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Changes in reporting requirements for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection (Pandemic H1N1 2009 briefing no. 3, WHO)

Giuseppe

Emeritus
WHO | Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 briefing note 3

Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 briefing note 3

Changes in reporting requirements for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection

16 JULY 2009 | GENEVA


As the 2009 pandemic evolves, the data needed for risk assessment, both within affected countries and at the global level, are also changing.

At this point, further spread of the pandemic, within affected countries and to new countries, is considered inevitable.

This assumption is fully backed by experience. The 2009 influenza pandemic has spread internationally with unprecedented speed. In past pandemics, influenza viruses have needed more than six months to spread as widely as the new H1N1 virus has spread in less than six weeks.

The increasing number of cases in many countries with sustained community transmission is making it extremely difficult, if not impossible, for countries to try and confirm them through laboratory testing. Moreover, the counting of individual cases is now no longer essential in such countries for monitoring either the level or nature of the risk posed by the pandemic virus or to guide implementation of the most appropriate response measures.

Monitoring still needed

This pandemic has been characterized, to date, by the mildness of symptoms in the overwhelming majority of patients, who usually recover, even without medical treatment, within a week of the onset of symptoms. However, there is still an ongoing need in all countries to closely monitor unusual events, such as clusters of cases of severe or fatal pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection, clusters of respiratory illness requiring hospitalization, or unexplained or unusual clinical patterns associated with serious or fatal cases.

Other potential signals of change in the currently prevailing pattern include unexpected, unusual or notable changes in patterns of transmission. Signals to be vigilant for include spikes in rates of absenteeism from schools or workplaces, or a more severe disease pattern, as suggested by, for example, a surge in emergency department visits.

In general, indications that health services are having difficulty coping with cases mean that such systems are under stress but they may also be a signal of increasing cases or a more severe clinical picture.

A strategy that concentrates on the detection, laboratory confirmation and investigation of all cases, including those with mild illness, is extremely resource-intensive. In some countries, this strategy is absorbing most national laboratory and response capacity, leaving little capacity for the monitoring and investigation of severe cases and other exceptional events.

Regular updates on newly affected countries

For all of these reasons, WHO will no longer issue the global tables showing the numbers of confirmed cases for all countries. However, as part of continued efforts to document the global spread of the H1N1 pandemic, regular updates will be provided describing the situation in the newly affected countries. WHO will continue to request that these countries report the first confirmed cases and, as far as feasible, provide weekly aggregated case numbers and descriptive epidemiology of the early cases.

For countries already experiencing community-wide transmission, the focus of surveillance activities will shift to reporting against the established indicators for the monitoring of seasonal influenza activity. Those countries are no longer required to submit regular reports of individual laboratory-confirmed cases and deaths to WHO.

Monitoring the virological characteristics of the pandemic virus will be important throughout the pandemic and some countries have well-established laboratory-based surveillance systems in place already for seasonal influenza virus monitoring. Even in countries with limited laboratory capacity, WHO recommends that the initial virological assessment is followed by the testing of at least 10 samples per week in order to confirm that disease activity is due to the pandemic virus and to monitor changes in the virus that may be important for case management and vaccine development.

Updated WHO guidelines for global surveillance reflect in greater detail these recommended changes, in line with reporting requirements set out in the International Health Regulations.
-
<cite cite="http://www.who.int/csr/disease/swineflu/notes/h1n1_surveillance_20090710/en/index.html">WHO | Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 briefing note 3</cite>
 
Re: Changes in reporting requirements for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection (Pandemic H1N1 2009 briefing no. 3, WHO)

#1:"For countries already experiencing community-wide transmission, the focus of surveillance activities will shift to reporting against the established indicators for the monitoring of seasonal influenza activity. Those countries are no longer required to submit regular reports of individual laboratory-confirmed cases and deaths to WHO."
 
Re: Changes in reporting requirements for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection (Pandemic H1N1 2009 briefing no. 3, WHO)

So, will WHO still periodically provide the number total of deaths for each country in some form or another?
 
Re: Changes in reporting requirements for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection (Pandemic H1N1 2009 briefing no. 3, WHO)

So, will WHO still periodically provide the number total of deaths for each country in some form or another?
It seems no longer (#2) from the already pervaded countries.
No source, no media info.

Only from the "newbee" countries.
 
Re: Changes in reporting requirements for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection (Pandemic H1N1 2009 briefing no. 3, WHO)

So, will WHO still periodically provide the number total of deaths for each country in some form or another?

I suspect not, at least not with the same frequency. I suspect that all the good folks that have been working so diligently in flublogia that have kept us all so well informed will bear the brunt of the effort going forward. Let's support them in every we can. I would recommend giving them all a raise.:)
 
Re: Changes in reporting requirements for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection (Pandemic H1N1 2009 briefing no. 3, WHO)

A strategy that concentrates on the detection, laboratory confirmation and investigation of all cases, including those with mild illness, is extremely resource-intensive. In some countries, this strategy is absorbing most national laboratory and response capacity, leaving little capacity for the monitoring and investigation of severe cases and other exceptional events.

Regular updates on newly affected countries

For all of these reasons, WHO will no longer issue the global tables showing the numbers of confirmed cases for all countries. However, as part of continued efforts to document the global spread of the H1N1 pandemic, regular updates will be provided describing the situation in the newly affected countries. WHO will continue to request that these countries report the first confirmed cases and, as far as feasible, provide weekly aggregated case numbers and descriptive epidemiology of the early cases.

For countries already experiencing community-wide transmission, the focus of surveillance activities will shift to reporting against the established indicators for the monitoring of seasonal influenza activity. Those countries are no longer required to submit regular reports of individual laboratory-confirmed cases and deaths to WHO.
So, let me see if I understand this. Because the number of cases is rising so rapidly in some countries and the public health officials in these countries are overwhelmed, these officials need to focus on severe cases and "exceptional events" rather than reporting the number of cases or deaths to WHO. And, because WHO will not have these numbers, it will no longer need to keep the world informed of the global spread of the pandemic virus on a regular basis.

However, WHO believes it is taking its global reporting function very seriously in regards to reporting countries with new infections.

According the last WHO update (58), about 120+ countries around the world have reported H1N1 infections. that is about half of the world's countries. Among the countries already reporting the virus, probably 70+% of the world's population live in those countries. WHO will no longer be releasing information about numbers of infected cases and deaths in these countries, many of them the most populous countries in the world. But, we can rest assured that when the first H1N1 case is discovered in Kiribati, The Maldives, Tonga, etc., WHO will quickly and decisively report this new human case to all the world.
 
Re: Changes in reporting requirements for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection (Pandemic H1N1 2009 briefing no. 3, WHO)

sounds like censorship to me,dont tell us how bad it has got so we wont panic.
 
Re: Changes in reporting requirements for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection (Pandemic H1N1 2009 briefing no. 3, WHO)

this is very worrisome. it's one thing to leave off reporting "mild" cases, but now deaths too?

WHO is also recommending that national agencies only report "clusters" of fatalities. The CDC has not been a very reliable source of info in the U.S. so far, but most journalists quote CDC statistics in their H1N1 articles, so at least the public is marginally aware that deaths are still occurring. With no national statistics available, people are really not going to know what's going on. And unless the states maintain their individual fatality reporting, neither will we.
 
Re: Changes in reporting requirements for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection (Pandemic H1N1 2009 briefing no. 3, WHO)

this is very worrisome. it's one thing to leave off reporting "mild" cases, but now deaths too?

WHO is also recommending that national agencies only report "clusters" of fatalities. The CDC has not been a very reliable source of info in the U.S. so far, but most journalists quote CDC statistics in their H1N1 articles, so at least the public is marginally aware that deaths are still occurring. With no national statistics available, people are really not going to know what's going on. And unless the states maintain their individual fatality reporting, neither will we.

My sense is that many public health authorities would like to get back into the mold of reporting on Swine Flu in the same manner as Seasonal Flu since the majority of people infected fully recover with little, if any, medical intervention. If that is in fact the case, I would suggest that it is highly irresponsible.
 
Re: Changes in reporting requirements for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection (Pandemic H1N1 2009 briefing no. 3, WHO)

sounds like censorship to me,dont tell us how bad it has got so we wont panic.

The numbers are getting so far from reality in some places (US, Argentina, Indonesia?) that they aren't of much help. I agree that I don't want to see all the information dry up, but the regular posting of (almost) useless numbers doesn't help anyone and is a waste of effort.

Actually, what I would like to see, is more detailed stories on clusters and severe cases and unusual events (such as we got on the McIntoshes in Indiana). That and MORE SEQUENCES!!! That would likely tell much more about this virus than crude estimates of case counts.
 
Re: Changes in reporting requirements for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection (Pandemic H1N1 2009 briefing no. 3, WHO)

The numbers are getting so far from reality in some places (US, Argentina, Indonesia?) that they aren't of much help. I agree that I don't want to see all the information dry up, but the regular posting of (almost) useless numbers doesn't help anyone and is a waste of effort.

Actually, what I would like to see, is more detailed stories on clusters and severe cases and unusual events (such as we got on the McIntoshes in Indiana). That and MORE SEQUENCES!!! That would likely tell much more about this virus than crude estimates of case counts.

I totally agree as to case counts since that information is no longer of much relevance. However, it is fairly easy to keep track and report on hospitalizations and deaths, which is an excellent way of keeping track of the progress of the pandemic.

And yes, Argentina and the UK are hot spots in anyone's book, and I think we may have two incomplete set of sequences from those two countries. Again, not very responsible in my view. Has the virus changed for the worse? Who can say but those countries that are experiencing unusual activity.
 
Re: Changes in reporting requirements for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection (Pandemic H1N1 2009 briefing no. 3, WHO)

Source: http://www.reuters.com/article/healthNews/idUSTRE56F57U20090716?sp=true

H1N1 pandemic spreading too fast to count: WHO
Thu Jul 16, 2009 2:32pm EDT


* H1N1 virus has spread more quickly than other pandemics

* WHO says pointless to count individual cases

* But countries should track deaths, unusual patterns

By Stephanie Nebehay

GENEVA (Reuters) - The World Health Organization (WHO) said on Thursday that the H1N1 flu pandemic was the fastest-moving pandemic ever and that it was now pointless to count every case.

The United Nations agency, which declared an influenza pandemic on June 11, revised its requirements so that national health authorities need only report clusters of severe cases or deaths caused by the new virus or unusual clinical patterns.

"The 2009 influenza pandemic has spread internationally with unprecedented speed. In past pandemics, influenza viruses have needed more than six months to spread as widely as the new H1N1 virus has spread in less than six weeks," it said in a statement on the new strain, commonly known as swine flu.

It has become nearly impossible for health authorities and laboratories to keep count of individual cases -- which have mostly been mild -- as the virus spreads, according to the 193 member-state agency.

The new flu strain can be treated by antivirals such as Roche Holding's Tamiflu or GlaxoSmithKline's Relenza, but many patients recover without medical treatment.

Flu experts say at least a million people are infected in the United States alone, and the WHO says the pandemic is unstoppable.

"It is very much agreed that trying to register and report every single case is a huge waste of resources," WHO spokesman Gregory Hartl said.

Such tracking has limited authorities' capacity to investigate serious cases and is no longer essential to monitor the level or nature of the risk posed by the virus, WHO said.

However, all countries should still closely monitor unusual clusters of severe or fatal infections from the pandemic virus, clusters of respiratory illness requiring hospitalization or unexplained or unusual clinical patterns.

"Signals to be vigilant for include spikes in rates of absenteeism from schools or workplaces, or a more severe disease pattern, as suggested by, for example, a surge in emergency department visits," it said.

Britain reported on Thursday that 29 people had died to date after contracting the virus. Health Minister Andy Burnham said this month the government was projecting more than 100,000 new cases a day of the flu in the country by the end of August.

The WHO will no longer issue global tables showing the numbers of confirmed cases for all countries -- which stood at 94,512 cases with 429 deaths as of its last update on July 6.

Instead, it will issue regular updates on the situation in newly affected countries, which should report the first confirmed cases, weekly figures and epidemiological details.

Countries should still test a limited number of virus samples weekly to confirm that disease is actually due to the pandemic virus and to monitor any virological changes that may be important for the development of vaccines, it said.

At least 50 governments have placed orders for vaccines against the new H1N1 strain or negotiating with drug makers, WHO vaccine chief Marie-Paule Kieny told Reuters.

The WHO does not report figures for cases of seasonal influenza, which it says is linked to 250,000 to 500,000 deaths a year globally.

(For the WHO statement go to:

here)

(Additional reporting by Peter Griffiths in London)
 
Re: Changes in reporting requirements for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection (Pandemic H1N1 2009 briefing no. 3, WHO)

Personal Translation

Too much political pressure over WHO.
No gov. wanna to be exposed by number of death citizens.
Too much deaths = civil pressure to close schools, commerce = economic issues = less money
No media = less pressure = stuff keeps open = more money = more deaths
(sorry... third world citizen view here, they don't care about more death, since we do have more people than jobs, even with 20% rate death the economy will still go on... - dengue in Brazil did not closed or affected any business other overcrowd public hospitals, rich people can pay for better care)

WHO will keep trying... but can't do much...

About sequences... agreed... hope Brazil release some of them... (since great part of the cases are from Argentina the virus is the same, 5 deaths confirmed at Rio Grande do Sul - Brazilian border with Argentina - hope they release at least one of them).
 
Re: Changes in reporting requirements for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection (Pandemic H1N1 2009 briefing no. 3, WHO)

Well, numbers in themselves mean nothing, however my feeling is numbers can show trends, by comparing them from day to day or week to week. Also by comparing them between countries. That can be usefull in the early stages of the introduction of H1N1.

In the 1st phase in a coutry or state or region you see reported a handful a day, sometimes less, sometimes more, than the numbers come in dozens, can stabilize or not ,etc. . Not important if it is 12 or 84 or 199 , it is not about the numbers it is the trends . But: you need the numbers to find the trends.

If a (suspect) death is reported there probably are a thousand or several thousands of cases , often not reported.

In countries in which the pandemic is in full swing, you don't need to count cases anymore. Indeed the number of hospitalisations and deaths can tell us something.


Indonesia for instance:

neighbouring countries like Malaysia, Singapore or Brunei reported H1N1 cases, their numbers went up fast . Nothing or hardly anything reported in Indonesia. Well, hard to believe Indonesia would be safe for H1N1.

Now the reports are pouring in. It seems clear H1N1 must have been spreading in Indonesia for some time, reported are some 150 cases, there must be thousands. It won't be long untill the first death will be confirmed.


And yes, if a case is confirmed in Tonga it can tell us something too , you can look at the next reports and see what happens or doesn't happen.

You can say there is only 1 trend : up. At the moment there are differences between countries and regions, I feel that can learn us something.
 
Re: Changes in reporting requirements for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection (Pandemic H1N1 2009 briefing no. 3, WHO)

UN health agency gives up on counting swine flu
(AP) ? 1 hour ago

LONDON ? The World Health Organization says it will stop counting individual cases of swine flu.

Tracking individual swine flu cases is too overwhelming for countries where the virus is spreading widely, the agency says in a statement. WHO will no longer issue global totals of swine flu cases, although it will continue to track the global epidemic.

WHO says countries should look for signs the virus is mutating, such as changes in the way swine flu is spreading, surges in hospital visits or more severe cases.

The agency asks countries to report their first confirmed cases, then provide weekly case numbers with a description of their outbreaks.

WHO had reported nearly 95,000 cases including 429 deaths worldwide. But the numbers are outdated, with Britain estimating it had 55,000 new cases last week alone.

http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5j5ArhIKTisx0eFmTGjgoSNUOK1cQD99G4O400
 
Re: Changes in reporting requirements for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection (Pandemic H1N1 2009 briefing no. 3, WHO)

I suspect not, at least not with the same frequency. I suspect that all the good folks that have been working so diligently in flublogia that have kept us all so well informed will bear the brunt of the effort going forward. Let's support them in every we can. I would recommend giving them all a raise.:)

As a collaborator of such type of sites, I could tell you that without WHO updates it'll be imposible to continue updating numbers (trends or deaths). This are going to be a chain reaction: No WHO report --> No country report --> No state/region report --> no press report --> no awareness --> end of story.

You couldn't imagine what a tons of web sites you must read to obtain a relative updated global picture of what is happening right now. Ask Shiloh or crew in death US tolls about spended time to get it worked. Sites such as www.swinemap.org or this little tinny Spanish Map are going to die without the urge of WHO in coutries for information.

Some day you'll wake up in the morning, you'll go to job and look around, hey what has happened with people? it appears traffic are lot of less dense today, and, why my friends aren't calling me anymore? :)

edit: correction in links.
 
Re: Changes in reporting requirements for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection (Pandemic H1N1 2009 briefing no. 3, WHO)

Personal Translation

Too much political pressure over WHO.
No gov. wanna to be exposed by number of death citizens.
Too much deaths = civil pressure to close schools, commerce = economic issues = less money
No media = less pressure = stuff keeps open = more money = more deaths
(sorry... third world citizen view here, they don't care about more death, since we do have more people than jobs, even with 20% rate death the economy will still go on... - dengue in Brazil did not closed or affected any business other overcrowd public hospitals, rich people can pay for better care)

WHO will keep trying... but can't do much...

About sequences... agreed... hope Brazil release some of them... (since great part of the cases are from Argentina the virus is the same, 5 deaths confirmed at Rio Grande do Sul - Brazilian border with Argentina - hope they release at least one of them).

You have nailed it!! :applause:

But I must add: "whatever capitalism world leaders view here". :cool:
 
Re: Changes in reporting requirements for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection (Pandemic H1N1 2009 briefing no. 3, WHO)

So, let me see if I understand this. Because the number of cases is rising so rapidly in some countries and the public health officials in these countries are overwhelmed, these officials need to focus on severe cases and "exceptional events" rather than reporting the number of cases or deaths to WHO. And, because WHO will not have these numbers, it will no longer need to keep the world informed of the global spread of the pandemic virus on a regular basis.

However, WHO believes it is taking its global reporting function very seriously in regards to reporting countries with new infections.

According the last WHO update (58), about 120+ countries around the world have reported H1N1 infections. that is about half of the world's countries. Among the countries already reporting the virus, probably 70+% of the world's population live in those countries. WHO will no longer be releasing information about numbers of infected cases and deaths in these countries, many of them the most populous countries in the world. But, we can rest assured that when the first H1N1 case is discovered in Kiribati, The Maldives, Tonga, etc., WHO will quickly and decisively report this new human case to all the world.

and .....

H1N1 flu spreads to remote corners of the world: WHO
Mon Jul 27, 1:27 pm ET
GENEVA (Reuters) ? There may be no escape from H1N1 pandemic flu, which according to the latest World Health Organization figures has spread to the most remote parts of the planet including popular island getaways.
In a snapshot published on Monday, the WHO said more than 20 countries and overseas territories had had their first lab-confirmed cases of the new virus, widely known as swine flu.
These include holiday destinations such as the Seychelles, Turks and Caicos, St. Kitts and Nevis, Netherlands Antilles, Belize and France's Reunion Island, as well as isolated spots such as Tonga and American Samoa in the Pacific and the Solomon Islands in the Indian Ocean.
H1N1 flu, which is a genetic mix of human, bird and swine viruses, has also found its way to Bhutan in the Himalayas and Andorra, an independent state tucked between Spain and France. Conflict-ridden Afghanistan and Sudan have also had their first confirmed infections in recent days.
The emergence of the never-before-seen virus in Mexico and the United States and its fast international spread caused the WHO to declare in June that a pandemic was under way. The U.N. agency has said it is impossible to stop it from circulating, and is monitoring it closely for signs of mutation or combination with other flu viruses.
While most patients have had mild flu-like symptoms, such as fever and vomiting, pregnant women and people with diabetes and other diseases have been vulnerable to more serious effects. An estimated 816 people have died from infection to date, according to the WHO's latest tally.
The total number of people infected with H1N1 flu is not known, and countries are no longer testing and reporting each individual case of a person falling ill. The WHO has said more emphasis should be placed on preventing infection and treating the most serious cases to avoid unnecessary death.
Drugmakers Roche, Gilead Sciences and GlaxoSmithKline have benefited from a worldwide rush to secure supplies of their antiviral drugs to fight the spreading flu. Vaccine makers including Sanofi-Aventis, Novartis NOVN.VX>, Baxter and Solvay are also working on H1N1 shots that could be given alongside seasonal flu jabs.
(Reporting by Laura MacInnis)
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/us_flu_who_spread
 
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