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Chikungunya: It's Mutated

DB

Valued Member
http://www.newscientist.com/article.ns?id=mg19025484.000&print=true
Virus turns killer as insect host fans out

A LITTLE-KNOWN mosquito-borne virus is spreading pain and death across the Indian Ocean, and could be headed for Europe and the Americas.
Chikungunya virus is normally little cause for concern, as it has not been fatal and large outbreaks are rare. That looks to be changing, as the virus has recently swept across the Indian Ocean, striking a third of the population of the French island of R?union in the past three months, and killing for the first time. Meanwhile the mosquitoes that carry it are invading Europe and the Americas, and there are signs that the virus could already have reached these fresh territories.
Chikungunya causes fever, headache, nausea and a rash, but its calling card is excruciating pain in the smaller joints - hence its old name, "knuckle fever". It usually lasts a few days, but in some cases pain and stiffness can last months or even years.
In January 2005, travellers from east Africa, where the disease is endemic, brought the virus to the Comoros islands off the north-west coast of Madagascar. It has since spread to other previously uninfected islands including Mauritius, the Seychelles and R?union. According to France's health surveillance agency, as many as 230,000 people may have had the virus in R?union so far this year, and there have been thousands of cases on the other islands. Worse, 174 deaths on R?union have been attributed to chikungunya.
Both the size and severity of the outbreak could be because the virus is new to the islands and few people are immune, says Herv? Zeller, an expert on insect-borne viruses at the Pasteur Institute in Lyon, France. It is also possible that the virus has mutated. "The chikungunya sequence from R?union in 2006 indicates that the virus there is different from other viruses characterised until now," says R?mi Carrel of the University of the Mediterranean in Marseille, France.
All this could be bad news for the rest of the world, because the tiger mosquito (Aedes albopictus) that carries chikungunya is also invading new territory. It is native to south-east Asia, but in the past 20 years it has invaded the southern US, Central and South America, and parts of Europe including Albania, Spain, Italy, France and Belgium. Andrew Tatem and his colleagues at the University of Oxford blame increased global trade for the spread of the mosquitoes, with the most popular air and shipping routes from infested countries closely correlating with recent migrations of tiger mosquitoes (Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0508391103) <FIGREF REFID="mg25484001.jpg">(see Map)</FIGREF>.
While Zeller says that these new mosquito colonies might not be large or dense enough to maintain the chikungunya virus, some people in Spain and Italy have recently been found with antibodies to it, so something carrying the virus must have bitten them. In 1987 researchers found the virus, or one of its close relatives that also cause disease, in people with flu symptoms in Albania. If chikungunya really has mutated, and the new killer strain is carried into recently established colonies of mosquitoes - by an infected person travelling from R?union, for example - then a previously obscure disease could become a lot better known.
 
Re: Chikungunya: It's Mutated

"The chikungunya sequence from R?union in 2006 indicates that the virus there is different from other viruses characterised until now,"

There you have it.
 
Re: Chikungunya: It's Mutated

So the next obvious question is:

"How is it different?"
 
Re: Chikungunya: It's Mutated

"Chikungunya virus is normally little cause for concern, as it has not been fatal and large outbreaks are rare. That looks to be changing, as the virus has recently swept across the Indian Ocean, striking a third of the population of the French island of R?union in the past three months, and killing for the first time. Meanwhile the mosquitoes that carry it are invading Europe and the Americas, and there are signs that the virus could already have reached these fresh territories."

I will trade you my Quigi board for your Lucky 8 Ball.
 
Re: Chikungunya: It's Mutated

I think we have those tiger mosquitoes down here .

time to load up on deet for the preps
 
Re: Chikungunya: It's Mutated

Sounds a lot like West Nile Virus.... and it has been killing people and is H2H.
 
Re: Chikungunya: It's Mutated

Code:
I found something from 2005:
 
[URL="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/viewer.fcgi?db=nucleotide&val=52352962"]http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/viewer.fcgi?db=nucleotide&val=52352962[/URL]
 
and here the sequence from Reunion 2006:
[URL="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/viewer.fcgi?db=nucleotide&val=90654092"]http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/viewer.fcgi?db=nucleotide&val=90654092[/URL]
 
and here the file with the (protein-) differences
 
 
 
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Re: Chikungunya: It's Mutated

Forget the mosquitoes, they are not the primary vector anymore for this new disease.

I am convinced the vector is human to human.

You do not get 80-90% of a population infected, 160,000 - 180,000, in 3 months by mosquitoes (Toamasina, Madagascar). I have been unable to find anything remotely close to that with mosquito born diseases. I was however, able to find human to human born diseases that have that explosive growth.

There is NO cure, and it is basically everywhere in India right now.

The beast is out of the bag and it is coming our way.

Take all the bad things you know about Bird Flu, the cascading effects of high worker absenteeism and supply chain failures and leave out the high mortality rate and you have Chikungunya.

You don't need to kill the people to kill an economy.

You just need to make them "bend over".
 
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