 degrees, certainly not the flavor of fresh chicken, skin color and so on.
Trend
After the poultry industry began to pick up in May or
Europe Xianhua said this wave of market forecasts to the May weather slowly returned to normal after the cost of the line, but the price will not be skyrocketing because there is too much inventory backlog freezer consumes, and many rural residents in the surrounding areas to consume Reserves will be out to buy their own chickens. Followed by 7-8 months, the hot weather has also ushered in the traditional off-season. Real profit, before going to Mid-Autumn Festival.
Liu Qingqing www broiler analyst claimed that since the 23rd, with the avian influenza weakened, reducing the market supply of chickens, domestic chicken products to pick up, local prices was evident. Slaughtering enterprises operating rate has risen to more than 85%, the acquisition has increased the enthusiasm. Currently the big meat prices in Shandong Province at around 4.00 yuan / kg, southern blue feet Chicken prices also rose to 4.80 yuan to 5.20 yuan / kg, whole broiler market or will usher in a new turning point.
Pork market will continue to slump
It is understood that because of the support of influential brand, One pig growth of 30% last year, two months have 30% to 40% increase. For the industry as a whole case, Mr Chan is very optimistic forecast. He believes that the pig industry has never appeared on the history of the case before the Spring Festival fall over, usually prices before the Spring Festival, the bird flu crisis, we do not eat poultry, should have turned to other meats, but still did not rise up pork This is because of lack of industry spending, causing overcapacity.
He analyzed, in 2011, the pig industry earned pours, to 2012, in 2013 the deficit in the second half to earn the first half, tied, raising families have not eliminated sow the same time, Wen's , Eagles, Roland massive expansion of other large companies, some one hundred thousand one hundred year expansion, resulting in the entire supply imbalance, so this year he predicted a decline in the pork market.
Www pig analyst Ji Guang Xin said that after the Spring Festival, the traditional consumption season itself, pig farmers appear reluctant to sell pork price decline slowed. Ji Guang Yan pointed out that bird flu has little effect on pig farming, but slightly affect the demand for pigs, mainly food security, the outbreak of avian flu, not only for the residents to reduce the consumption of poultry, for safety reasons, for other meats consumption is correspondingly reduced.
There are new entrants gambling market rebound
Guangzhou Huadu District, a feed business stakeholders told reporters that there is a pig of clients to one yuan more than one price, the acquisition of 3,000 chickens (each weighing more than a pound), according to the normal price of a pound The chicken should be selling more than 8 yuan to 9 yuan. It is precisely because many families do not raise the money to buy feed, chicken or let starve to death, or to sell one yuan considered one yuan. The farmers took the opportunity to pick up a cheap buy, in order to bet a few months after the market improves, prices will go up.
zhttp://informationtimes.dayoo.com/html/2014-02/26/content_2549902.htm